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Total Posts -
Posts
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4 hours ago, LeMale said:
My 2 pennies worth is, it's very much swings and round-abouts and as a @Zilzalian Type 2.5 (kind of inbetween) i make a judgement call depending on the odds at the time i'm betting, which can be very beneficial (like in the race you mentioned - placed bet at 16-1 with 365 win bet not ew because price too low, got BOG as sp was 33-1) or can backfire badly, just like the race after that with Moutarde where i split the bet, half at 40-1 (and 2 mins after went to 50-1) and half at sp both ew with skybet. At the time i was gutted i took the 40's as price was rising, but like i said, it backfired because it went off at 12-1 i think and lost £16.80 on the sp bet. I will try to put them on here at the end as don't want anybody thinking i'm a "hindsight punter" as long as no one laughs at my stakes. (it's what keeps it fun and not really gambling in my eyes) It can be frustrating when that 16-1 shot drifts to a big price (a price that i would normally bet ew) and it places, so i get nothing, but when it wins like yesterday i make more, like i said, swings and round-abouts you have to take the rough with the smooth, that's racing.
This is bang on the money "as long as no one laughs at my stakes. (it's what keeps it fun and not really gambling in my eyes)" having said that i would have pissed myself laughing if it was 10p EW 🤣
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Just now, Zilzalian said:
Now each of us (inc Harry) have to decide where/what the best bet is out of this lot.
@MCLARKE @harry_rag @richard-westwood lets say we all have £20 quid to waste.
I'll go first with my less informed view. Might as well try and extract some sense from my frantic spreadsheeting!
There's a clear top four with the fav rightly the fav but too short for now. River Tiber is 4th but drifting quite a bit on the exchange suggesting it has maybe lost a leg or is about to be withdrawn. Haatem and Ghostwriter the other two. If I had to burn that £20 now:
£4 e/w Haatem 66/1 (using my weekly "Epic Odds" boost)
£5 e/w Ghostwriter 16/1
£2 win River Tiber at 220
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Punchestown 3.40 King Of Kingsfield 40/1 bet365
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£40.00 Express
30/04 15:00 Struff, Jan-Lennard - Alcaraz, Carlos
Tennis, ATP, Madrid, Spain Player 1 to win a set
Pick: No @1.55
+
30/04 15:05 Sinner, Jannik - Khachanov, Karen
Tennis, ATP, Madrid, Spain Match winner
Pick: 1 @1.23
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