Fri 14/03/08 - Race 1 - David Nicholson Mares Only Hurdle

[mowgli77]

Trends, previews and betting will follow.

[courtyboy02]

One of my leading fancies for Cheltenham, Theatre Girl, runs in this race, and I fancy her to beat Chomba Womba in this.

Chomba Womba I think is best at 2m. The last 3 races she has lost in her last 9 starts, have been over 2m4f. She has won the last 4 times she has gone shorter.

Theatre Girl finished strongly in her last 2 starts, and looks sure to stay 2m4f. There are few better mares over hurdles than Theatre Girl. She must have a leading chance.

Theatre Girl E/W.

[welshman443]

Trends Summary-strong Advice-the Only Bit Of Info On This Race Is Back A Mare ,this Race Is A New Race To Yhe Meeting So I Would Advise Small Bets On This Race

[billvernon]

Welshman - pretty silly comment - " back a mare "
you inputting some humourous comments on here - as i said silly to critizise others .

[welshman443]

if you read the trends mate thats what it says

[Charlie Wong]

Mick Fitz fancies Chomba Womba for this.

[welshman443]

ok mate firstly the race as only been run three times and the trends in the book says

[welshman443]

adding to the above the 3 horses to have won the race were mares and there aint no more trends 4 the race

[welshman443]

hi billvernon,in relation to the comments you put in thestats regarding the world hurdle,you put inglis drever--9yrs old ,to old look at barracouda last race at cheltenham---my reply to that are this no horse of 9yrs have won it inglis drever was 8 when he won it in 2007 and he was 6 when he won it in 2005 ,there for he is over 5yrs and no horse of that age as won the race also no horse over the age of 8 has won it ,barracouda never won is last race at cheltenham he went for this and lost ,then he was retired ,when he did win it the first time [barracouda that is]he was 7yrs old ,the second time he won it he was 8 ,he did try and win it again but failed which means that he or no other horse older than 8 has won it ,lastly mate inglis drever trained by j.johnson ,he aint irish as for barracudda his trainer doumen he french,and IF you look back at the history books no irish trainer has ever won the race ---so that says to me you could,nt have read the stats properly mate

[billvernon]

Reread the comments welshman I said Inglis was having to go against the trend and to look at Kasbah Bliss. Stop the personal stuff this site is for unters to pass good info . I said thanks to you on another thread for your inputs .

[billvernon]

Chomba Womba - Sweet Kiln and outsider Gaspara (Chelt specialist.)

[Gingertipster]

Two I like Labelthou 10/1 (taken a chance on it being soft enough, looking at backing Theatre Girl.

[AK1979]

Supreme Novices Hurdle:

I’ve been looking at some of the markets for the forthcoming festival and have seen one I like in the Supreme Novices hurdle in THEATRE GIRL. Lets get the negative out of the way in that the current favourite, Khyber Kim, beat Theatre Girl last time out – but not by much, only a couple of lengths with the pair of them 24 lengths clear of the 3^rd After several good efforts in bumpers, most notably at Aintree, where the first 2 again pulled clear, she got her hurdling campaign off to a good start, winning in a good time at Wincanton.

Despite no form at Cheltenham as yet, she has hinted that the stiff finish will be up her street. Mares have a decent record in this race too, partly due to the 7lb weight allowance they receive, which will give her a 5lb pull over Khyber Kim from their running last time out. She is trading at 3 times the price of the favourite, which seems too big. Must have big each way claims.

Supreme Novices Hurdle: THEATRE GIRL each way @ 25/1 bet365

Thats my antepost bet for the Supreme Novices hurdle so im a little aggrieved that she looks like lining up in this race instead. Nonetheless, the extra distance should be right up her street - recent runs suggest she has been crying out for it so should go close.

THEATRE GIRL @ 11/2 CORAL

[WoodyTHFC]

12.30 Chomba Womba pretty useful over in Ireland and carried on that with henderson. Notched up three wins, first two with ease (forget first winning margin) lto beat Theatre Girl who looks good as well but Chomba Womba looks just that little bit more experienced and battle hard for a race like this. Goes on different kind of ground, henderson just missed out on a winner of late at the fest. but has good chances today to put that right.

[WorkingForTheEnemy]

adding to the above the 3 horses to have won the race were mares and there aint no more trends 4 the race

Welshman - pretty silly comment - " back a mare "
you inputting some humourous comments on here - as i said silly to critizise others .

I think the comment was made as the answer to that trend is kinda in the name of the race. As its a mares only race, all 3 winners would have been mares.

[jcosgrove]

I have an antepost bet at 7/2 on chomba womba. But I think Labelthouh is overprices at 15/2. If there has been more rain then I make her more a 5/1 shot. Has good form LTO beating refinement & gaspara. Gaspara was getting 2lbs and got beat 4 lengths yet is 13/2.

1pt e/w Labelthou.

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

Originally Posted by welshman443

Trends Summary-strong Advice-the Only Bit Of Info On This Race Is Back A Mare ,this Race Is A New Race To Yhe Meeting So I Would Advise Small Bets On This Race

All 3 winners have had 4 legs as well

[bowles10]

McCoy wont be pleased with that, worked so hard to get it there & then what happened?

I think the rail helped the other one get up, but the picture made it look like McCoy thought he had won it

[mileni4uk]

AP has no fault imo. Jason Maguire thought he beat Chomba Womba and spoted Refinement late. I think he won the race rather than AP losing it. And to steer it home after looking beaten is admirable !!