Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 - Page 7 - The Punters Lounge

cavelloman · 24-05-2008, 19:34

Quote:

Originally Posted by cavelloman

E/W Bet

Stratford 7.20

Southwestern 1 pt E/W @9/2 with William Hll

Been running well in high value hunter chases and was "unlucky" when falling in Ireland when leading in a £20K+ race. Previous winner over course and distance. Finished in front of the favourite at Cheltenham in the Foxhunters. The favourite is yet to do the business in a high value race. Take the Stand may be overrated due to his previous form from his younger days.

4th

Loss on Bet = -2 pts

cavelloman · 25-05-2008, 10:02

E/W Bet

Curragh 3.00

Finsceal Beo 1 pt E/W @ 4/1 with Paddy Power

Top class last spring, looked to to back to near best when 5th in the UAE a couple of months ago. On ORs is rated only 1lb lower then Duke of Marmalade but is getting the fillies allowances of 3lbs which to me indicates this filly may be able to beat the favourite if staying this trip. Trading at 1.75 for the place on Betfair so we may be getting a degree of value based on the market.

cavelloman · 25-05-2008, 10:07

E/W Bet

Newmarket 4.40

Classic Descent 2 pts E/W @9/2 with Betfred

Good form on this course actaully a winner that was disqualified. Rated over 80 on official figures which is usually good enough to place in this class of maiden. If trained on should go close

cavelloman · 25-05-2008, 12:49

Exchange+ Bet

Fontwell 2.35

Share My Dream 4 pts place only @2.14 with Betfair 1 pt win @6/1 with William Hill

Usually runs well in this class of race. The rain and softening going will help her cause. With her low weight plus the rider's allowance gives her a good chance based on ORs

cavelloman · 25-05-2008, 14:47

Quote:

Originally Posted by cavelloman

Exchange+ Bet

Fontwell 2.35

Share My Dream 4 pts place only @2.14 with Betfair 1 pt win @6/1 with William Hill

Usually runs well in this class of race. The rain and softening going will help her cause. With her low weight plus the rider's allowance gives her a good chance based on ORs

Unplaced, went to 1,02 to place in running at the 2nd last

Went off 5/2 jt fav as well.

Loss on Bet = -5 pts

cavelloman · 25-05-2008, 15:12

Quote:

Originally Posted by cavelloman

Exchange Bet

Monaco GP.
I will put any odds and sods bets this summer for Athletics or Grand Prix etc

here in conjunctions with posting on the specialist thread.

Heikki Kovalainen (McL) 1 pt @3.3 to Place with Betfair

On a track that should suit his shorter wheelbase car(that what my "expert" tells me) this price looks a little long IMO. Obviously a good poistion on the grid required. Just hope he does not crash again

Disaster stalled on grid and things did not get better.

Loss on Bet = - 1 pt

cavelloman · 25-05-2008, 15:13

Quote:

Originally Posted by cavelloman

E/W Bet

Curragh 3.00

Finsceal Beo 1 pt E/W @ 4/1 with Paddy Power

Top class last spring, looked to to back to near best when 5th in the UAE a couple of months ago. On ORs is rated only 1lb lower then Duke of Marmalade but is getting the fillies allowances of 3lbs which to me indicates this filly may be able to beat the favourite if staying this trip. Trading at 1.75 for the place on Betfair so we may be getting a degree of value based on the market.

2nd

No profit or loss on bet.

cavelloman · 25-05-2008, 16:50

Quote:

Originally Posted by cavelloman

E/W Bet

Newmarket 4.40

Classic Descent 2 pts E/W @9/2 with Betfred

Good form on this course actaully a winner that was disqualified. Rated over 80 on official figures which is usually good enough to place in this class of maiden. If trained on should go close

Easy Easy

Profit on Bet = 12.6 pts

Turned the day and weekend.

john_lovell · 25-05-2008, 16:58

well done son

spithas · 25-05-2008, 17:00

thank you

cavelloman · 25-05-2008, 18:05

E/W Bets

Outlay to Date = 154 pts Return to Date = 183.17 pts Profit to Date = + 29.17 pts

Exchange + Other Bets

Outlay to Date = 37 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +21.43 pts

Combined Profit to Date = 50.6 pts
__________________

Approaching the end of the month and should now finish in front again.

Making this the 6th month on the trot for my E/W bet threads Been a hard week for me with some of my selections running very poorly, fortunately I have found some decent winners at 9/2,4/1 and 11/4 all shorten up by a significant amounts so it looks like I do get it right sometimes

Kamo · 25-05-2008, 20:00

Well done Cavelloman

Awsome stuff as usual

cavelloman · 26-05-2008, 10:37

E/W Bet

Cartmel 4.45

Sharp Dresser 2 pts E/W @2/1 with Sportingbet

A low level novice hurdle race which is typical for this course. But this course also throw up shocks so I'm not going to stake too high on this selection even at this price. Been running in class 3 hurdles so this does represent a drop in class. The rest of the field contains horses with potential who could spring a surprise. Today going will help our selection as will the sharp track IMO. Based on all this IMO the selection should be priced c6/4-13/8.

cavelloman · 26-05-2008, 11:01

E/W Bet

Redcar 4.25

Tangerine Tree 1/2 pt E/W @12/1 with Sportingbet

Reasonable form at rated just about the level to place/win a poor maiden race. But this bet is still more based on market comparsions.

HORSE	BF PL	BF WIN	BOOK ODDS	% EDGE
TANGERRINE TREES	2.80	13.00	13.00	21.43%

May be more value bets in this race later today.

cavelloman · 26-05-2008, 13:33

E/W Bet

Redcar 4.25

Howards Way 1/2 pt E/W @8/1 with BetFred

As above based on market comparsions. Trading at c2.1 for the place.

cavelloman · 26-05-2008, 16:52

Quote:

Originally Posted by cavelloman

E/W Bet

Redcar 4.25

Howards Way 1/2 pt E/W @8/1 with BetFred

As above based on market comparsions. Trading at c2.1 for the place.

Unplaced

Loss on Bet = -1 pt

cavelloman · 26-05-2008, 16:53

Quote:

Originally Posted by cavelloman

E/W Bet

Redcar 4.25

Tangerine Tree 1/2 pt E/W @12/1 with Sportingbet

Reasonable form at rated just about the level to place/win a poor maiden race. But this bet is still more based on market comparsions.

HORSE	BF PL	BF WIN	BOOK ODDS	% EDGE
TANGERRINE TREES	2.80	13.00	13.00	21.43%

May be more value bets in this race later today.

Unplaced

Loss on Bet = -1 pt

cavelloman · 26-05-2008, 16:59

Quote:

Originally Posted by cavelloman

E/W Bet

Cartmel 4.45

Sharp Dresser 2 pts E/W @2/1 with Sportingbet

A low level novice hurdle race which is typical for this course. But this course also throw up shocks so I'm not going to stake too high on this selection even at this price. Been running in class 3 hurdles so this does represent a drop in class. The rest of the field contains horses with potential who could spring a surprise. Today going will help our selection as will the sharp track IMO. Based on all this IMO the selection should be priced c6/4-13/8.

Just held on

Rule 4 deduction

Profit on Bet = 3.6 pts

Profit on Day = 1.6 pts

cavelloman · 26-05-2008, 17:01

E/W Bets

Outlay to Date = 160 pts Return to Date = 190.77 pts Profit to Date = + 30.77 pts

Exchange + Other Bets

Outlay to Date = 37 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +21.43 pts

Combined Profit to Date = 52.2 pts

cavelloman · 27-05-2008, 17:38

E/W Bet

Huntingham 7.10

Cortinas 3 pts E/W @11/10 with Bet365(BOG)

Rated at 120 OR. The 2nd favourite of A King was beaten 20l LTO while the 3rd fav is yet to race in the UK. If they are fancied we will get a bigger price si I see this as a value bet

25-05-2008, 10:02	#122 (permalink)
cavelloman Banned Join Date: 28 Dec 2005 Age: 57 Posts: 2,998 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 1	Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Curragh 3.00 Finsceal Beo 1 pt E/W @ 4/1 with Paddy Power Top class last spring, looked to to back to near best when 5th in the UAE a couple of months ago. On ORs is rated only 1lb lower then Duke of Marmalade but is getting the fillies allowances of 3lbs which to me indicates this filly may be able to beat the favourite if staying this trip. Trading at 1.75 for the place on Betfair so we may be getting a degree of value based on the market.

25-05-2008, 10:07	#123 (permalink)
cavelloman Banned Join Date: 28 Dec 2005 Age: 57 Posts: 2,998 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 1	Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Newmarket 4.40 Classic Descent 2 pts E/W @9/2 with Betfred Good form on this course actaully a winner that was disqualified. Rated over 80 on official figures which is usually good enough to place in this class of maiden. If trained on should go close

25-05-2008, 12:49	#124 (permalink)
cavelloman Banned Join Date: 28 Dec 2005 Age: 57 Posts: 2,998 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 1	Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Exchange+ Bet Fontwell 2.35 Share My Dream 4 pts place only @2.14 with Betfair 1 pt win @6/1 with William Hill Usually runs well in this class of race. The rain and softening going will help her cause. With her low weight plus the rider's allowance gives her a good chance based on ORs Last edited by cavelloman; 25-05-2008 at 12:50.

25-05-2008, 16:58	#129 (permalink)
john_lovell Seasoned Punter Join Date: 19 Apr 2006 Posts: 360	Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 well done son

25-05-2008, 17:00	#130 (permalink)
spithas Newbie Punter Join Date: 10 May 2006 Posts: 44	Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 thank you __________________ "Its Nice 2 BE Important but its more Importand 2 Be NICE"

25-05-2008, 18:05	#131 (permalink)
cavelloman Banned Join Date: 28 Dec 2005 Age: 57 Posts: 2,998 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 1	Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bets Outlay to Date = 154 pts Return to Date = 183.17 pts Profit to Date = + 29.17 pts Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 37 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +21.43 pts Combined Profit to Date = 50.6 pts __________________ Approaching the end of the month and should now finish in front again. Making this the 6th month on the trot for my E/W bet threads Been a hard week for me with some of my selections running very poorly, fortunately I have found some decent winners at 9/2,4/1 and 11/4 all shorten up by a significant amounts so it looks like I do get it right sometimes

25-05-2008, 20:00	#132 (permalink)
Kamo Seasoned Punter Join Date: 26 May 2007 Posts: 305	Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 Well done Cavelloman Awsome stuff as usual

26-05-2008, 10:37	#133 (permalink)
cavelloman Banned Join Date: 28 Dec 2005 Age: 57 Posts: 2,998 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 1	Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Cartmel 4.45 Sharp Dresser 2 pts E/W @2/1 with Sportingbet A low level novice hurdle race which is typical for this course. But this course also throw up shocks so I'm not going to stake too high on this selection even at this price. Been running in class 3 hurdles so this does represent a drop in class. The rest of the field contains horses with potential who could spring a surprise. Today going will help our selection as will the sharp track IMO. Based on all this IMO the selection should be priced c6/4-13/8. Last edited by cavelloman; 26-05-2008 at 10:38.

26-05-2008, 13:33	#135 (permalink)
cavelloman Banned Join Date: 28 Dec 2005 Age: 57 Posts: 2,998 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 1	Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Redcar 4.25 Howards Way 1/2 pt E/W @8/1 with BetFred As above based on market comparsions. Trading at c2.1 for the place.

26-05-2008, 17:01	#139 (permalink)
cavelloman Banned Join Date: 28 Dec 2005 Age: 57 Posts: 2,998 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 1	Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bets Outlay to Date = 160 pts Return to Date = 190.77 pts Profit to Date = + 30.77 pts Exchange + Other Bets Outlay to Date = 37 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +21.43 pts Combined Profit to Date = 52.2 pts

27-05-2008, 17:38	#140 (permalink)
cavelloman Banned Join Date: 28 Dec 2005 Age: 57 Posts: 2,998 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 1	Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008 E/W Bet Huntingham 7.10 Cortinas 3 pts E/W @11/10 with Bet365(BOG) Rated at 120 OR. The 2nd favourite of A King was beaten 20l LTO while the 3rd fav is yet to race in the UK. If they are fancied we will get a bigger price si I see this as a value bet

Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)

Thread Tools
Show Printable Version Email this Page
Display Modes
Linear Mode Switch to Hybrid Mode Switch to Threaded Mode