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Tipster:
RamoniK29

Sport:
Tennis

Event:
China Open

Match
Julien Benneteau v Andreas Seppi

Selection
Benneteau -1.5 sets (Asian Handicap)

Strength
10/10

Date
02/10/2012

Bookmaker/Price
Pinnacle Sports @ 4.34

Reasoning

Start with Andreas Seppi. He is from Italy, 28 years old, tall with good results in ATP Tour, mostly on claycourts. Seppi won 2 ATP titles, but none of them on hardcourts. The Italian serve is good, but not very consistent, 1st serve percentages for him are only average. Recent form is good, he lost 2 weeks ago an indoor ATP Metz final to Tsonga. AS is 25 ATP rankings and he has negative record this year on hardcourts outdoor, 4 wins - 9 loses. Overall record also negative 77W-86L.

Now about Benneteau - he is strong server, well built, offensive minded, he looks to prepaire shots from baseline for winning fast short points. He recently lost ATP Kuala Lumpur Open after leading Pico Monaco in the final, but he was a bit out of fuel in the end. Still, he performed very good tennis, he beat main seed David Ferrer, which is great fact for me. JB is 3 years older, is 33 ATP rankings,  he enjoys his years and plays quality tennis, without any pressure over his shoulders. Talking about experience, the Frenchmen has more matches on hard surfaces, positive balance this year 10W-9L, and pro career record 122W-113L, not brilliant but good, more matches and more victories compared to his rival.

H2H is tie 2-2, Benneteau won last match this year 2-0 at Sydney, also on hardcourt.

Benneteau is more solid and aggresive player than Seppi and he must win here, I do not get the bookies value, maybe they believe Julien is a bit more fatigued but even so he can beat not hard specialist Italian.

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