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Old 21-04-2008, 20:07   #1 (permalink)
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Default Rating Lays

This is an attempt to look at RP forecast favourites in small fields and either back or lay them. This is largely based on where they figure in my own ratings as with my other threads. I also consider whether I think, based on the forecast price, if they represent value to me. That is a totally subjective opinion.

I haven't decided on staking or odds ceilings or the like but will post for now and monitor. Obviously as will be short priced horses the whole thing could go belly up quite quickly but I'm willing to give it a month if you are

225 KEMP 9/4*Beautiful Lady LAY
250 FOLK 5/4*Copperbottomed BACK
325 FOLK 5/2*Hereford Boy LAY
335 KEMP 6/4*Grande Caiman LAY
350 SOUTH 11/4*Kensington LAY
400 FOLK 7/4*Lupita LAY
500 SOUTH Evs*Pertemps Networks LAY
505 FOLK 11/4*Calistos Quest LAY
515 KEMP 6/4*The Carlton Cannes LAY
645 BATH 6/4*Sugar Ray LAY
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Old 22-04-2008, 23:37   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: Rating Lays

Tuesday 22 April 2008 - results

Relatively good start for the lays although the one I had as a back lost.

225 KEMP 9/4*Beautiful Lady, L 9/4F
250 FOLK 5/4*Copperbottomed, 2ND 10/11F
325 FOLK 5/2*Hereford Boy W 15/8F
335 KEMP 6/4*Grande Caiman L 6/4F
350 SOUTH 11/4*Kensington, L 9/4JF
400 FOLK 7/4*Lupita, L 9/4F
500 SOUTH Evs*Pertemps Networks NR
505 FOLK 11/4*Calistos Quest, L 9/4F
515 KEMP 6/4*The Carlton Cannes, 2ND 4/5F
645 BATH 6/4*Sugar Ray, W 1/1F

Last edited by rooster; 23-04-2008 at 08:30. Reason: correcting format
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Old 22-04-2008, 23:54   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: Rating Lays

Wednesday 23 April 2008

200 CATTERICK 5/2 Keiser Blue (LAY)
310 CATTERICK 11/8 Planetarium (LAY)
320 PERTH 6/4 Fleet Street (LAY)
330 NOTTINGHAM 4/7 Curtain Call (LAY)
920 KEMPTON 5/4 Valery Borzov (BACK)

Last edited by rooster; 22-04-2008 at 23:55.
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Old 23-04-2008, 17:21   #4 (permalink)
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Default Re: Rating Lays

well done m8
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Old 23-04-2008, 23:34   #5 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by asificare View Post
well done m8
Thanks a million Asificare Good start and hopefully we can make it last.

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Old 23-04-2008, 23:35   #6 (permalink)
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Wednesday 23 April 2008

200 CATTERICK 5/2 Keiser Blue (LAY) L 7/2
310 CATTERICK 11/8 Planetarium (LAY) L 8/13F
320 PERTH 6/4 Fleet Street (LAY) 2ND 11/4F
330 NOTTINGHAM 4/7 Curtain Call (LAY) W 8/11F
920 KEMPTON 5/4 Valery Borzov (BACK) W 11/8F
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Old 24-04-2008, 00:08   #7 (permalink)
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Thursday 24 April 2008



200 BEVERLEY 1/4*Ron´s Princess (LAY)
235 BEVERLEY 13/8*Duke Of Touraine, (LAY)
255 FONTWELL 5/2*Noble Ben, (LAY)
310 BEVERLEY 11/4*Atabaas Pride, (LAY)
320 PERTH 10/11*Tazbar (BACK)
405 FONTWELL 15/8*Jupon Vert, (BACK)
430 PERTH 1/2*Natiain (LAY)
530 BEVERLEY Evs*Greyfriars Abbey (LAY)
550 GREATLEIGHS 4/1*Merlin´s Dancer (LAY)
620 GREAT LEIGHS 100/30*Chocolate Caramel (LAY)
635 SOUTHWELL 15/8*Pertemps Networks (BACK)
720 GREAT LEIGHS 2/1*Proper, (LAY)
535 SOUTHWELL 10/11*Midnight Fling (LAY)
705 SOUTHWELL 9/4*Exit Smiling (LAY)
735 SOUTHWELL 11/8*Dasheena (BACK)
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Old 24-04-2008, 20:56   #8 (permalink)
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Thursday 24 April 2008

Tougher day today but there were a hell of a lot of selections. I will need to sort them out but at the moment I'm just whacking them all on here to monitor. A small loss on the lays and a wipeout on the backs today but its the lays I'm interested in more.

200 BEVERLEY 11/4*Ron´s Princess (LAY) L 11/4JF
235 BEVERLEY 13/8*Duke Of Touraine, (LAY) W 11/8F
255 FONTWELL 5/2*Noble Ben, (LAY) 2ND 7/2
310 BEVERLEY 11/4*Atabaas Pride, (LAY) 3RD 2/1
320 PERTH 10/11*Tazbar (BACK) 2ND 6/5F
405 FONTWELL 15/8*Jupon Vert, (BACK) 2ND 5/2
430 PERTH 1/2*Natiain (LAY) W 4/6F
530 BEVERLEY Evs*Greyfriars Abbey (LAY) W 3/1
550 GREATLEIGHS 4/1*Merlin´s Dancer (LAY) L 7/1
620 GREAT LEIGHS 100/30*Chocolate Caramel (LAY) W 10/3F
635 SOUTHWELL 15/8*Pertemps Networks (BACK) 2ND 5/4F
720 GREAT LEIGHS 2/1*Proper, (LAY) L 15/8F
535 SOUTHWELL 10/11*Midnight Fling (LAY) L 11/8F
705 SOUTHWELL 9/4*Exit Smiling (LAY) 2ND 5/4F
735 SOUTHWELL 11/8*Dasheena (BACK) 2ND 4/6F
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Old 24-04-2008, 22:32   #9 (permalink)
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Default Re: Rating Lays

keep them comming rooster a lot today but a small profit really finding it interesting only laying small at the mo 8quid a race as i did not start with a bank ; but if they keep the results up starting next week (no presure)
£400 BANK and going to do 5% stake

will put the results up if you wish or just keep them to myself gl m8

always theres a for you if it works out ,
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Old 24-04-2008, 23:12   #10 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by asificare View Post
keep them comming rooster a lot today but a small profit really finding it interesting only laying small at the mo 8quid a race as i did not start with a bank ; but if they keep the results up starting next week (no presure)
£400 BANK and going to do 5% stake

will put the results up if you wish or just keep them to myself gl m8

always theres a for you if it works out ,
No pressure eh? Easy for you to say mate. Do go easy and the usual 'don't bet with money you can't afford to lose' etc rules apply. As these are largely favourites in small fields I don't doubt a string of results going against us could easily happen. I'm still looking at some filtering especially in terms of odds. Maybe setting a ceiling at 4.0/4.5 max betfair price to lay at. I'll have a clearer sense of things after a month or so. Best of luck and I'll hold you to that beer

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Old 24-04-2008, 23:12   #11 (permalink)
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Friday 25 April 2008

150 SANDOWN 7/4*Ask (BACK)
240 PERTH 11/8*Modicum (LAY)
300 SANDOWN 11/10*Charm School, (LAY)
405 WOLVERHAMPTON 5/2*Playtotheaudience, (LAY)
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Old 25-04-2008, 16:22   #12 (permalink)
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That went well.

Friday 25 April 2008

150 SANDOWN 7/4*Ask W 8/13F
240 PERTH 11/8*Modicum NR
300 SANDOWN 11/10*Charm School, 2ND 7/4F
405 WOLVERHAMPTON 5/2*Playtotheaudience, 3RD 3/1JF

Last edited by rooster; 25-04-2008 at 16:23.
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Old 25-04-2008, 22:24   #13 (permalink)
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Saturday 26 April 2008

140 SANDOWN 13/8*Pigeon Island (LAY)
215 LEICESTER Evs*Rayvin Mad (LAY)
315 LEICESTER 4/1*City Stable (LAY)
350 LEICESTER 6/5*Al Qasi (BACK)
355 SANDOWN 13/8*Medicine Path (BACK)
425 LEICESTER 13/8*Harry The Hawk (BACK)
555 RIPON 4/5*Raincoat, (BACK)
735 WOLVERHAMPTON 4/6*One Night In Paris (BACK)
750 HAYDOCK Evs*Conquisto (LAY)
805 WOLERHAMPTON 2/1*Bookiebasher Babe, (BACK)
820 HAYDOCK 4/7*Meshtri (LAY)
835 WOLVERHAMPTON 1/8*Queen Of Naples (LAY)
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Old 27-04-2008, 15:19   #14 (permalink)
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Saturday 26 April 2008

140 SANDOWN 13/8*Pigeon Island (LAY) L 9/4F
215 LEICESTER Evs*Rayvin Mad (LAY) 2ND 13/8
315 LEICESTER 4/1*City Stable (LAY) L 11/2
350 LEICESTER 6/5*Al Qasi (BACK) 2ND 1/1F
355 SANDOWN 13/8*Medicine Path (BACK) L 15/8F
425 LEICESTER 13/8*Harry The Hawk (BACK) 3RD 10/11F
555 RIPON 4/5*Raincoat, (BACK) W 10/11F
735 WOLVERHAMPTON 4/6*One Night In Paris (BACK) W 11/10
750 HAYDOCK Evs*Conquisto (LAY) W 6/4F
805 WOLERHAMPTON 2/1*Bookiebasher Babe, (BACK) 2ND 5/4F
820 HAYDOCK 4/7*Meshtri (LAY) W 2/5F
835 WOLVERHAMPTON 1/8*Queen Of Naples (LAY) W 2/13F

Last edited by rooster; 27-04-2008 at 15:22. Reason: to remove Sunday's selections ( see post below for selections)
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Old 27-04-2008, 15:21   #15 (permalink)
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Sunday 27 April 2008

I am posting these after the event and am willing to be shot down. I couldn't access the site earlier and am simply putting them up for the record.

210 BRIGHTON 4/6*Brenin Taran (LAY) 2ND 6/5F
340 LUDLOW 5/2*Kew Jumper (BACK) L 11/4F
400 WETHERBY 11/8*Bafana Boy (BACK) 3RD 5/4F
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Old 27-04-2008, 22:32   #16 (permalink)
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Monday 28 April 2008

200 YARMOUTH 3/1*Mukhber (BCK)
220 LINGFIELD 11/8*Nawamees (LAY)
330 YARMOUTH 3/1*Cape (BACK)
400 YARMOUTH 5/2*Coin Of The Realm (LAY)
430 YARMOUTH 6/4*Greyfriars Abbey (LAY)
610 WINDSOR 2/1*Dubai Petal, (LAY)
625 SOUTHWELL Evs*Magic Echo (BACK)
655 SOTHWELL 2/1*Steel City Boy (LAY)
725 SOUTHWELL 9/4*Fantastic Lass (LAY)
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Old 28-04-2008, 18:34   #17 (permalink)
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Monday 28 April 2008

200 YARMOUTH 3/1*Mukhber (BCK) L 6/4F
220 LINGFIELD 11/8*Nawamees (LAY) W 6/4F
330 YARMOUTH 3/1*Cape (BACK) NR
400 YARMOUTH 5/2*Coin Of The Realm (LAY) NR
430 YARMOUTH 6/4*Greyfriars Abbey (LAY) L 9/4
610 WINDSOR 2/1*Dubai Petal, (LAY) W 5/4F
625 SOUTHWELL Evs*Magic Echo (BACK) W 13/8F
655 SOTHWELL 2/1*Steel City Boy (LAY) L 2/1F
725 SOUTHWELL 9/4*Fantastic Lass (LAY) L 9/4
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Old 28-04-2008, 23:59   #18 (permalink)
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Tuesday 29 April 2008

250 WINCNTON 9/4*Littleton Aldor (LAY)
330 SOUTHWELL 5/4*Kanisorn, (BACK)
410 BATH 13/8*Naughty Thoughts (BACK)
420 WINCANTON 3/1*Turfshuffle, (LAY)
430 SOUTHWELL 2/1*Mid Valley (LAY)
650 SEDGEFIELD 5/2*Wee Forbees (BACK)
735 WOLVERHMPTON 5/4*Xpres Maite, (BACK)
805 WOLVERHAMPTON 5/8*Lullaby Lady (BACK)
905 WOLVERHAMPTON 9/4*Gold Prospect, (BACK)
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Old 29-04-2008, 20:32   #19 (permalink)
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Results for Tuesday 29 April 2008

250 WINCNTON 9/4*Littleton Aldor (LAY) NR
330 SOUTHWELL 5/4*Kanisorn, (BACK) 2ND 10/11F
410 BATH 13/8*Naughty Thoughts (BACK) L 11/10F
420 WINCANTON 3/1*Turfshuffle, (LAY) L 10/3
430 SOUTHWELL 2/1*Mid Valley (LAY) 2ND 9/4
650 SEDGEFIELD 5/2*Wee Forbees (BACK) 3RD 11/4F
735 WOLVERHMPTON 5/4*Xpres Maite, (BACK) W 10/11F
805 WOLVERHAMPTON 15/8*Lullaby Lady (BACK) L 2/1F
905 WOLVERHAMPTON 9/4*Gold Prospect, (BACK) L 5/4F
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Old 30-04-2008, 00:47   #20 (permalink)
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Wednesday 30 April 2008

210 ASCOT 100/30*Skid Solo, (BACK)
245 ASCOT 6/4*Makaaseb (BACK)
255 PONTEFRACT 3/1*Coin Of The Realm, (LAY)
320 ASCOT 13/8*Cesare (BACK)
340 WORCESTER 5/2*Bamby, (LAY)
355 ASCOT 5/2*Distinction, (LAY)
405 PONTEFRACT 3/1*Born Tobouggie (LAY)
415 WORCESTER 8/13*Adroit Approach (BACK)
440 PONTEFRACT 7/4*Silver Waters (LAY)
550 GREAT LEIGHS 10/11*The Dial House, (BACK)
620 GREAT LEIGHS 11/4*Mia´s Boy (LAY)
630 KELSO 5/4*My Turn Now, (LAY)
650 GREAT LEIGHS 4/5*Road To Love (BACK)
700 KELSO 5/2*Twelve Paces (LAY)
800 KELSO 11/10*Sinatas (BACK)
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