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Old 01-09-2008, 19:55   #1 (permalink)
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Default Who'll win then??

Gone all quiet in here...

Who will win this now??
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Old 01-09-2008, 20:34   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

On the very first night I said only Luke or Mikey are capable of winning and so Mikey it is then.
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Old 01-09-2008, 23:01   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

sara at 4/1 and rex at 7/1 with will hill has got to be worth a tenner each.
surprisingly mikey is favourite at 11/10...but if he wins i will never bet again or watch BB again in my life.
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Old 02-09-2008, 01:11   #4 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

I'm a Rex and Darnell fan. Good thing is the final is a vote to win although these two housemates have their haters they also have fans. Rex inparticular is a marmite sort of character which may ensure he gets to the final three but may fall down at the final hurdle is his haters vote for the other housemates left purely so he doens't win.

Both are remarkable value in my opinion.

You can only rule out Kat and Mo who will go on Tuesday I expect. Any of the others have a realistic chance of winning in my view.

If you have a betfair account my advice would be to back Rex and Darnell and then trade out when their prices drop, which they will if the survive Tuesday's eviction.

I personally don't think Mikey will win and is at ridicolously short odds when it's so wide open this year.

I've currently got:
£10 on Rex @ 18/1
£10 on Darnell @ 20/1
£10 on Sara @ 8/1
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Old 02-09-2008, 11:57   #5 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

Quote:
Originally Posted by punting mad View Post
sara at 4/1 and rex at 7/1 with will hill has got to be worth a tenner each.
surprisingly mikey is favourite at 11/10...but if he wins i will never bet again or watch BB again in my life.
I know what you mean about Mikey - I find him disgusting.
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Old 02-09-2008, 14:57   #6 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

After a few weeks in i went for Mikey to win with Rachel being the last female out. I also added in Darnell to win a few weeks ago.

Sara is mounting a late challenge but would be surprised if she does well enough to finish in the top 2.

Mo and Kat will go early with Rex not far behind.

I'm still confident of Mikey winning
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Old 02-09-2008, 23:17   #7 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

Quote:
Originally Posted by barrhead73 View Post
After a few weeks in i went for Mikey to win with Rachel being the last female out. I also added in Darnell to win a few weeks ago.

Sara is mounting a late challenge but would be surprised if she does well enough to finish in the top 2.

Mo and Kat will go early with Rex not far behind.

I'm still confident of Mikey winning
Good call on Mo & Kat.

You would hope the public pick someone that has a bit of character.
Rachel and Mikey are a no no for me, they just don't have anything interesting about them. If either of them won, could you honestly see them in the spotlight in 2 months time?

Rex - I know he is annoying but at least you would have fun watching him make a fool of himself in the papers with all the other 'Z' listers.

Darnell - apart from the deep self analysis he seems a nice bloke, I'm sure we would see some sort of musical release from him if he won.

Sara - latecomers don't win unless they are on top form 24hrs a day which she isn't.
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Old 02-09-2008, 23:22   #8 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

You may find they engineer the last few episodes to favour who they would like to win it. The producers want the winner to be the person who makes the most headlines. Being blind, that is Mikey. Remember Nadia the transexual who was going to walk unless she got cigarettes - BB gave some to her. They would never do that for anyone else. Pete the tourettes sufferer is another one who springs to mind.

Expect some favourable editing for Mikey this week
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Old 02-09-2008, 23:54   #9 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

Mikey will win it because he's blind.

I correctly said Mo and Kat would go.

Personally I don't see how there's much to like about Mikey or Rachel. Mikey's price is way to short in my opinion. I'd back the three outsiders in Sara, Rex and Darnell. Like I said before this is wide open it largely depends on the edits for the reminder of the show.

Kat getting evicted was hilarious though, she thought she was a nailed on winner. :

Last edited by Denman; 02-09-2008 at 23:55.
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Old 03-09-2008, 21:20   #10 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

I would love Rex to win but unfortunately he's screwed it when Nicole came in.

If Rex can't win I dont care who else wins, I was just glad Fat Kat went out lastnight
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Old 03-09-2008, 23:08   #11 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

Sara is drifting whilst Rex odds have shortened greatly on betfair after tonight's highlight show.

Rex is now at 6/1, I've backed him a lot this week at 10s+. He'll make the final three in my opinion odds so I'm not laying off just yet. Was expecting Darnell odds to shorten but he's drifted slightly but is still a much better than a 31/1 chance.
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Old 04-09-2008, 12:31   #12 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

Quote:
Originally Posted by AK1979 View Post
You may find they engineer the last few episodes to favour who they would like to win it. The producers want the winner to be the person who makes the most headlines. Being blind, that is Mikey. Remember Nadia the transexual who was going to walk unless she got cigarettes - BB gave some to her. They would never do that for anyone else. Pete the tourettes sufferer is another one who springs to mind.

Expect some favourable editing for Mikey this week

I disagree. I think C4 will give Rex most of the limelight this week in an attempt to beef up the phone voting and try and turn it into a two horse race. Odds for Mikey are now under 2's.
The bookies have not been wrong this series.
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Old 04-09-2008, 14:48   #13 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

Quote:
Originally Posted by barrhead73 View Post
I disagree. I think C4 will give Rex most of the limelight this week in an attempt to beef up the phone voting and try and turn it into a two horse race. Odds for Mikey are now under 2's.
The bookies have not been wrong this series.
Like last year you mean when the twins were odds on for a large majority of the show.

If you look at the polls it's Rachel who's topping the majority with Sara and Rex close behind followed by Mikey in 4th.
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Old 04-09-2008, 15:50   #14 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

Quote:
Originally Posted by Denmen_the_destroyer View Post
Like last year you mean when the twins were odds on for a large majority of the show.

If you look at the polls it's Rachel who's topping the majority with Sara and Rex close behind followed by Mikey in 4th.

I said "this series".

I read a story on the BBC website which was talking about bookie and big brother and how they knew straight away who would be evicted this year. They talk about how Stuart's odds were 1/16 straight away even though his character is usually quite a popular type of housemate.

Which polls are you referring to Denman.....as i am amazed that two females are in the first two places given that we have only had one (real) female winner in the last 8 years.
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Old 05-09-2008, 01:01   #15 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

A few polls here, I've seen loads of polls and Mikey has never been at the top but that doesn't mean he can't win just very strange considering he's the well clear favourite according to the bookies.

http://www.scribd.com/doc/5512262/BB...h-Tracker-Poll

http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/forums/s...d.php?t=887029

and The Sun from yesterday was:
Mikey 16%
Darnell 11%
Sara 26%
Rachel 25%
Rex 22%
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Old 05-09-2008, 08:14   #16 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

Well at least it makes a change from the last 8 series where we knew the winner a few weeks before the show had finished.

I'm in profit if Mikey or Darnell wins or if Rachel finishes top female.
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Old 05-09-2008, 14:50   #17 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

What I stand to win/lose on the winner:



I'm hoping Mikey goes before the final two. If not as long as it's him and Rex left in the final two I can lay Rex and gurantee a profit either way. Personally I think Rex or Rachel is going to win it.
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Old 05-09-2008, 17:09   #18 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

Good Luck Denman. I honestly can't see Sara or Rachel winning but think the other three definitely can. I think the producers would love it to be Sara or Rex.
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Old 05-09-2008, 18:40   #19 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

Quote:
Originally Posted by SteveO View Post
Good Luck Denman. I honestly can't see Sara or Rachel winning but think the other three definitely can. I think the producers would love it to be Sara or Rex.
It depends on who the producers have backed.

And Mike is probably blind because like all the others, he's a w@nker.
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Last edited by Cassius Marcellus; 05-09-2008 at 18:41.
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Old 05-09-2008, 21:08   #20 (permalink)
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Default Re: Who'll win then??

Quote:
Originally Posted by barrhead73 View Post
The bookies have not been wrong this series.
Pretty sure that Lisa was favourite to stay in and avoid eviction last week when Sara just pipped her.
Never seen Michael as an odd-on favourite.
Sara to nick it for putting up with Darnell's jibes.

Last edited by McG; 05-09-2008 at 21:11. Reason: Mixed up Sara and Rachel - not a regular viewer
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