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Total Posts -
Posts
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Ha, I spoke too soon, Jones got back in and took the frame, 4 each. Didn't look likely a few minutes ago!
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Sure enough Jones won the next two frames to make it 3 each, but then messed up to hand frame 7 to Bingham, and now he's made another idiotic mistake to present frame 8 to Bingham on a plate. 🤦♂️ Poor stuff from the Welshman after deservedly levelling the match before that.
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6 minutes ago, harry_rag said:
I think it’s easier to try and calculate fair odds for binary events (over/under, player to score or not) than horse races or anything with a big field. The ratings angle seems more appropriate for them. You also need less data to be confident about the validity when there’s just two possible outcomes at relatively short odds.
Yeah but binary event option bets are for girls surely? 🤣😁😂💋
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3.35 Newmarket
Boiling Point (9/4 William Hill)
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5 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:
I've tried to calculate the fair odds from my systems but invariably it throws up a lot of the outsiders as value bets
For the 2000 guineas probably every horse apart from the favourite would be a value bet
I think it’s easier to try and calculate fair odds for binary events (over/under, player to score or not) than horse races or anything with a big field. The ratings angle seems more appropriate for them. You also need less data to be confident about the validity when there’s just two possible outcomes at relatively short odds.
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