Guy Fawkes' Horsepowder Plot - The Punters Lounge

Ebor337 · 30-12-2007, 10:59

Firstly, apologies for the (very) bad pun in the system name, infact, it's not even a pun, just a simple, yet extremely poor word change . . . . i haven't got it in me to think of a better one!!!

Anyway, this is a system I have been working on for a wee while in conjunction, but not exclusively, with the Massey site and it shows decent profits (110%ish yield) when backtested over a 4+ years on standard SP.

It is a system that consists of backing horses to win and sometimes each way depending on the RP forecasted SP.

I don't really want to divulge too much at this stage but general system 'rules' are:

Betfair SP prices to be used for WIN bets and the E/W element (using the place market)
Standard bookies SP will have to be used for E/W bets until the betfair place market is up and running when I will be splitting the stake 50/50 on win and place That just isn't feasible at the moment so the place element of the bet will be struck as near to off as possible, generally the morning or night before on a weeknight ([1] 31/12)
I will be using REAL money but as I dont have a big starting bank, this will simply be shown as '0' for simplicity
I expect there will be about 5 bets per week
Each bet will be £10 WIN or £5 E/W until the bank hits certain 'mileposts' (yeah right!) of £500, £1000 etc etc.

And that's about it . . . . Any selections from today will be up in a bit . . .

Ebor337 · 30-12-2007, 11:15

Today's Selections

Bet #	Date	Time	Meeting	Horse	Stake	Bet
1	30-Dec	2.25	Taunton	Royal Wedding	£5.00	E/W
2	30-Dec	4.00	Taunton	Or Bleu	£5.00	E/W

Ebor337 · 30-12-2007, 16:18

Quote:

Originally Posted by Guy Fawkes

Today's Selections

Bet #	Date	Time	Meeting	Horse	Stake	Bet
1	30-Dec	2.25	Taunton	Royal Wedding	£5.00	E/W
2	30-Dec	4.00	Taunton	Or Bleu	£5.00	E/W

Royal Wedding - UNPL
Or Bleu - a tight second.

which minimised first day losses to -£10.74

An inconspicuous but then I had a feelign it would be!

Will post up the P/L etc once we have a few more results.

Back tommorow.

Ebor337 · 30-12-2007, 20:10

Monday's Selection

Bet #

Date

Time

Meeting

Horse

Bet

3

31-Dec

2.10

Warwick

Maggies Mathias

WIN

Ebor337 · 31-12-2007, 14:48

A worthy winner today;

So (inc yesterdays) we are just about evens . . .

Bet #

Date

Time

Meeting

Horse

Bet

Stake

Result

Back SP

E/W SP

Win Prof

E/W prof

P/L

1	30-Dec	2.25	Taunton	Royal Wedding	E/W	£10.00	Unpl	7.40	2.28	£0.00	-£10.00	-£10.00
2	30-Dec	4.00	Taunton	Or Bleu	E/W	£10.00	PLACE	6.60	1.95	£0.00	-£0.74	-£10.74
3	31-Dec	2.10	Warwick	Maggies Mathias	WIN	£10.00	WIN	2.06	-	£9.57	£0.00	-£1.17

Will be interesting to see what tomorrow throws up.

Ebor337 · 31-12-2007, 23:19

Tuesday's selections . . .

Bet #

Date

Time

Meeting

Horse

Bet

4	01-Jan	12.40	Exeter	Lodge Lane	WIN
5	01-Jan	12.15	Catterick	Thunderwing	E/W
6	01-Jan	3.35	Catterick	Nosferatu	WIN

Ebor337 · 31-12-2007, 23:34

Quote:

Originally Posted by Guy Fawkes

Tuesday's selections . . .

Bet #

Date

Time

Meeting

Horse

Bet

4	01-Jan	12.40	Exeter	Lodge Lane	WIN
5	01-Jan	12.15	Catterick	Thunderwing	E/W
6	01-Jan	3.35	Catterick	Nosferatu	WIN

OOOPS!

In my slighty drunken/curried state I have struck my bets for tomorrow and instead of using betfiar SP as stated in the criteria on post #1, i've taken the odds now, I don't suppose it really matters, but, honesty is the bet policy and all that!

tezmac · 01-01-2008, 00:59

IN MY DRUNKEN HAZE just seen this lol best of luck

Ebor337 · 01-01-2008, 15:58

Just the 1 winner, and a loss on the day

Bet #

Date

Time

Meeting

Horse

Bet

Stake

Result

Back SP

E/W SP

Win Prof

E/W prof

Ovrall P/L

4	01-Jan	12.40	Exeter	Lodge Lane	WIN	£10.00	WIN	2.64	-	£15.08	£0.00	£13.91
5	01-Jan	12.15	Catterick	Thunderwing	E/W	£10.00	Unpl	22.00	4.58	£0.00	-£10.00	£3.91
6	01-Jan	3.35	Catterick	Nosferatu	WIN	£10.00	Unpl	3.05	-	-£10.00	£0.00	-£6.09

Ebor337 · 01-01-2008, 23:14

Wednesday selections:

Bet #

Date

Time

Meeting

Horse

Bet

7	02-Jan	2.00	Folkestone	Armenian Boy	WIN
8	02-Jan	3.25	Wvhmptn	Chivola	WIN

Ebor337 · 02-01-2008, 21:15

Poor . . .

Bet #

Date

Time

Meeting

Horse

Bet

Stake

Result

Back SP

E/W SP

Win Prof

30-12-2007, 10:59	#1 (permalink)
Ebor337 A.K.A Guy Fawkes Join Date: 04 Mar 2006 Location: Eboracum Age: 28 Posts: 4,900 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 1	Guy Fawkes' Horsepowder Plot Firstly, apologies for the (very) bad pun in the system name, infact, it's not even a pun, just a simple, yet extremely poor word change . . . . i haven't got it in me to think of a better one!!! Anyway, this is a system I have been working on for a wee while in conjunction, but not exclusively, with the Massey site and it shows decent profits (110%ish yield) when backtested over a 4+ years on standard SP. It is a system that consists of backing horses to win and sometimes each way depending on the RP forecasted SP. I don't really want to divulge too much at this stage but general system 'rules' are: Betfair SP prices to be used for WIN bets and the E/W element (using the place market) Standard bookies SP will have to be used for E/W bets until the betfair place market is up and running when I will be splitting the stake 50/50 on win and place That just isn't feasible at the moment so the place element of the bet will be struck as near to off as possible, generally the morning or night before on a weeknight ([1] 31/12) I will be using REAL money but as I dont have a big starting bank, this will simply be shown as '0' for simplicity I expect there will be about 5 bets per week Each bet will be £10 WIN or £5 E/W until the bank hits certain 'mileposts' (yeah right!) of £500, £1000 etc etc. And that's about it . . . . Any selections from today will be up in a bit . . . __________________ "To spend our days betting on three-legged horses with beautiful names" -- Bohumil Hrabal Last edited by Ebor337; 31-12-2007 at 15:08. Reason: Criteria change [a]

01-01-2008, 00:59	#8 (permalink)
tezmac Junior Punter Join Date: 05 Jun 2005 Posts: 84	Re: Guy Fawkes' Horsepowder Plot IN MY DRUNKEN HAZE just seen this lol best of luck