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Posts
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Chelmsford: 5.42 Maple 25/1 please
Thanks -
6.47 Chelmsford, Saaheq, 9/2 Bet365.
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6.07 Sandown Dr. Foster 33/1 Bet365 EW
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Market Rasen 1358
Ittack Blue 1/9 bet365
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I have a vague idea for an additional "value rating" to add to what we did for the Guineas races (though an individual could use it as well). At it's most basic, you could multiply your rating by the odds for that horse. The number might be a bit ungainly but you could do what I did and convert it into an index number where 100 is the average for that race so anything above 100 appears to offer the better value.
Say you have two 9/1 shots in the race, with speed ratings of 68 and 72. That gives you 680 and 720, with the potentially better value selection getting the higher number.
Or, say you have two horses rated at 70, one is 9/1 and one is 12/1. That gives you 700 and 910, again flagging the likely better bet.
I'm not suggesting this is a magic bullet but it could speed up the process we went through of mentally comparing the ratings to the prices on offer and picking out our best bet. A useful indicator to add into the mix perhaps.
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