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4th August 2011, 10:04pm

League One Betting: The trap door could finally suck in Tranmere this season

Once again having looked at the top of League One it’s worth looking at the relegation market especially as four teams exit through the trap door into the basement division from this league. At least one side who have been promoted from League Two in the last three seasons have been relegated at the first time of asking so that doesn’t look good for one of Chesterfield, Wycombe, Bury or Stevenage. The market suggests Stevenage are the ones most likely to struggle and I agree with that having just had back to back promotions from the Conference but I wouldn’t immediately rule Bury out either.

I just feel that there’s enough rubbish in this division that both could just about stay up. One side’s chances I do like for the drop is Tranmere. They’ve lost their star player Dale Jennings to Bayern Munich and while they’ve brought one or two in and had some good results in pre-season they don’t look like there’s much depth to their squad. They’ve gradually been getting closer and closer to the drop and this year I think they will make the plunge.

This division has a habit of someone at a big price making the drop into League Two and there’s a chance that trend could continue this season especially with finances tight and able to catch teams out at any point. If you think of Notts County for example although they look financially sound now they struggled last season. We saw Plymouth fall from grace last year too having run into financial constraints.

Rochdale’s change of manager could well see them looking over their shoulder this season but ones at a big price who may struggle is Bournemouth. The South Coast side can be proud of their first season at this level but as we saw with Swindon last year a playoff campaign one season doesn’t mean it can’t be relegation the next. Bournemouth have a very small squad and the loss of Jason Pearce was a blow to Lee Bradbury who himself is still pretty new to management. If they fail to hold on to Danny Ings for the season or he gets injured Bournemouth could be big price casualties.

Back Tranmere to be relegated for a 2/10 stake at 3.50 with Skybet

Back Bournemouth to be relegated for a 1/10 stake at 7.00 with Betfred


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