Tour De France
Robert Gesink ()
This is a bet with high value and one I am very keen on this year. He doesn't have the proven experience of a rider like Evans, but the odds here more than make up for that. Gesink is a proper tour rider in that he builds each season around the Tour. In the past he has really struggled and lost big chunks in the time trial, and I think this history is causing these odds. What I don't think the market is factoring in is just how much the young dutchman has worked on his time trial position and improved. Over 34km in the Tour de Suisse, he lost just 25 seconds to Fabian Cancellara. In the Amgen ToC, he lost just 39s to Zabriskie over 30km.
Gesink's form in the tour I believe will be even stronger than in those recent events as this is what he is building his season around, and I think makes him a super dangerous rider. He's a better climber than Wiggins, and potentially could be better than Evans too. We've not yet seen the best of Robert Gesink in a Tour de France, and I think this is a great situation to back him -- no Contador, no Schleck, a false favourite in Wiggins. Evans of course is a deserved favourite but otherwise I think the field is weaker than it's been in ages. Combine that with the factor that Gesink has unseen potential that could be realized this year and I think he's supreme value.
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