ATR Speed Ratings (62.17pts PROFIT)

[manckevin]

System? Questionable, but here are some hard facts.

On the ATR website they have a Speed Six. Backing each of these six, betting 3pts on the NAP selection and 2pts on the NB selection, would be + 28.57pts since 31 May.

Backing just the NON nap/nb selections would be -2.09pts.

So. My proposal is TO BACK the NAP and NB selections, based on the ATR Speed Ratings (available from www.attheraces.com) to 5pts for the NAP selection and 3pts for the NB selection. The reason I have upped this from 3pts/2pts is this is frankly where the success is, (strike rates) as detailed below:
All Selections from 31 May : Win 25%, Place 25%
Nap Selections from 31 May : Win 28.57%, Place 42.86%
NB Selections from 31 May : Win 50%, Place 25%
Nap & NB Selections from 31 May : Win 40%, Place 33.33%


ROLLING RESULTS up to and including 25 July
Selections: 87
Won: 32 (36.78%)
Placed: 25 (28.74%)
Profit/Loss: +39.17pts

From 3 July I will be updating the stats for the previous 5 and 10 days also (10 day figures in blue text). This is as the ratings do seem to blow hot and cold at times, so it might point out when is good to get on, or not so hot to trot!

LAST FIVE (TEN) DAYS
Selections: 10 19
Won: 2 (20.00%) 7 (36.84%)
Placed: 4 (40.00%) 4 (21.05%)
Profit/Loss: -10.00pts +60.75pts

[manckevin]

SUNDAY 8 JUNE

SOUTHWELL	3.10	BLACK FALCON	NAP
BRIGHTON	5.00	SPEEDY SENORITA	NB

[manckevin]

SOUTHWELL3.10BLACK FALCONNAPPLACED5/ 2BRIGHTON5.00SPEEDY SENORITANBWON15/ 8

Profit on the day : 0.63pts

An encouraging start with Black Falcon also coming close but finishing 2nd at 5/2.

Results updated in Post 1.

[manckevin]

And no, I don't know why the formatting isn't working now

[manckevin]

Re-posted below

[manckevin]

OK, just for clarity, I'll write that again...

9 JUNE

7.50 Pontefract - Mega Watt (nb) - 3pts
8.00 Windsor - Mullein (nap) - 5pts

If anyone knows what's changed so I can't post with formatting, can they let me know

[stewartd14]

Yep, I often follow these and the guy is brilliant. It is interesting to see the stats and I am sure they are probably better than that. He often has some decent places and I like the way he doesnt just pick his top rated selection. If the ground is against it, he goes for his next one.

Will be interesting to follow this thread.

[manckevin]

Originally Posted by stewartd14

It is interesting to see the stats and I am sure they are probably better than that.

Let's hope so eh

[manckevin]

Originally Posted by manckevin

9 JUNE

7.50 Pontefract - Mega Watt (nb) - 3pts NON RUNNER
8.00 Windsor - Mullein (nap) - 5pts UNPLACED

Better luck tomorrow I hope!

[manckevin]

10 JUNE

2.45 Salisbury - Desert Dreamer (nap) - 5pts
4.45 Salisbury - Summer of Love (nb) - 3pts

[mlmrob]

Good luck with these. Will follow this thread with interest.

[manckevin]

Originally Posted by manckevin

10 JUNE

2.45 Salisbury - Desert Dreamer (nap) - 5pts PLACED 15/8
4.45 Salisbury - Summer of Love (nb) - 3pts LOST

Nothing doing today for these

[manckevin]

11 JUNE

1.40 Nottingham - Kingsmaite (nap) - 5pts
8.10 Hamilton - La Vecchia Scuola (nb) - 3pts

Typical how as soon as I follow something and stick it on here it starts to go tits up. Let's hope that's not the case today!!!

[manckevin]

Originally Posted by manckevin

11 JUNE

1.40 Nottingham - Kingsmaite (nap) - 5pts UNPLACED
8.10 Hamilton - La Vecchia Scuola (nb) - 3pts PLACED 2/1

Just not doing the business this ... typical ... anyway ...

12 JUNE
2.20 Yarmouth - Agente Parmigiano (nap) - 5pts
5.35 Yarmouth - Dramatic Solo (nb) - 3pts

[manckevin]

Originally Posted by manckevin

12 JUNE
2.20 Yarmouth - Agente Parmigiano (nap) - 5pts WON 5/6
5.35 Yarmouth - Dramatic Solo (nb) - 3pts 2ND 10/1

Unlucky today with a short priced winner and a 2nd losing by a head

[manckevin]

13 JUNE

6.50 Goodwood - Desert Chill (nap) - 5pts
9.05 Goodwood - Fabreze (nb) - 3pts

[manckevin]

Originally Posted by manckevin

13 JUNE

6.50 Goodwood - Desert Chill (nap) - 5pts PLACED 7/2
9.05 Goodwood - Fabreze (nb) - 3pts PLACED 3/1

Not quite sure what's up here. Nothing has changed so I'll just have to persevere. At the end of the day, everything has bad runs, just hope it snaps out of it soon. The non NAP/NB selections did have an 8/1 winner yesterday!!!

14 JUNE

3.25 York - Fathsta (nap) - 5pts
3.40 Sandown - Tajdeef (nb) - 3pts

[manckevin]

Originally Posted by manckevin

14 JUNE

3.25 York - Fathsta (nap) - 5pts UNPLACED
3.40 Sandown - Tajdeef (nb) - 3pts UNPLACED

Both came nowhere yesterday showing an even more downward turn for this at present. But, we'll keep on trying...

15 JUNE

3.25 Doncaster - MUSAALEM (nap) - 5pts

No nb selection listed.

[manckevin]

Originally Posted by manckevin

15 JUNE

3.25 Doncaster - MUSAALEM (nap) - 5pts WON 13/8

No nb selection listed.

An encouraging winner at last, albeit relatively short priced.

[manckevin]

16 JUNE

CARLISLE 3.45 KILLER CLASS (NAP) 5pts
WARWICK 7.40 LEONID GLOW (NB) 3pts