2019 Grand Annual Chase Preview & Tips - 5.30pm Cheltenham

2019 PREVIEW DUE by MARCH 5th-10th


Leading Contenders

The final race of the Cheltenham Festival and if the starting prices of recent winners is anything to go by it’s not a great race to try and chase any losses. Only one horse has finished in single figures since 2010 and we have had winners at 40/1, 28/1, 20/1, 16/1, 16/1 and 10/1.

As far as the English/Irish rivalry goes it’s pretty even with the home side just edging it 6-4 over the last 10 renewals.

Jessica Harrington won it last year with Rock The World who is owned by JP McManus; he ran off a mark of 147 that day and now attempts to follow up with 6lbs more to shoulder. He hasn’t won since last year but ran a decent prep race behind Doctor Phoenix in January.

Also in that race at Fairyhouse was stable mate Don’t Touch It, he was back in 6th spot and has since unseated his rider in a valuable handicap at Leopardstown. He will appreciate some decent ground and has an outside chance and we shouldn’t forget he has won at the Punchestown Festival for the last two years so this one can be produced for the big occasion.

With the race being renamed after Nicky Henderson’s father back in 2004 it has obviously become a contest the Seven Barrows trainer has more than a passing interest in. He has actually won it twice, the last in 2012 with Bellvano, which incidentally makes it three wins in the last six years for JP McManus.

Theinval looks to be the yards main hope, the 8yo was third twelve months ago only beaten a couple of lengths and finds himself on the same mark after a frustrating season so far. We can ignore his last run in heavy ground when he was beaten 20 lengths by Ballyhill. He has yet to reach his peak and may need decent ground to show it.

Vaniteux ran at the Festival last year for the Henderson team but was sold to join the David Pipe yard. I think its fair to say he has taken time to settle in and his first four races this season were pretty poor ones. He has come down 7lbs as a result and his second to Politologue last time out at Kempton was more encouraging. Reverting back to handicaps looks a good move and if he could come back to something like his best he would have a squeak.

Paul Nicholls took this with Solar Impulse a couple of years ago and has a good chance with Dolos who has only had three starts over fences to date so is one of the most unexposed runners in the contest.

He won at Ascot on his chase debut and then disappointed next time out over a longer trip. Last time he reverted back to two miles and ran a blinder to finish half a length behind Gino Trail. It was pretty soft that day so if he can improve a touch for a better surface he could get involved off his current mark. Gino Trail lines up again and no doubt will attempt to make all, he's a very consistent sort who gives everything.

Nicholls also runs Le Prezien who ran a cracker here on his first start of the season when second to Foxtail Hill. He then stepped up in trip for his next two races and failed to get involved. That was mainly down to one or two bad errors at the wrong time but whatever the case he will appreciate a drop back to two miles here.

Dan Skelton runs North Hill Harvey here, he had the option of running in the Arkle but has decdided to go down the handicap route with this exciting young chaser. He won his first two races over fences but has since been beaten by Sceau Royal and Saint Calvados. He gets a mark of 150 and that's about right.

Bun Doran is worth a second look for trainer Tom George. The 7yo may have only won once over fences but is a model of consistency and looks on an attractive make at present. Last season he was 6th behind Tully East here at the Festival in the Listed handicap and then went on to Aintree where he was a creditable 3rd. His first run this season was a good second to Gino Trail here over C/D and has since finished 3rd at Wetherby. He often races up with the pace and those tactics have paid off in this race before so he may be a live outsider.

One more to look at is Valdez from the Alan King yard. He had his first run for over 1200 days last month when a well beaten third behind Altior at Newbury. Connections must have been thrilled with that effort after such a long time away. He's on 149 here and if he can build on that first outing he would be an interesting outsider.
 

Punters Lounge Tip: North Hill Harvey EW 9/1 at Betfred - Click Here To Bet

 

Grand Annual Chase Runners



Getting the latest odds...

Grand Annual Chase Trends




Grand Annual Chase Previous Winners

Year Winner Age Weight Jockey Trainer SP
2018 Le Prezien 7 11-08 Barry Geraghty Paul Nicholls 15/2 
2017 Rock The World 9 11-05 Robbie Power Jessica Harrington 10/1
2016 Solar Impulse 6 11 -00 Sam Twiston-Davies Paul Nicholls 28/1
2015 Next Sensation 8 11-02 Tom Scudamore Michael Scudamore 16/1
2014 Savello 8 11-05 Davy Russell Tony Martin 16/1
2013 Alderwood 9 10-11 Tony McCoy Thomas Mullins 3/1
2012 Bellvano 8 10-02 Paul Carberry Nicky Henderson 20/1
2011 Oiseau de Nuit 9 10-13 Steven Clements Colin Tizzard 40/1
2010 Pigeon Island 7 10-01 Paddy Brennan Nigel Twiston-Davies 16/1
2009 Oh Crick 6 10-00 Wayne Hutchinson Alan King 7/1

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