Dustin Johnson (1/4 1-5) (Each Way Bet)
I think this is going to play like a links course but with length also an important factor, so anyone who can play well in links conditions and hit it long has a big advantage. This is Dustin Johnson to a tee. 2nd in the Open last year, 9th in the Open this year. Contended in the 2010 US Open where he had a lead heading into Sunday. That same year he also contended the PGA Championship and would have at least been in a playoff except for that bunker penalty. He's not won a Major yet, but he has certainly come very close.
Kiawah is of course, an Ocean course, and whilst there is nothing quite like it, I think performances at Pebble Beach have to be given some due. A tournament that, not so coincidentally, IMO, Dustin Johnson has won twice. It was also the host of the US Open where he held the Sunday lead. Dustin Johnson is also a Carolina native, and only lived about an hour or so from the course.
Length, as I said, should be a factor here -- it measures some 7676 yards. Dustin Johnson averages a cool 308 yards off the tee, good enough for 7th best this year, and his abilities as a bomber are surely undisputed. Ideally he'll hit it a bit straighter than his stats suggest, but with the links conditions coming into play I feel this is less of a concern.
Interestingly, with Keegan's win this week there was an interesting stat that the tour brought up - there are 5 players under 30 win 3 or more wins on TOUR. Keegan (3) joins Rory McIlroy (3), Anthony Kim (3) and Webb Simpson (3). Dustin Johnson has (6). Aside from Kim, the others all have Majors. It's obviously not a particularly causative reason to back him this weekend, but having already backed Dustin, found it comforting nonetheless. There's no doubt Dustin Johnson has the talent to win a Major, and I think that he has a lot of things going in his favour. The length of the course, the links like conditions, a native of the state, the recent experience of contending in Majors.
- Bookmaker Free Bet