Scottish Premier League Football Prediction Ratings 2011/2012

Prediction Ratings are what they say they are - ratings that will tell you where the value bet is. They are based on the last 4 home matches and the last 4 away matches.

The ratings are based on attacking play in previous performances, which is the only way you can realistically rate a team properly.

What do the numbers mean?

I like to say that 20pts difference is the same as 1 clear goal superior to the other team.

Ok here is an example of 3 matches and I'll explain how I see what the ratings are telling me:

Example 1

Arsenal 91 v 21 Hull +70 1.22 4.40 15.00

This would suggest Arsenal are no value at all. The ratings have them over 2 goals superior, so an obvious win on the cards.

Example 2

Wigan 45 v Arsenal 23 +22 4.30 3.15 1.60

This would suggest that backing Wigan and the draw is good value, as Arsenal seem to be average away from home.

Example 3

Leeds 67 v 35 Leicester +32 2.50 3.25 2.50

This would suggest backing Leeds and the draw would be a strong bet, as they are clearly superior and perhaps Leicester were being priced on reputation, rather than actual performances.

You will see that there are 2 numbers in the centre. This denotes each teams average over the last 2 games, which should give the ratings another level of accuracy.

Below are the latest prediction ratings for the Scottish Premier League.

28/04/2012	Dundee Utd	51.25	38.50 - 31.00	28.75	Hearts	+22.50
28/04/2012	Dunfermline Athletic	25.00	28.00 - 12.00	22.75	Aberdeen	+2.25
28/04/2012	Kilmarnock	19.50	23.50 - 25.00	26.50	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	-7.00
28/04/2012	Motherwell	39.25	29.50 - 13.00	27.25	St Johnstone	+12.00
29/04/2012	Celtic	56.75	49.50 - 53.50	61.25	Rangers	-4.50
29/04/2012	St Mirren	32.25	43.50 - 29.50	37.25	Hibernian	-5.00

21/04/2012	Hearts	27.75	42.00 - 54.50	67.00	Rangers	-39.25
21/04/2012	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	23.50	16.50 - 15.00	22.50	Aberdeen	+1.00
21/04/2012	St Johnstone	32.50	32.00 - 32.50	40.75	Dundee Utd	-8.25
21/04/2012	St Mirren	27.75	31.50 - 2.50	8.75	Dunfermline Athletic	+19.00
22/04/2012	Hibernian	18.25	18.50 - 22.50	17.75	Kilmarnock	+0.50
22/04/2012	Motherwell	46.75	34.50 - 59.00	59.25	Celtic	-12.50

21/04/2012	Hearts	27.75	42.00 - 54.50	67.00	Rangers	-39.25
21/04/2012	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	23.50	16.50 - 15.00	22.50	Aberdeen	+1.00
21/04/2012	St Johnstone	32.50	32.00 - 32.50	40.75	Dundee Utd	-8.25
21/04/2012	St Mirren	27.75	31.50 - 2.50	8.75	Dunfermline Athletic	+19.00
22/04/2012	Hibernian	18.25	18.50 - 22.50	17.75	Kilmarnock	+0.50
22/04/2012	Motherwell	46.75	34.50 - 59.00	59.25	Celtic	-12.50

07/04/2012	Aberdeen	26.75	19.50 - 45.00	44.75	Dundee Utd	-18.00
07/04/2012	Dunfermline Athletic	21.50	28.00 - 20.50	24.50	Hearts	-3.00
07/04/2012	Kilmarnock	26.25	39.00 - 31.00	51.75	Celtic	-25.50
07/04/2012	Rangers	47.50	43.00 - 27.50	25.50	St Mirren	+22.00
07/04/2012	St Johnstone	27.00	47.00 - 26.50	21.75	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	+5.25
08/04/2012	Hibernian	16.75	23.00 - 27.00	19.75	Motherwell	-3.00

31/03/2012	Dundee Utd	44.25	36.50 - 10.00	17.50	Dunfermline Athletic	+26.75
31/03/2012	Hearts	29.75	34.50 - 33.50	30.50	Aberdeen	-0.75
31/03/2012	Motherwell	48.00	49.00 - 69.00	70.75	Rangers	-22.75
31/03/2012	St Mirren	23.75	21.00 - 13.50	21.50	Kilmarnock	+2.25
01/04/2012	Celtic	55.75	74.00 - 40.00	31.25	St Johnstone	+24.50
01/04/2012	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	22.75	28.00 - 30.00	31.25	Hibernian	-8.50

24/03/2012	Aberdeen	27.00	21.00 - 28.00	25.50	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	+1.50
24/03/2012	Dunfermline Athletic	18.50	22.00 - 16.00	26.00	St Mirren	-7.50
24/03/2012	Hibernian	21.00	18.00 - 49.00	46.50	Dundee Utd	-25.50
24/03/2012	Kilmarnock	14.50	15.50 - 24.50	28.25	Motherwell	-13.75
24/03/2012	St Johnstone	31.25	33.00 - 26.50	25.00	Hearts	+6.25
25/03/2012	Rangers	45.50	31.00 - 59.50	56.50	Celtic	-11.00

17/03/2012	Dundee Utd	43.50	64.00 - 79.50	62.00	Rangers	-18.50
17/03/2012	Motherwell	47.25	59.00 - 30.00	31.75	Aberdeen	+15.50
17/03/2012	St Mirren	31.25	24.00 - 22.50	39.00	St Johnstone	-7.75
18/03/2012	Hearts	33.00	13.50 - 45.00	42.25	Hibernian	-9.25

10/03/2012

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

25.75

17.50 - 13.00

21.75

Kilmarnock

+4.00

03/03/2012	Aberdeen	24.50	34.00 - 72.50	58.50	Celtic	-34.00
03/03/2012	Dunfermline Athletic	20.25	15.00 - 12.50	18.50	Motherwell	+1.75
03/03/2012	Hibernian	13.00	10.50 - 23.50	28.00	St Mirren	-15.00
03/03/2012	Kilmarnock	17.25	13.50 - 47.50	46.50	St Johnstone	-29.25
03/03/2012	Rangers	57.25	52.00 - 28.50	34.75	Hearts	+22.50
05/03/2012	Dundee Utd	44.00	52.00 - 17.00	26.00	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	+18.00

25/02/2012	Celtic	57.25	64.00 - 32.00	18.00	Motherwell	+39.25
25/02/2012	Hearts	44.50	25.00 - 44.50	53.25	Dundee Utd	-8.75
25/02/2012	Kilmarnock	20.00	13.50 - 32.50	36.25	Hibernian	-16.25
25/02/2012	St Johnstone	18.50	7.00 - 15.00	28.50	Dunfermline Athletic	-10.00
25/02/2012	St Mirren	33.25	26.50 - 27.50	26.25	Aberdeen	+7.00
26/02/2012	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	27.75	26.50 - 72.50	43.00	Rangers	-15.25

21/02/2012	Dundee Utd	32.50	23.00 - 29.50	30.25	Kilmarnock	+2.25
22/02/2012	Celtic	41.00	37.50 - 25.00	28.00	Dunfermline Athletic	+13.00
22/02/2012	Motherwell	36.25	47.00 - 39.50	37.75	Hibernian	-1.50

18/02/2012	Dundee Utd	28.75	36.00 - 36.00	42.00	St Mirren	-13.25
18/02/2012	Dunfermline Athletic	13.25	15.00 - 23.00	27.25	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	-14.00
18/02/2012	Motherwell	34.25	35.50 - 23.50	31.00	Hearts	+3.25
18/02/2012	Rangers	61.00	60.00 - 30.50	29.50	Kilmarnock	+31.50
19/02/2012	Aberdeen	22.50	33.00 - 55.50	46.75	St Johnstone	-24.25
19/02/2012	Hibernian	18.00	24.00 - 53.50	57.75	Celtic	-39.75

11/02/2012	Celtic	43.00	50.50 - 35.00	38.25	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	+4.75
11/02/2012	Dunfermline Athletic	8.50	25.50 - 44.50	32.25	Rangers	-23.75
11/02/2012	Hibernian	15.75	15.50 - 33.50	30.00	Aberdeen	-14.25
11/02/2012	Kilmarnock	22.50	21.00 - 41.00	26.75	Hearts	-4.25
11/02/2012	St Johnstone	27.00	29.50 - 44.00	45.75	Dundee Utd	-18.75
11/02/2012	St Mirren	34.00	38.50 - 24.50	24.00	Motherwell	+10.00

07/02/2012	Dunfermline Athletic	10.50	11.50 - 31.00	34.75	Kilmarnock	-24.25
08/02/2012	Hearts	49.25	52.50 - 44.50	52.25	Celtic	-3.00

21/01/2012	Dundee Utd	26.25	42.00 - 4.00	18.75	Motherwell	+7.50
21/01/2012	Hibernian	15.75	12.00 - 38.00	24.75	St Johnstone	-9.00
21/01/2012	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	25.75	29.00 - 38.50	27.50	Hearts	-1.75
21/01/2012	Kilmarnock	29.00	26.50 - 13.50	17.00	Dunfermline Athletic	+12.00
21/01/2012	Rangers	52.25	62.00 - 25.00	24.50	Aberdeen	+27.75
21/01/2012	St Mirren	39.75	40.00 - 62.00	53.00	Celtic	-13.25

14/01/2012	Aberdeen	16.75	12.00 - 28.50	37.50	Kilmarnock	-20.75
14/01/2012	Celtic	49.75	44.50 - 62.00	50.75	Dundee Utd	-1.00
14/01/2012	Dunfermline Athletic	5.25	-8.50 - 36.00	28.25	Hibernian	-23.00
14/01/2012	Hearts	53.50	64.00 - 48.00	31.00	St Mirren	+22.50
14/01/2012	Motherwell	31.50	34.50 - 31.50	32.25	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	-0.75
14/01/2012	St Johnstone	26.75	30.00 - 13.50	22.50	Rangers	+4.25

02/01/2012	Dundee Utd	20.25	21.50 - 26.50	27.00	Aberdeen	-6.75
02/01/2012	Dunfermline Athletic	7.00	9.50 - 60.00	50.00	Celtic	-43.00
02/01/2012	Hibernian	19.50	16.00 - 12.50	21.00	Hearts	-1.50
02/01/2012	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	25.75	29.00 - 38.00	24.75	St Johnstone	+1.00
02/01/2012	Kilmarnock	23.25	24.00 - 49.50	34.50	St Mirren	-11.25
02/01/2012	Rangers	44.00	54.00 - 23.50	25.75	Motherwell	+18.25

28/12/2011	Aberdeen	19.00	17.00 - 16.50	26.75	Hearts	-7.75
28/12/2011	Celtic	43.75	55.00 - 31.50	35.25	Rangers	+8.50
28/12/2011	Hibernian	20.25	19.50 - 41.50	46.75	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	-26.50
28/12/2011	Motherwell	31.50	34.50 - 13.50	17.00	Dunfermline Athletic	+14.50
28/12/2011	St Johnstone	23.00	24.50 - 46.50	38.75	Kilmarnock	-15.75
28/12/2011	St Mirren	41.50	39.50 - 47.50	38.00	Dundee Utd	+3.50

17/12/2011	Aberdeen	22.75	21.50 - 20.50	26.25	Hibernian	-3.50
17/12/2011	Hearts	45.25	43.00 - 17.50	20.00	Dunfermline Athletic	+25.25
17/12/2011	Kilmarnock	27.00	31.50 - 39.50	42.75	Dundee Utd	-15.75
17/12/2011	Motherwell	27.25	21.50 - 14.00	30.00	St Mirren	-2.75
17/12/2011	Rangers	47.25	42.50 - 33.00	40.00	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	+7.25
18/12/2011	St Johnstone	26.00	23.50 - 44.00	44.25	Celtic	-18.25

10/12/2011	Aberdeen	42.00	21.00 - 19.50	27.50	St Mirren	+14.50
10/12/2011	Celtic	47.25	60.00 - 29.50	29.75	Hearts	+17.50
10/12/2011	Dunfermline Athletic	10.50	19.00 - 46.50	38.75	Kilmarnock	-28.25
10/12/2011	Hibernian	21.75	23.00 - 37.50	51.25	Rangers	-29.50
10/12/2011	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	28.75	22.50 - 28.50	38.00	Dundee Utd	-9.25
10/12/2011	St Johnstone	32.00	28.50 - 28.00	31.50	Motherwell	+0.50

02/12/2011	Motherwell	27.25	21.50 - 20.50	26.25	Hibernian	+1.00
03/12/2011	Hearts	47.00	53.00 - 11.50	23.25	St Johnstone	+23.75
03/12/2011	Kilmarnock	31.25	22.50 - 26.50	31.00	Aberdeen	+0.25
03/12/2011	Rangers	48.00	34.00 - 20.50	22.00	Dunfermline Athletic	+26.00
03/12/2011	St Mirren	45.75	48.50 - 52.00	31.75	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	+14.00
04/12/2011	Dundee Utd	22.25	19.00 - 40.00	46.00	Celtic	-23.75

26/11/2011	Celtic	37.00	32.50 - 46.00	29.00	St Mirren	+8.00
26/11/2011	Dunfermline Athletic	12.00	4.50 - 24.00	25.25	Aberdeen	-13.25
26/11/2011	Hearts	38.75	47.50 - 47.00	33.50	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	+5.25
26/11/2011	Motherwell	23.75	28.50 - 46.00	35.75	Dundee Utd	-12.00
26/11/2011	St Johnstone	33.25	30.50 - 35.00	40.50	Hibernian	-7.25
27/11/2011	Kilmarnock	29.00	22.50 - 39.00	55.75	Rangers	-26.75

23/11/2011

Celtic

42.25

34.50 - 22.50

20.00

Dunfermline Athletic

+22.25

19/11/2011	Aberdeen	45.75	24.00 - 36.00	26.75	Motherwell	+19.00
19/11/2011	Dundee Utd	26.75	16.50 - 37.00	30.75	Hearts	-4.00
19/11/2011	Hibernian	26.00	21.00 - 39.00	29.00	Kilmarnock	-3.00
19/11/2011	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	31.25	34.50 - 44.50	41.25	Celtic	-10.00
19/11/2011	Rangers	58.50	52.00 - 24.50	31.75	St Johnstone	+26.75
19/11/2011	St Mirren	38.75	43.50 - 23.50	19.75	Dunfermline Athletic	+19.00

05/11/2011	Hibernian	30.00	20.50 - 17.50	17.75	Dunfermline Athletic	+12.25
05/11/2011	Kilmarnock	30.00	40.00 - 11.50	22.25	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	+7.75
05/11/2011	Rangers	60.75	62.00 - 47.50	45.75	Dundee Utd	+15.00
05/11/2011	St Mirren	37.75	43.00 - 30.00	34.25	Hearts	+3.50
06/11/2011	Motherwell	23.00	33.00 - 52.00	48.00	Celtic	-25.00
07/11/2011	St Johnstone	33.25	30.50 - 24.00	25.25	Aberdeen	+8.00

29/10/2011	Aberdeen	52.50	63.00 - 65.00	64.75	Rangers	-12.25
29/10/2011	Celtic	48.00	41.50 - 32.00	40.00	Hibernian	+8.00
29/10/2011	Dunfermline Athletic	12.25	2.00 - 25.50	29.75	Dundee Utd	-17.50
29/10/2011	Hearts	41.00	41.00 - 31.00	27.50	Kilmarnock	+13.50
29/10/2011	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	31.00	35.00 - 35.00	29.25	Motherwell	+1.75
29/10/2011	St Johnstone	32.75	35.50 - 35.50	25.25	St Mirren	+7.50

22/10/2011	Dundee Utd	28.25	25.50 - 35.00	34.25	St Johnstone	-6.00
22/10/2011	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	25.00	28.00 - 16.00	18.00	Dunfermline Athletic	+7.00
22/10/2011	Motherwell	27.50	19.00 - 19.00	23.25	Kilmarnock	+4.25
22/10/2011	St Mirren	30.25	34.00 - 46.00	35.25	Hibernian	-5.00
23/10/2011	Celtic	53.25	50.00 - 35.50	24.00	Aberdeen	+29.25
23/10/2011	Hearts	38.75	30.00 - 72.50	65.50	Rangers	-26.75

15/10/2011	Aberdeen	49.50	67.50 - 44.00	32.25	Dundee Utd	+17.25
15/10/2011	Dunfermline Athletic	18.25	19.50 - 24.50	34.25	Hearts	-16.00
15/10/2011	Hibernian	29.00	31.00 - 17.50	28.75	Motherwell	+0.25
15/10/2011	Kilmarnock	35.00	35.50 - 38.00	55.75	Celtic	-20.75
15/10/2011	Rangers	56.25	65.00 - 12.00	20.00	St Mirren	+36.25
15/10/2011	St Johnstone	26.50	36.00 - 20.00	28.00	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	-1.50

30/09/2011	Aberdeen	33.75	42.00 - 18.00	20.67	Dunfermline Athletic	+13.08
01/10/2011	Dundee Utd	42.00	37.00 - 23.50	28.75	Motherwell	+13.25
01/10/2011	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	20.50	27.00 - 15.00	27.50	St Mirren	-7.00
01/10/2011	Kilmarnock	31.75	20.00 - 39.00	30.50	St Johnstone	+1.25
01/10/2011	Rangers	48.00	59.50 - 48.00	37.50	Hibernian	+10.50
02/10/2011	Hearts	35.50	41.00 - 44.00	54.00	Celtic	-18.50

27/09/2011	Rangers	39.67	47.50 - 24.00	29.00	Kilmarnock	+10.67
28/09/2011	Hibernian	21.50	39.50 - 33.50	29.00	St Johnstone	-7.50

24/09/2011	Celtic	59.67	54.50 - 33.00	28.25	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	+31.42
24/09/2011	Dunfermline Athletic	19.50	22.50 - 64.50	60.00	Rangers	-40.50
24/09/2011	Hibernian	15.33	27.00 - 34.00	31.00	Dundee Utd	-15.67
24/09/2011	Motherwell	33.25	13.00 - 26.50	20.75	Aberdeen	+12.50
24/09/2011	St Mirren	29.50	32.50 - 27.50	31.00	Kilmarnock	-1.50
25/09/2011	St Johnstone	25.33	30.00 - 38.50	40.75	Hearts	-15.42

17/09/2011	Aberdeen	32.67	31.50 - 34.00	34.00	Kilmarnock	-1.33
17/09/2011	Dundee Utd	41.25	31.00 - 36.00	29.33	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	+11.92
17/09/2011	Dunfermline Athletic	14.67	17.00 - 24.50	26.67	Hibernian	-12.00
17/09/2011	Hearts	38.00	47.50 - 28.00	36.33	St Mirren	+1.67
17/09/2011	Motherwell	41.67	36.00 - 22.00	21.00	St Johnstone	+20.67
18/09/2011	Rangers	36.50	36.50 - 73.50	62.33	Celtic	-25.83

10/09/2011	Celtic	56.50	56.50 - 40.00	37.00	Motherwell	+19.50
10/09/2011	Dundee Utd	43.67	47.00 - 58.50	62.33	Rangers	-18.67
10/09/2011	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	21.33	22.00 - 44.00	45.67	Hearts	-24.33
10/09/2011	Kilmarnock	32.67	34.50 - 20.00	20.00	Dunfermline Athletic	+12.67
10/09/2011	St Mirren	30.67	26.50 - 24.50	24.50	St Johnstone	+6.17
11/09/2011	Hibernian	3.50	3.50 - 12.50	16.67	Aberdeen	-13.17

27/08/2011	Dunfermline Athletic	16.50	16.50 - 34.00	34.00	Motherwell	-17.50
27/08/2011	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	14.00	14.00 - 38.00	38.00	Kilmarnock	-24.00
27/08/2011	St Johnstone	17.00	17.00 - 20.50	20.50	Dundee Utd	-3.50
28/08/2011	Hearts	30.00	30.00 - 27.00	27.00	Hibernian	+3.00
28/08/2011	Rangers	24.00	24.00 - 15.00	15.00	Aberdeen	+9.00
28/08/2011	St Mirren	26.50	26.50 - 64.00	64.00	Celtic	-37.50