23rd November 2011
Nadal vs Tsonga Betting: The Spaniard is not without a chance against Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
Today's second session is just bound to bring even more excitement than the first one. Rafael Nadal, the world's number two, will need to beat his French opponent, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga, in order to qualify for the semi-finals. And, after two disappointing performances, that will certainly be a challenge. However, it would be horribly wrong to say that he doesn't stand a chance.
The Spaniard was crushed by Roger Federer on Tuesday, but I wouldn't read into that too much. After all, Federer was simply unplayable. Today, there will be no Federer. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga is a great player, but he is still a level or two below the Swiss legend. Yes, Nadal will be under tremendous pressure, but he is usually able to raise his game for these occasions. And remember, Tsonga is also going to be a bit nervous.
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga recorded a decent victory over Mardy Fish, but the scoreline does not tell the entire story. The Frenchman was not really that brilliant, but Fish could not hold his game together in the second set and lost by a huge margin. You can be sure that Nadal is not going to go down like that. In rallies, those two seem to be pretty much equal right now. And, while Tsonga has the advantage when it comes to serve, Nadal is definitely better on return.
The Spaniard leads the H2H record 5-2 (interestingly, they have not actually met on clay yet) and I really do think that the bookmakers are underestimating his chances here. This seems like a 50/50 match to me and, as a result, I simply have to back Rafael Nadal at this price. The handicap line is definitely too small, so I am going to go with the outright instead.
Back Rafael Nadal to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga for a 3/10 stake at 2.33 with Pinnacle
Author: Allen Crouch