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Punters Lounge

Bayern Munich vs Manchester City Tips, Trends, & Analysis (19/04/23) – City to finish the job in Germany?

Steve Day by Steve Day
5 months ago
in Champions League News, Football News
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Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola

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The second legs of the UEFA Champions League Quarter-Finals come to a conclusion on Wednesday night when German Bundesliga club Bayern Munich host Premier League title challengers Manchester City in an 8pm BST kick-off from the Allianz Arena. The Citizens hold a resounding 3-0 lead from the first leg on home soil but can they repeat that superb performance here?

Guardiola’s Men Starting to Purr

As the season draws to a close it’s becoming clear that Pep Guardiola has got his team focused and motivated for the run-in. City are now unbeaten in their last 14 matches across all competitions including winning 12 of those games. It’s no surprise they are still valued at 29/20 with BetUK to win this match even though they are away against a very talented Munich side.

The most impressive statistic from this run of results by City is that they have won 10 games in a row and scored a staggering 37 goals during that winning streak. The return to form of star striker Erling Haaland has undoubtedly helped with the Norwegian scoring 14 goals in his last 6 appearances. You won’t be surprised to see he is listed at 7/2 with Betfair to be first scorer and 10/11 with Bet365 to just score any time.

One major reason for optimism amongst the City fan base is that the club are on a cracking run of no defeat in 19 of their last 20 encounters with Bundesliga clubs in European competition. The fact they also dismantled Bayern in the first leg shows there is every chance that run could continue in this game.

Tuchel Hoping for a Miracle in Munich

It wasn’t exactly a vintage display from Bayern Munich last week at the Etihad Stadium but it’s only half-time in this tie. Head coach Thomas Tuchel will no doubt stating to his players that whatever City did in the first leg, Bayern Munich can do to their opponents in the second leg on home territory. The bookies aren’t so confident of a home win on the night with Bayern available at 7/4 with BetVictor to win the game over 90 minutes but they are priced a bit longer at 16/1 to qualify for the next round with Sporting Index.

The big news after last week’s game was the alleged punch-up between Sadio Mane and Leroy Sane. I say punch-up, it was simply Mane punching Sane in the face by all accounts. Is there any chance of redemption for these two tonight? Mane is listed at 5/2 and Sane is valued at 3/1 to score anytime with William Hill.

There will be a demand for results to improve under Tuchel. It’s just 1 win in the last 4 matches across all competitions for Bayern. It’s a run of results that has seen them drop points in the Bundesliga title race, exit the DFB-Pokal, and stand on the brink of elimination from the Champions League. Has the damage already been done though?

Head-to-Head Meetings

If there is a tiny glimmer of hope to be found in all the stats for Bayern Munich fans then the fact that it’s 2 wins and 1 loss for the German side against Manchester City on home turf is it. Unfortunately, City have now won back-to-back games against the reigning Bundesliga champions and scored 3 goals in both matches. Interestingly, City are 11/4 with Bet365 to score over 2.5 goals in this game… and given their recent scoring record you wouldn’t put it past them!

Bayern Munich vs Manchester City Betting Tips

I’m going to be honest and say that I didn’t think this tie would effectively be over at the halfway stage. City were phenomenal in this game last week and you have to question if Bayern have enough in them to claw this back. Clearly, everything isn’t OK behind the scenes with the German club and you have to wonder if sacking Julian Nagelsmann was a mistake.

The smart money appears to be with backing a City win given their recent form. Bayern have no choice but to go for it. We’ve seen plenty examples of second leg comebacks in this competition over recent years but I’m doubtful we’ll see it here. City to win and Haaland to score look like the champions league tips to follow.

Manchester City to Win @ 29/20 with BetUK

Anytime Scorer: Erling Haaland @ 10/11 with Bet365

All odds are accurate at the time of writing.


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Get involved in all the betting chat for the Quarter-Final second leg matches on our popular Champions League betting forum. From trends, stats, and tips, we discuss anything and everything as we look to beat the bookies.


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