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Old 17-07-2004, 10:58   #1 (permalink)
Mr Bookie Buster
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Default Copa America - Peru V Argentian - Over 2.5 Goals - Good pick

Alright can anyone tell me why exactly that Over 2.5 goals is priced at 2.4 in Betfair? Answer - Quite simply the market has just gone mad after the low scoring Euro 2004. Copa America has been far from Low scoring so far and the present price on over in the Peru game is simply a price that must be had.

Facts.

In Argentina's 3 games in Copa America - 2 out of 3 went over with an average of 4.66 goals per game

In Peru's 3 Copa America games - All 3 have gone over with an average of 4 goals per game.

Peru met Argentina already at the end of June in a friendly and there were 3 goals in that match.

Also in Argentina and Peru's last 8 games each, there have been an average of about 3 goals in each one.


End Facts

In my opinion the price on Over 2.5 should be around 1.60 and not 2.40 . The price is just silly silly silly and another example of market idiots who clearly cannot even deciefer stats, pushing up the price. Anyway great opportunity to make some cash in my opinion with only a small percentage chance of the game going Under.

Bookie Buster
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Old 17-07-2004, 19:04   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: Copa America - Peru V Argentian - Over 2.5 Goals - Good

sounds worthwhile. got on at 2.38
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Old 18-07-2004, 00:22   #3 (permalink)
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Default Good spot

Nice one Data a good spot that backed up with some good facts.

Also in Copa America so far as a whole 11/18 have gone over 2.5 goals so just as a random game this deserves to be evens or less.

Ive taken it at 2.38 for a decent stake at betfair.

Lets hope for a few goals tonight
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