Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

[ardman123]

Excellent again!!!

[cavelloman]

E/W Bets

Outlay to Date = 135 pts Return to Date = 147.97 pts Profit to Date = + 12.97 pts

Exchange + Other Bets

Outlay to Date = 28 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +30.43 pts


Combined Profit to Date = 43.40 pts

[mlmrob]

superb work cavelloman.

[BillyHills]

Some good stuff in here Tom, excellent results mate, well done.

[cavelloman]

E/W Bets

Stratford 6.10

The first race at Stratford looks to give E/W value hunters some hope.
All 3 of my selcetion either have reasonable form in higher grade or form at this level plus all appear to be able to acto on a sharp track and firmer going. Modest stakes only.

Theocritus 1 pt E/W @15/2 with William Hill

Commemoration Day 0.5 pts E/W @16/1 with BetFred

Tanners Court 0.5 pts E/W @25/1 with William Hill

[cavelloman]

Add to above

Ask Oscar 0.5 pt E/W @25/1 with BetDirect(BOG)

[cavelloman]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

E/W Bets

Stratford 6.10

The first race at Stratford looks to give E/W value hunters some hope.
All 3 of my selcetion either have reasonable form in higher grade or form at this level plus all appear to be able to acto on a sharp track and firmer going. Modest stakes only.

Theocritus 1 pt E/W @15/2 with William Hill

Commemoration Day 0.5 pts E/W @16/1 with BetFred

Tanners Court 0.5 pts E/W @25/1 with William Hill

Loss on above bets = -1 pt

[cavelloman]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

Add to above

Ask Oscar 0.5 pt E/W @25/1 with BetDirect(BOG)

Profit on Bet = 2 pts

Profit on Day = 1 pt

[cavelloman]

Single Bet

Beverley 2.25

Froisee 2 pts Win @5/2 with Ladbrokes

Been running in much better races then the favourite and the other runners. With the favourite being a front runner should be able to relax and follow and can de delivered with a telling burst of speed. Should
be 2/1 IMO so 5/2 represent value IMO.

[cavelloman]

E/W Bet

2,45 Catterick

Paddy Jack 1 pt E/W @14/1 with Bet365(BOG)

A rather difficult race. But my advice is to take a small nterest in Paddy Jack. LTO led and weaken over 7 furlongs. But this horse got a very high dosage figures which suggest the shortest distance should suit better. Obviously not one to get carried away with because no good recent form. But with some of the other fancied runners having not too good draws, may break fast and lead the field a merry dance.

[cavelloman]

E/W Bet

Catterick 2.15

Eijaaz 2 pts E/W @11/4 with Blue Square

Very closely rated to the favourite Court of Appeal in races at this course last season and this season. But IMO the faster ground nay just favour my selection. Trading at c1.5 for the place at the moment and this indicates that a degree of value exist. With a field that consists of some strange entrants I have decided to reduce my stake here because of the danger of one or two of these lurkers showing improved form.

[cavelloman]

Exchange Bet

Monaco GP.
I will put any odds and sods bets this summer for Athletics or Grand Prix etc here in conjunctions with posting on the specialist thread.

Heikki Kovalainen (McL) 1 pt @3.3 to Place with Betfair

On a track that should suit his shorter wheelbase car(that what my "expert" tells me) this price looks a little long IMO. Obviously a good poistion on the grid required. Just hope he does not crash again

[cavelloman]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

E/W Bet

2,45 Catterick

Paddy Jack 1 pt E/W @14/1 with Bet365(BOG)

A rather difficult race. But my advice is to take a small nterest in Paddy Jack. LTO led and weaken over 7 furlongs. But this horse got a very high dosage figures which suggest the shortest distance should suit better. Obviously not one to get carried away with because no good recent form. But with some of the other fancied runners having not too good draws, may break fast and lead the field a merry dance.

Last did not come out of stall and did not try too hard afterwards. Something amiss

Loss on Bet = -2 pts

[cavelloman]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

Single Bet

Beverley 2.25

Froisee 2 pts Win @5/2 with Ladbrokes

Been running in much better races then the favourite and the other runners. With the favourite being a front runner should be able to relax and follow and can de delivered with a telling burst of speed. Should
be 2/1 IMO so 5/2 represent value IMO.

Last

Loss on Bet = -2 pts

[cavelloman]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

E/W Bet

Catterick 2.15

Eijaaz 2 pts E/W @11/4 with Blue Square

Very closely rated to the favourite Court of Appeal in races at this course last season and this season. But IMO the faster ground nay just favour my selection. Trading at c1.5 for the place at the moment and this indicates that a degree of value exist. With a field that consists of some strange entrants I have decided to reduce my stake here because of the danger of one or two of these lurkers showing improved form.

Won

Profit on Bet = 6 .6 pts

In front on the day at the moment by 2.6 pts and that the aim.

[Kamo]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

Won

Profit on Bet = 6 .6 pts

In front on the day at the moment by 2.6 pts and that the aim.

Well done again Cavelloman

[john_lovell]

Well done Cavelloman

[cavelloman]

Exchange Bet

Oumeyade 1 pts win @2.3 with Betfair

Looks a handicap "cert". We have all seen these lose in the past. Won very easily last night over a longer trip, Down in trip and up in class does not usually suggest a bet. But I'm taking a small bet here because I believe this horse could be rated over 135 in the future and here is running off 107. Still not a mortgage job but worth some interest.

[cavelloman]

E/W Bet

Stratford 7.20

Southwestern 1 pt E/W @9/2 with William Hll

Been running well in high value hunter chases and was "unlucky" when falling in Ireland when leading in a £20K+ race. Previous winner over course and distance. Finished in front of the favourite at Cheltenham in the Foxhunters. The favourite is yet to do the business in a high value race. Take the Stand may be overrated due to his previous form from his younger days.

[cavelloman]

Originally Posted by cavelloman

Exchange Bet

Oumeyade 1 pts win @2.3 with Betfair

Looks a handicap "cert". We have all seen these lose in the past. Won very easily last night over a longer trip, Down in trip and up in class does not usually suggest a bet. But I'm taking a small bet here because I believe this horse could be rated over 135 in the future and here is running off 107. Still not a mortgage job but worth some interest.

2nd

Loss on Bet = - 1 pt