Longshot Kicked De Bucket

[James Bond]

Ok peeps. The new bwoy is gunna give it his best shot.

The reasoning behind the method is as follows: Ratings mostly based on how the hoss/hosses have run in their last 3 races e.g Led, Midfield, Back of the field or did not finish are used as the back-bone to much of the system.

Results will be shown using 1 pt level stakes starting with a 400 point bank and using race codes running on turf only including jumps and flat. Bookmakers are not involved because we use longshots and must wait for non runners to be declared. Early prices are not used. Instead all profit and loss will be declared at BETFAIR SP minus 5% commission. I can't be arsed to deduct commission per race as betfair do so I'll deduct commission per winner which will hurt the profit but so what because prices will be much higher than bookies.

We need a large bank because we have losing runs up to 100 and average strike rate is under 10% and much lower on the flat. Expect to lose half of a 400 point bank at some point.

We bet at the off using the live shows from sportinglife to make sure our selections are 7/1 or more and 100/1 or below on the flat that will change to >=18/1 and <=100/1 . We use BFSP regardless of whether it was higher or lower than Bookie Sp. If the sportinglife live shows are not functioning correctly then we just aim at a BFSP of 8 or over.

For those who want to follow with small stakes: If there is more than 1 qualifier per race then we back each with one point.

The main aim is to see if I've backfitted my system to an unreasonable degree. Past results are very favourable and my target is 100 points profit per month on average or to put it into monetary terms at £50 a level throw we are looking for £5k per month or £60k pa.

It's time for the truth: I couldn't give a toss who the trainer or jockey is, what the form is, what the stable whispers are, how bad the ground is or any of that. This is purely mechanical and no emotion should be attached to winning or losing.

I shall endeavour to post everyday just before racing starts. There will be nothing on Sundays coz I can't be arsed. See you tha morra!

[James Bond]

www.youtube.com/watch?v=R6lbVLny2Jg

[James Bond]

Wow!! What a beautiful day here on the Kent coast. The wind is whistling throught the sail masts!!

Down to business.....

13:10	Ayr	Esquillon
13:10	Ayr	Prince Among Men
13:10	Ayr	Hickory Lane
13:20	Ludlow	Down's Folly
13:20	Ludlow	Loch Vic
13:20	Ludlow	Seize
14:25	Ludlow	Opera De Coeur
15:15	Ayr	Longdale
15:15	Ayr	Rossin Gold
15:15	Ayr	Prosecco
15:15	Ayr	Soul Angel
15:15	Ayr	Spirit of The Mist
15:15	Ayr	Pay On
15:15	Ayr	Find Me
15:25	Ludlow	Killer Jim
15:25	Ludlow	Foxriver
15:25	Ludlow	Well Saved

And a little bit of pop culture to lift your spirits:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aG9NAW_NTfM

[James Bond]

Todays results:

13:10	Ayr	Esquillon	Lost
13:20	Ludlow	Down's Folly	Lost
13:20	Ludlow	Loch Vic	Lost
15:15	Ayr	Longdale	Lost
15:15	Ayr	Rossin Gold	Lost
15:15	Ayr	Soul Angel	Lost
15:15	Ayr	Find Me	Lost
15:25	Ludlow	Killer Jim	Lost
15:25	Ludlow	Foxriver	Lost
15:25	Ludlow	Well Saved	Lost

P&L -10

Some musical fun to go with todays results:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6tiYP4zNMvg

More punishment to follow tomorra..

[James Bond]

Ride them white hosses weather again!!

Qualifiers:

13:50	Sedgefield	Viscount Rossini
13:50	Sedgefield	Cadeaux Singer
13:50	Sedgefield	Nevsky Bridge
13:50	Sedgefield	Shade Bonny
14:20	Sedgefield	Whatcanyasay
14:20	Sedgefield	First Fought
15:00	Lingfield	Guardian of Truth
15:00	Lingfield	Stradbrook
15:00	Lingfield	Carson's Spirit
15:00	Lingfield	Glinton
15:20	Sedgefield	Blue Rising
15:20	Sedgefield	Mae Moss
15:20	Sedgefield	Northern Vic
15:30	Lingfield	Trigger Guard
15:30	Lingfield	Devils River

Here is your wake up call:

http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=1V71MQEUJKY

[James Bond]

Results in.

13:50	Sedgefield	Viscount Rossini	Won	(+7.27)
13:50	Sedgefield	Cadeaux Singer	Lost
13:50	Sedgefield	Nevsky Bridge	Lost
14:20	Sedgefield	Whatcanyasay	Lost
14:20	Sedgefield	First Fought	Lost
15:00	Lingfield	Guardian of Truth	Lost
15:00	Lingfield	Carson's Spirit	Lost
15:00	Lingfield	Glinton	Lost
15:20	Sedgefield	Blue Rising	Lost
15:20	Sedgefield	Mae Moss	Lost
15:20	Sedgefield	Northern Vic	Lost
15:30	Lingfield	Devils River	Lost

P&L Running -16.73

And to calm the white hosses:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gr4FN_DOpSk

[James Bond]

For today:

12:50	Wetherby	Arctic Ghost
12:50	Wetherby	Stoneriggs Merc
12:50	Wetherby	Ten Carat
13:40	Chepstow	Shampers
13:50	Wetherby	Norborne Bandit
13:50	Wetherby	Cantgeton
14:15	Chepstow	Maktu
14:15	Chepstow	Gala Evening
14:15	Chepstow	Honour High
14:40	Kempton	Kilcannon Supreme
14:40	Kempton	Captain Becket
14:40	Kempton	Midas Way
14:50	Chepstow	Benitez
15:15	Kempton	Massini Sunset
15:45	Kempton	Panadin
15:45	Kempton	Kashmina
15:45	Kempton	French Leave
15:45	Kempton	Hum The Tune
15:45	Kempton	Teach To Preach

And some musical motivation for the afternoon: Love this!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9tUp2YgqU_A

[James Bond]

A good day overall!

12:50	Wetherby	Arctic Ghost
12:50	Wetherby	Stoneriggs Merc
12:50	Wetherby	Ten Carat
13:40	Chepstow	Shampers
13:50	Wetherby	Norborne Bandit
13:50	Wetherby	Cantgeton
14:15	Chepstow	Maktu	(+11.49)
14:15	Chepstow	Honour High
14:40	Kempton	Kilcannon Supreme
14:40	Kempton	Captain Becket
14:40	Kempton	Midas Way	(+11.31)
15:15	Kempton	Massini Sunset
15:45	Kempton	Panadin
15:45	Kempton	French Leave
15:45	Kempton	Hum The Tune
15:45	Kempton	Teach To Preach

Just noticed my adding up was 3 points adrift yesterday.

P&L Running -4.92

Art & Music: Cool!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yDFQg0wPuLk

[happygooner]

Nice going today mate

Will keep watch of this.

[tezmac]

Couple of nice priced winners there mate.Well done.

[James Bond]

Hey thanks guys! We tend to go sideways a lot so profit will be in fits and starts. Looking back this month I would say that we are due some decent priced winners sometime in the near future. In fact I had money down at Wolves last night (aw system) on Nou Nou came second by a neck @25/1sp. Betfair sp was in the 60s and you could have had 70s just before the off. Needless to say I took a free bet in running and recovered my stake.

For today:

13:30	Newbury	Haldibari
13:30	Newbury	Tuskar Rock
13:30	Newbury	Sovereign Spirit
13:30	Newbury	Cootehill
14:40	Newbury	Kings Brook
14:40	Newbury	Portland Bill
14:40	Newbury	Aztec Warrior
14:40	Newbury	Chiaro
14:40	Newbury	Jean Le Poisson
15:15	Newbury	Schiehallion
15:15	Newbury	Forthright
15:15	Newbury	Kerry's Girl
15:25	Taunton	Clifden Boy
15:25	Taunton	Cilla Black
15:25	Taunton	Mr Big
15:35	Uttoxeter	The Abbots Habit
15:35	Uttoxeter	Black Mogul
15:55	Taunton	Sangfroid
15:55	Taunton	Brize Norton
15:55	Taunton	Miss Ceka

And the afternoons inspiration called "the drifter":

http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=dYm1Bc...eature=related

[James Bond]

Results in:

13:30	Newbury	Haldibari
13:30	Newbury	Tuskar Rock
13:30	Newbury	Sovereign Spirit
13:30	Newbury	Cootehill
14:40	Newbury	Kings Brook
14:40	Newbury	Portland Bill
14:40	Newbury	Aztec Warrior
14:40	Newbury	Chiaro
14:40	Newbury	Jean Le Poisson
15:15	Newbury	Schiehallion
15:15	Newbury	Forthright
15:25	Taunton	Clifden Boy
15:25	Taunton	Cilla Black
15:35	Uttoxeter	The Abbots Habit
15:55	Taunton	Sangfroid
15:55	Taunton	Brize Norton
15:55	Taunton	Miss Ceka

17 losers and no winners ha ha. A losing run of 22 to take into tomorrow afternoon.

It's deffo not time to do this yet: "YOU SUCK"!

http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=RCn7Xk_6sb8

[James Bond]

Oops forgot to add:

P&L Running -21.92

[James Bond]

For today:

13:10	Musselburgh	Snow's Ride
13:10	Musselburgh	Teviot Lass
13:10	Musselburgh	Bronze Dancer
13:10	Musselburgh	Industrial Star
13:10	Musselburgh	Ajay
13:10	Musselburgh	The Ginger Man
13:30	Newbury	Taipan's Promise
13:30	Newbury	Pressgang
14:05	Newbury	Pocket Aces
14:05	Newbury	Bertie May
14:05	Newbury	Adroit Approach
14:05	Newbury	Temoin
14:05	Newbury	Just Amazing
14:55	Musselburgh	All For The Cause
15:15	Newbury	Michael Muck

Great tune:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KRy8N1P1EUI

[James Bond]

Another losing day (quite normal).

13:10	Musselburgh	Snow's Ride
13:10	Musselburgh	Teviot Lass
13:10	Musselburgh	Bronze Dancer
13:10	Musselburgh	Industrial Star
13:10	Musselburgh	Ajay
13:10	Musselburgh	The Ginger Man
13:30	Newbury	Taipan's Promise
14:05	Newbury	Pocket Aces
14:05	Newbury	Bertie May
14:05	Newbury	Adroit Approach
14:05	Newbury	Temoin
14:05	Newbury	Just Amazing

So thats 34 loser in a row now. To put that into perspective 30 or more losers in a row has happened 33 times this year (an average of 3 times a month for the arithmetically challenged). 40 or more in a row has happened 15 times. 50 or more has happened 5 times.

I may not have backed a winner for sometime but I've got my egg already!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sV-BLB0Z9Tw

P&L Running -33.92

[James Bond]

For today:

13:00	Newbury	Shouldhavehadthat
13:00	Newbury	Sharajan
13:00	Newbury	Double Intruder
13:35	Newbury	The Wicketkeeper
14:00	Towcester	The Big Canadian
14:30	Towcester	On Spec
14:30	Towcester	Montana Gold
14:30	Towcester	Classic Chic
14:30	Towcester	Fullards
14:30	Towcester	Wee Alfie
14:30	Towcester	Barrys Ark
14:40	Newbury	Albertas Run
14:40	Newbury	Verasi
14:40	Newbury	Madison Du Berlais
14:40	Newbury	Air Force One
15:05	Towcester	Mnason
15:15	Newbury	Nikola
15:15	Newbury	Montgermont
15:15	Newbury	New Little Bric
15:45	Newbury	Maraafeq
15:45	Newbury	Stripe Me Blue
15:45	Newbury	Luxurix
15:45	Newbury	Squadron

A wall of sound for todays inspiration (great *spaghetti* vid too):

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jV1bRfLHA3A

The reasoning:

Longshot Kicked De Bucket

[James Bond]

Results: Managed to get the winner in the Hennessy Gold Cup at a nice price. Nearly 18/1 higher than Sp!!

Newbury	Sharajan
Newbury	Double Intruder
Newbury	The Wicketkeeper
Towcester	Montana Gold
Towcester	Classic Chic
Towcester	Fullards
Towcester	Wee Alfie
Towcester	Barrys Ark
Newbury	Albertas Run
Newbury	Verasi
Newbury	Madison Du Berlais	(+ 39.73)
Towcester	Mnason
Newbury	Nikola
Newbury	Montgermont
Newbury	New Little Bric
Newbury	Maraafeq
Newbury	Stripe Me Blue

I did mention we were due a biggun.

P&L Running -10.19

[James Bond]

For today:

13:50	Fakenham	Riccardo
13:50	Fakenham	Nessen Dorma
13:50	Fakenham	Goscar Rock
14:30	Folkestone	Tarateeno
14:30	Folkestone	English Jim
14:30	Folkestone	Ballyveeney
14:30	Folkestone	Mikado Melody

And a proper old school classic for the marmite heads:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRf3EWm5Eow

[stewartd14]

Interesting idea James and Im interested to see how this works out.

I will watch with interest.

Good luck mate

[James Bond]

Hi Stewart thanks for looking in and giving it the thumbs up.

Results:

13:50	Fakenham	Riccardo
13:50	Fakenham	Nessen Dorma
13:50	Fakenham	Goscar Rock
14:30	Folkestone	English Jim

P&L Running -14.19