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I don't have any ratings that could be incorporated into this experiment but I do have a numerical system for races up to 8 furlongs
This is based on the average winning trips of sires and damsires. Basically you add them together and divide by two to get a figure in furlongs. I can't remember why now but I called this the SD figure ....... S obviously stands for Stamina but I can't remember what D stands for ........ getting old ! (maybe Distance)
A few years ago I spent a year noting this figure for all winners and horses finishing within 2 lengths of winners in all weather races and then I converted these figures into percentages. If there is any value in this I think it should apply to turf racing as well because it's about the distance not the surface
so for the 2000gns I have range in the field from 7.8 to 10.5 and the 'sweet spot' for horses over a mile is 85 to 95. The following horses qualify with current best price
Alyanaabi - 20/1 wm hill
Haatem - 25/1 bet365
Task Force 20/1 wm hillThis takes into account nothing but the possible suitability for the trip
So for example I have City of Troy with the biggest figure, 10.5 furlongs, which suggests he'd be much more effective in the Derby but he might have enough class to win at a mile even though not ideally suited by it
But on the basis of my little system my 3 E/W shots are .........
Alyanaabi - 20/1 wm hill
Haatem - 25/1 bet365
Task Force 20/1 wm hill
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6.15 donny Solar Bentley looks to have a good each way chance currently 10/1 bet365 9lb better off with fav on Wolverhampton run for beating fav obviously fav improved for front running tactics at beverley and could be thrown in but selection has good chance to pick up pieces if fav under performs??
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1405 Lingfield Enough Already (9/4 Bet 365)
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Dubai Station
2000 hrs Chel
8/1 Hills ew.
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