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Old 17-04-2008, 16:28   #1 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
Join Date: 15 Nov 2006
Posts: 988
Default 3+ 1st timers (British)

this is something that i do in p/pots, to help me decipher a tough race. if there is 3 or more first time horses in a race then back the horse that is fav at the off. been trialling it and so far it is alright. Today there was 7 races with

2 winners - 3/1 + 15/8
2 2nd's
2 3rd's
1 unplaced
decided to put it on here for everyone else to have a snigger at it.

Starting bank - £150
Each Pick £5 win/ if fav is over 6/1 then e/w (but i've never seen one yet)

Thur 17th April
Dundalk - 6.40
7.40
9.40
Kempton - 7.50



Fri 18th April
Newbury - 1.10
3.50
4.25
Thirsk - 2.00
5.15

Last edited by welshman 2005; 05-08-2008 at 17:51. Reason: changed title
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Old 17-04-2008, 20:56   #2 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Posts: 988
Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Quote:
Thur 17th April
Dundalk - 6.40 - lost
7.40 1st 4/7 £7.86
9.40 - lost
Kempton - 7.50 lost

staked - £20
return - £7.86
p/l - -£12.14
new bank - £137.86

hopefully not a sign of things to come.
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Old 17-04-2008, 21:14   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Best of luck with this mate. Wouldn't worry about the bad start its par for the course when you put something on here for all to see.

Rooster
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Old 26-05-2008, 23:31   #4 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Posts: 988
Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

decided to bump this thread.

will be carrying with the bank where i left it.

total p/l - -£12.14
new bank - £137.86

Tues 27th May
2.00 Leic -
2.10 Red -
2.20 Cheps -
3.40 Red -
7.50 Hunt -
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Old 27-05-2008, 19:04   #5 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Posts: 988
Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Quote:
Tues 27th May
2.00 Leic - x
2.10 Red - Ares Choix 9/4 (£32.50)
2.20 Cheps - Pennys Gift 11/4 (£37.50)
3.40 Red - Military Power 15/8 (£28.75)
7.50 Hunt - Cortinas 5/6 (£18.33)
Staked - £50
Return - £117.08
P/l - +£67.08
Total P/l - +£54.94
New Bank - £204.94
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Old 27-05-2008, 19:08   #6 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

forgot to add
each pick £10 win, if sp is 6/1 or over then £5 e/w

Wed 28th May
3.00 G/Leighs -
3.15 Yarmouth -
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Old 28-05-2008, 14:51   #7 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Posts: 988
Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Quote:
Wed 28th May
3.00 G/Leighs - Mister Green 11/4 (£37.50)
3.15 Yar - x
Staked - £20
Return - £37.50
P/l - +£17.50
Total P/L - +£72.44
New Bank - £222.44
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Old 28-05-2008, 14:52   #8 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Thurs 29th May
2.10 Yar -
2.30 G/Leighs -
9.00 Weth -
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Old 29-05-2008, 20:17   #9 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Posts: 988
Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Quote:
Thurs 29th May
2.10 Yar - x
2.30 G/Leighs - Unleashed 11/10 (£21)
9.00 Weth - x
Staked - £30
Return - £21
P/l - -£9
Total P/L - +£63.44
New Bank - £213.44
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Old 29-05-2008, 20:21   #10 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Fri 30th May
3.00 Good -
4.35 York -
7.10 Hay -
8.10 Hay -
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Old 30-05-2008, 19:59   #11 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
Join Date: 15 Nov 2006
Posts: 988
Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Quote:
Fri 30th May
3.00 Good - x
4.35 York - x
7.10 Hay - awinnersgame 4/7 (£15.71)
8.10 Hay - Bramaputra 13/8 (£26.25)
Staked - £40
Return - £41.96
P/l - +£1.96
Total P/L - £65.40
New Bank - £215.40
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Old 30-05-2008, 20:01   #12 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
Join Date: 15 Nov 2006
Posts: 988
Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

a big day on sat, all profit could be lost with a mammoth 8 picks. And i started this week leaving irish racing out, because i thought there would be less picks. how wrong was I.

anyway

Sat 31st May
2.35 Donny -
3.50 Hayd -
4.05 Good -
4.30 York -
6.35 Ling -
6.50 Newb -
7.40 Ling -
7.55 Newb -
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Old 31-05-2008, 19:14   #13 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
Join Date: 15 Nov 2006
Posts: 988
Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Quote:
Sat 31st May
2.35 Donny - Himalya 4/6 (£16.67)
3.50 Hayd - Dabbers Chief 2/1 (£30)
4.05 Good - x
4.30 York - Honest Quality 15/8 (£28.75)
6.35 Ling - x
6.50 Newb - x
7.40 Ling - x
7.55 Newb - j/favs, both x
Staked - £90
Return - £75.42
P/l - -£14.58
Total P/L - +£50.82
New Bank - £200.82
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Old 31-05-2008, 19:17   #14 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Posts: 988
Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Sun 1st June
2.10 Bath -
5.20 Perth -
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Old 01-06-2008, 17:11   #15 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
Join Date: 15 Nov 2006
Posts: 988
Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Quote:
Sun 1st
2.10 Bath - (J/f's) Dubai's Gazal 10/3 (£43.33) sparta rebel - lost
5.20 Perth - (J/f's) Present Gesture - 11/4 (£37.50) quacity - lost
Staked - £40
Return - £80.83
P/l - +£40.83
Total P/l - +£91.65
New Bank - £241.65
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Old 01-06-2008, 17:12   #16 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Mon 2nd
2.00 Lei -
2.15 Car -
5.00 Lei -
8.30 Win -
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Old 01-06-2008, 18:18   #17 (permalink)
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Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Nice going. Ive been looking at this myself since you started the thread as a lot that don't win place and I have a tendancy for backing place favs.

I done the 1st 4 on Saturday in a acca, win only as you cant do e/w on unnamed favs (as Im sure you know). 3 winners and a second!! Would have been a 40/1 or so acca!
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Old 01-06-2008, 19:43   #18 (permalink)
Shrewdie Punter
 
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Posts: 988
Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

tidy wfte.
i was doing another system to place, but i couldnt check the prices everyday, so i had to knock that on the head.

i've a qusetion, on betfair, can you place accys on the to place market?

Last edited by welshman 2005; 01-06-2008 at 19:51.
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Old 01-06-2008, 20:33   #19 (permalink)
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Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Not pre-placed, no. Of course you can always just roll the winnings on after each bet.
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Old 01-06-2008, 23:53   #20 (permalink)
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Default Re: 3+ first timer (favs)

Welshie, any stats you want for win or placed 'jollies' let me know

I've got every favourite this season on a spreadsheet.

I can sort by date, course, type of race (maiden, handicap etc) class of race, name of horse, number of runners, starting price, won or placed and distance of race.

Got all the odds-on shots listed separately as well as on the main sheet.

I'll hopefully be putting up the stats soon, when there have been 1,000 races (940 gone)
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