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Old 14-05-2008, 21:47   #61 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Well done 4 the winner!

I missed it earlier due to the footie!

O well =D

Rangers lost!! woohoo
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Old 15-05-2008, 18:31   #62 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Exchange + Other Bets

Outlay to Date = 24 pts Return to Date = 49.43 pts Profit to Date = +25.43 pts



E/W Bets

Outlay to Date = 83 pts Return to Date = 77.01 pts Loss to Date = - 5.99 pts

Combined Yield = +18.2%
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Old 16-05-2008, 16:21   #63 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

E/W Bet

Hamilton 8.00

Society Venue 2 pts E/W @9/2 with Stan James (BOG)

Finished strongly over 8 furlongs LTO. Highest rated OR plus the sire of this horse gets more winners in the 9-11 fulong range rather then the 7-9 furlong range. If it stays it should placed.

Last edited by cavelloman; 16-05-2008 at 16:31.
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Old 16-05-2008, 19:09   #64 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by cavelloman View Post
E/W Bet

Hamilton 8.00

Society Venue 2 pts E/W @9/2 with Stan James (BOG)

Finished strongly over 8 furlongs LTO. Highest rated OR plus the sire of this horse gets more winners in the 9-11 fulong range rather then the 7-9 furlong range. If it stays it should placed.
2nd loss on bet = -0.2 pts

Having a bit of a run of seconditis on my E/W bets at the moment.

Last edited by cavelloman; 16-05-2008 at 19:09.
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Old 17-05-2008, 09:41   #65 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

E/W Bet

2.35 Thirsk

Touchdown 2 pts E/W @4/1 with Bet365(BOG)

The odd-on favourite's form looks far from stong IMO. While Touchdown would have won LTO if he had not runabout all over the track. With a left hand rail this time could go very close today.

Last edited by cavelloman; 17-05-2008 at 09:43.
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Old 17-05-2008, 11:08   #66 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

E/W Bet

Uttoxeter 7.05

Keepitsecret 1 pt E/W @7/1 with BetFred

2 runners in this race have much higher ratings over hurdles then chases. One is odds-on the others is 7/1. With the place component representing a degree of value must represent some value IMO. The assistance of a claimer will may be the reason this selection is 7/1. With McCoy is on the other stable representative this may be the reason for the price. But McCoy got to ride that one for McManus
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Old 17-05-2008, 12:01   #67 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

E/W Bet

2.35 Thirsk

Dolly Penrose 1 pt E/W @8/1 with Bet365(BOG)

Reasonable form on higher class courses so could do well here. More importantant represent value on market comparsion. Show c2.0 for the place on the exchanges and here we are getting 2.6 plus win odds similiar.
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Old 17-05-2008, 13:23   #68 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Single Bet

4 pts win Very Cool @5/4 with Blue Square

Now it's drifted it represent a degree of value. Like my E/W selection in the same race appears to get into this race with a low OR. If he can reproduce his hurdle form must just about win his. Obviously a risk with the distance and the obstacles. But my have too much ability for most of this field.
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Old 17-05-2008, 13:49   #69 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

__________________
"Its Nice 2 BE Important but its more Importand 2 Be NICE"
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Old 17-05-2008, 15:07   #70 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

E/W Bet

Uttoxeter 6.30

In a poor race with very little solid form But where the price structure offers us some value 2 small bets are advised.

Quelclass O.5 pt E/W @7/1 with Bet365(BOG)
Smart Tom 0.5 pt E/W @16/1 with BetFred

Outlay = 2 pts only. A reflection of my confidence in the form rather then the price structure

Both have shown sign of ability and in a very poor race a little ability may be all that is required to at least place.
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Old 17-05-2008, 18:23   #71 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Awesome again today mate best tipster on this site.
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Old 17-05-2008, 18:50   #72 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Well done Cavelloman Great tipping there mate
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Old 17-05-2008, 18:54   #73 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

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Old 17-05-2008, 18:59   #74 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Fantastic as usual mate. Looking forward to a great summer.

Cheers, you're a star!
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Old 17-05-2008, 20:36   #75 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by cavelloman View Post
E/W Bet

2.35 Thirsk

Touchdown 2 pts E/W @4/1 with Bet365(BOG)

The odd-on favourite's form looks far from stong IMO. While Touchdown would have won LTO if he had not runabout all over the track. With a left hand rail this time could go very close today.
Won
Profit on Bet = 9.6 pts
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Old 17-05-2008, 20:37   #76 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by cavelloman View Post
E/W Bet

2.35 Thirsk

Dolly Penrose 1 pt E/W @8/1 with Bet365(BOG)

Reasonable form on higher class courses so could do well here. More importantant represent value on market comparsion. Show c2.0 for the place on the exchanges and here we are getting 2.6 plus win odds similiar.
Placed

Profit on Bet = +0.6 pts
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Old 17-05-2008, 20:38   #77 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by cavelloman View Post
Single Bet

4 pts win Very Cool @5/4 with Blue Square

Now it's drifted it represent a degree of value. Like my E/W selection in the same race appears to get into this race with a low OR. If he can reproduce his hurdle form must just about win his. Obviously a risk with the distance and the obstacles. But my have too much ability for most of this field.

Won

Profit on Bet = + 5 pts
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Old 17-05-2008, 20:39   #78 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by cavelloman View Post
E/W Bet

Uttoxeter 7.05

Keepitsecret 1 pt E/W @7/1 with BetFred

2 runners in this race have much higher ratings over hurdles then chases. One is odds-on the others is 7/1. With the place component representing a degree of value must represent some value IMO. The assistance of a claimer will may be the reason this selection is 7/1. With McCoy is on the other stable representative this may be the reason for the price. But McCoy got to ride that one for McManus
Unplaced

Loss on Bet = -2 pts
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Old 17-05-2008, 20:40   #79 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by cavelloman View Post
E/W Bet

Uttoxeter 6.30

In a poor race with very little solid form But where the price structure offers us some value 2 small bets are advised.

Quelclass O.5 pt E/W @7/1 with Bet365(BOG)
Smart Tom 0.5 pt E/W @16/1 with BetFred

Outlay = 2 pts only. A reflection of my confidence in the form rather then the price structure

Both have shown sign of ability and in a very poor race a little ability may be all that is required to at least place.
unplaced and a placed

Profit on Bet = 0.1 pts
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Old 17-05-2008, 20:46   #80 (permalink)
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Default Re: Cavelloman's E/W Non-Handicap Value + Exchange Bets Summer 2008

Exchange + Other Bets

Outlay to Date = 28 pts Return to Date = 58.43 pts Profit to Date = +30.43 pts


E/W Bets

Outlay to Date = 93 pts Return to Date = 94.91 pts Profit to Date = + 1.91 pts

Combined Yield = +26.7%
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