This Saturday’s big handicap is the Coral Lanzarote Handicap Hurdle at Kempton. This event is named after the top-class racehorse Lanzarote who twice won the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton as well as the Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham in 1974.
William Henry won this in 2018 before going on to win at the same distance at the following year’s Cheltenham festival at 28/1. Ibis Du Rheu was 3rd in this before winning at that year’s festival at 14/1.
The race is run over 2 miles and 5 furlongs. 20 go to post and off time is 2.40.
Many bookmakers offer each-way terms of 6 places which makes the race an excellent betting proposition.
Claim An Allowance
I have looked at the statistics for this race and these are my key conclusions.
- I don’t normally favour inexperienced jockeys but the statistics never lie! Jockeys with claims of 3, 5 or 7lbs have won 6 times from 36 attempts. This compares to the experienced jockeys who have 3 wins from 92 attempts.
- It is best to sidestep those horses with obvious form. Horses that have had more than 1 win in their last 6 runs have produced 3 wins from 62 runs, those with just 1 win in their last 6 runs have produced 5 wins from 46 efforts.
- Horses should ideally have a reasonable rest. Those that last ran less than 24 days ago have won just once from 40 attempts, those that last ran between 24 and 61 days ago have 8 wins from 75 attempts.
Only 1 horse matches these criteria and that is WHZZ KID. The 7-year-old-gelding is ridden by 7lb claimer Luke Scott and is currently available at 28/1 * with several bookmakers who pay 6 places.
Further statistics that may prove relevant.
Those horses at the head of the betting have a poor record with only no forecast favourites winning and only 1 2nd favourite winning from 21 attempts.
All odds accurate at the time of writing, 12.01 pm 13th Jan