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I am watching this discussion/experiment with great interest simply because i have already gone through most of these processes to arrive at where/what i use today. Interpretation is always needed but i still ended up 95% of the time coming down to the simple fact that i have produced speed ratings to identify the fastest horse in the race (not necessarily the best horse in the race) so i sway towards the pure figure especially where the price is above 6/1. My top rated for the G1 2000g for example was Bucanero Fuerte (66/1) which was pulled out at the 5 day stage. It ran on Sunday in a group 3 at Naas and won at 2/1 (10/3 ep). Both of these prices in both races represented value when you consider the difference in the two races. Once again Bucanero Fuerte produced the fastest time/figure of the meeting. That will go in the notebook going forward as one to follow at a price. I think the Bucanero example is where there is good information outside of speed figures that is based originally on speed figures if you get my meaning. Based on this I am predicting that Bucanero Fuerte will win at a decent price at Royal Ascot if it turns up.
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Chelmsford 5.42 Voyeur 12-1 B365
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410 c King of Tonga 11/2
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350 l Amroon 4/1
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16.47 Chelmsford
Saaheq, 9/2 B365
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