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4.15 Punchestown
Win Perceval Legallois @ 15/4 paddy power
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3 hours ago, calva decoy said:
Good luck .
I agree re the 2 yr old races I also think it's ludicrous that it's May & we still have 2 all weather cards rather than turf .
They should be a ban on all weather meetings from April 30th up until September 30th , but it keeps plenty of class 5 & 6 races on the go & quantity over quality in the UK , no wonder the Irish are way ahead in their codes , they actually have race free days , shock , horror 😱
I agree 100% my speed figures begin with 2yo's and we are this far in and this is all the 2yo races
18/03/24 CURR HH 05F MM 8 A 10.80 9 7 1 ABSOLUTE RULER 22/03/24 ST-CL HH 05F MM 6 A 6.09 8 13 1 CONVO 23/03/24 DONC HH 05F NSK 15 A 7.87 9 7 1 ZMINIATURE 26/03/24 DUND PT 05F MM 9 A 2.88 9 2 1 MONING VIETNAM 26/03/24 SOUT TP 05F MM 8 A 3.72 9 5 1 SEX ON FIRE 30/03/24 CORK HH 05F MM 6 A 11.32 9 7 1 MONOTONE 31/03/24 SOUT TP 05F MN 7 A 5.02 9 2 1 DEAL MAKER 01/04/24 KEMP PT 05F NM 5 A 2.52 9 5 1 PONT NEUF 04/04/24 CHAN HH 05F MM 7 A 9.41 9 2 1 ROCK HUNTER 08/04/24 LING PT 05F NS 4 A 2.39 9 2 1 KUWAITYA 08/04/24 WOLV TP 05F NS 8 A 2.87 9 2 1 LADY LIGHTENING 09/04/24 THIR SS 05F MS 7 A 9.72 9 7 1 ATHERSTONE WARRIOR 10/04/24 WOLV TP 05F MS 6 A 2.43 9 2 1 ENCHANTING EMPRESS 10/04/24 KEMP PT 05F NS 8 A 3.33 9 2 1 KODIBEAT 11/04/24 SOUT TP 05F NS 4 A 3.07 9 5 1 WINCHURCH 12/04/24 DUND PT 05F MM 9 A 4.07 9 2 1 PROUDLY YOURS 12/04/24 ST-CL HH 05F CS 6 A 5.04 8 9 1 HERRENCHIEMSEE 15/04/24 WIND GS 05F NS 10 A 1.16 9 2 1 GOLDEN PARADISE 16/04/24 NEWM GG 05F NS 6 A 2.00 9 7 1 ARRAN 17/04/24 NEWM GG 05F MFS 13 A 0.62 9 2 1 IT AINT TWO 19/04/24 NEWB GS 05F MS 8 A 3.95 9 7 1 HAWAIIAN 19/04/24 BATH GG 05F NS 14 A 4.77 8 11 1 BETTY CLOVER 19/04/24 ST-CL VS 05F CS 12 A 3.73 9 1 1 AWJ 20/04/24 THIR SS 05F FNS 12 A 6.86 9 2 1 MISS LAMAI 20/04/24 BRIG GG 5.5F MS 8 A 2.38 9 2 1 FONDEST DREAM 20/04/24 NOTT SS 05F MS 6 A 5.97 9 5 1 CHILLY BREEZE 21/04/24 MUSS GS 05F NS 5 A 4.97 9 4 1 BARAK 21/04/24 CURR SH 05F MM 6 A 7.29 9 5 1 MIDNIGHT STRIKE 21/04/24 CURR SH 06F MM 11 A 7.51 9 7 1 COWARD OF THE COUNTY 22/04/24 PONT SS 05F NS 11 A 7.31 9 0 1 HOT TO DOT 22/04/24 WINDS GG 05F NS 9 A 2.17 9 2 1 KAADI 23/04/24 YARM GF 05F MS 6 A 1.91 9 7 1 BINADHAM 25/04/24 BEVE SS 05F NS 8 A 6.20 9 0 1 JAYVEE 26/04/24 CHAN GS 05F CS 7 A 1.89 8 7 1 HOT DARLING 27/04/24 LEIC SS 05F MS 7 A 6.94 9 3 1 BLEWBURTON 27/04/24 NAVA GY 06F MM 11 A 7.61 9 7 1 CAMILLE PISSARRO 27/04/24 RIPO SS 05F NS 7 A 6.07 9 7 1 ASSERTIVELY 29/04/24 SOUT TP 05F NS 6 A 3.27 9 7 1 THE MAN 29/04/24 AYR GG 05F MS 6 A 3.65 9 7 1 ZABEEL ROAD 29/04/24 NAAS YY 06F MM 12 A 6.70 9 2 1 SPARKLING SEA 30/04/24 CATT GG 05F MFS 7 A 2.48 9 2 1 ENGLEMERE 01/05/24 ASCO GS 05F COS 6 A 2.96 9 2 1 ENCHANTING EMPRESS 01/05/24 PONT SS 05F MS 5 A 5.33 9 7 1 FRANCISCOS PIECE 01/05/24 BRIG GG 5.5F MS 7 A 3.59 9 2 1 DAISY INTHE BREEZE 01/05/24 KEMP PT 05F MFS 7 A 1.81 8 9 1 RUBYS PROFIT 01/05/24 ST-CL SS 06F MM 8 A 1.26 8 10 1 MADERO -
Espoir De Guye 20.05 Cheltenham
5/1 Bet365
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3 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:
I hope that I am transparent in my systems, I always state my profit or loss in the various threads I post on.
By your definition I am not smart because I will take the outcome of my system and bet on it regardless. So called negatives can in fact be positives if they are over compensated for in the betting.
You are right though, most systems fail. I always test mine on a years worth of data to see if it still makes a profit. I will then calculate the p-value to ensure that the results are not driven by chance. Even then I will bet small amounts until I have a sufficient bank for that system.
I would hope that you do not marry your systems, you don't strike me as the type of person that would/does, by your own admission you have created/tried many systems, which i think supports my assertion about "smart". So by my definition you are in fact smart.
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I think the best thing about systems is throwing up a quick short list if you don't have the time or inclination to spend ages looking at the form for a days racing.......... use your system to get 3 or 4 'posibles' in a field and then look at those horses in more depth
Similar with 'Trends' ......... a quick way to eliminate a lot of runners in big fields
As long there's some logic behind the system or the trends then it's fair enough........ you have to accept that if you're quickly eliminating runners without due study then you're going to miss some winners !
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