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Tipster:
Auls

Sport:
Football

Event:
Championship

Match
Middlesbrough v Crystal Palace

Selection
Over 2.5 goals ()

Strength
10/10

Date
25/08/2012

Bookmaker/Price
Ladbrokes @ 2.20

Reasoning

I am not comfortable at all in backing Middlesbrough to win a home game at odds on considering their form here over the last twelve months, but Crystal Palace have struggled to open this season and have been pretty awful away from home from the end of last season and opening this one.

While I am not interested in the win-draw-win market, I have been enticed by the odds against offer for this game to end with at least 3 goals.

Crystal Palace have not kept a clean sheet so far this season in their three games and they have been poor defensively in conceding at least 3 goals in each of their Championship games. Palace have also conceded at least 2 goals in each of their last 5 away games and have only kept 2 clean sheets in their 11 games without a win.

However, one concern I have is they did keep one of those clean sheets here at Middlesbrough. Still, Palace have been poor enough defensively to think Boro should get their chances in this one and get on the scoreboard.

To further my belief that this game could have goals, Palace only failed to score in 6 of their 23 away games last season and they should trouble Middlesbrough at the very least.

The 2.20 being offered on there being goals looks a touch high to me and worth playing.

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