Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) - The Punters Lounge

davidmphill · 26-04-2006, 11:25

Saturday 29 April 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Dep Coruña v Celta Vigo (19:00 BST)	2.26	3.42	3.37	104%
Real Betis v Athletic Bilbao (19:00 BST)	2.22	3.35	3.70	102%
Barcelona v Cadiz (21:00 BST)	1.25	6.48	16.80	102%
Sunday 30 April 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Getafe v Villarreal (16:00 BST)	2.26	3.40	3.40	104%
Málaga v Racing Club (16:00 BST)	2.82	3.32	2.68	103%
Real Sociedad v Sevilla (16:00 BST)	2.50	3.39	3.10	102%
Real Zaragoza v Español (16:00 BST)	2.35	3.31	3.30	104%
Valencia v CD Alaves (16:00 BST)	1.40	4.97	10.20	102%
Atlético Madrid v Mallorca (18:00 BST)	1.86	3.75	4.75	102%
Osasuna v Real Madrid (20:00 BST)	3.00	3.50	2.52	102%

Saturday 29 April 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Eibar v Tenerife (17:30 BST)	2.50	2.75	2.75	113%
Levante v Hercules (17:30 BST)	1.72	3.10	4.50	113%
Murcia v Almeria (17:30 BST)	2.62	2.75	2.62	113%
Valladolid v Sporting Gijon (17:30 BST)	2.10	2.75	3.50	113%
Sunday 30 April 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Lorca v Ciudad de Murcia (11:00 BST)	2.25	2.87	3.00	113%
Albacete v Real Madrid B (16:30 BST)	2.37	2.75	2.87	114%
Gimnastic v Malaga B (18:00 BST)	1.36	3.75	8.00	113%

cavelloman · 28-04-2006, 19:17

Sport	Football (Spain)
Event	BARCELONA V CADIZ
Selection	OVER 2.5
Strength	4/10
Date	29/04/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Centrebet @ 1.72 (Back)
Reasoning	Barcelona regularly go over 2.5 goals particularly when playing lower level rivals. Cadiz have been beaten in games going over 2.5 goals by Valencia and Real Madrid and I expect this game to follow the same pattern. I will suggest backing the 2-0 correct score option to cover the bet.

Sport	Football (Spain)
Event	BARCELONA V CADIZ
Selection	Correct score 2-0
Strength	1/10
Date	29/04/2006
Bookmaker/Price	SportingBet @ 6.50 (Back)
Reasoning	Ref over bet.

adythom · 29-04-2006, 08:39

making the CL final shouldn't stop Barca from as good as sealing the title with a win at home to Cadiz today -IMO!

I may add the 2/1 Ht/Ft double just to add spice incase Barca do come out of the traps slowly!
2-0 and 3-1 both seem about right to me on the CS's

adythom · 29-04-2006, 09:03

Real 0-4-1 last 5 away
Osasuna 2-2-2 last 6 home
and Valencia 2-3-0 last 5 home
all seem to be doing their level best to avoid 2nd spot by dropping as many points as possible all over the place. as the pressure mounts I think it's looking like Valencia who've started getting their act together just at the right time.

Valencia now have 4 straight wins and are facing an Alaves side that's played out four 0-0's in their last six matches! [snoozeville!]
the unders looks on as does the Valencia clean sheet and a win to-nil, IMO!
2-0 seems to be a fair punt on the CS's here also!

Osasuna v Real is probrably best left alone but I think a lay of the home side is going to prove a winning punt!
not exactly sure why though! - I think Osasuna may attack Real and lose as a result! but?

Djordje · 29-04-2006, 11:52

Levante looks like winners today, but I'm not sure about the price. They have ultra rich president and he wants Primera football next season. There are rumuors that players will get 100,000 euros each if they get there, so there shouldn't be any doubts about their motivation

archaeus · 29-04-2006, 18:09

Getafe v Villarreal

I am not a spannish football specialist but i will have a bet on Getafe as Riquelme , Tacchinardi, Sorin and Josico will miss tomorrow's game and Villareal is a much weaker side without those 4 players.

Getafe odds 2.3 @ betfair 7/10

adythom · 29-04-2006, 18:56

Getafe' are a good call even without the news of Villarreals weakened squad archaeus-IMO!
in the last 6 matches they've played 3 of the top 4
Losing to Barca away 3-1
beating Osasuna away 0-4
and drawing with Real 1-1 at home
they won the other 3 matches BTW!

they're a team famed for some great away performances but I'm all over them at those odds! with 1-1 draw cover though, just in case!

davidmphill · 29-04-2006, 19:30

Quote:

Originally Posted by archaeus

Getafe v Villarreal

I am not a spannish football specialist but i will have a bet on Getafe as Riquelme , Tacchinardi, Sorin and Josico will miss tomorrow's game and Villareal is a much weaker side without those 4 players.

Getafe odds 2.3 @ betfair 7/10

Looks a sensible pick to me mate.

adythom · 29-04-2006, 20:03

Quote:

Originally Posted by Djordje

Levante looks like winners today, but I'm not sure about the price. They have ultra rich president and he wants Primera football next season. There are rumuors that players will get 100,000 euros each if they get there, so there shouldn't be any doubts about their motivation

YEEEEEEEHHH!!!!!

2-0 I threw a few more quid at this than I should have so I'm well happy!

nice one Djordje!

cavelloman · 30-04-2006, 13:33

Sport	Football (Spain)
Event	VALENCIA V ALAVES
Selection	OVER 2.5
Strength	4/10
Date	30/04/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Betdaq @ 1.96 (Back)
Reasoning	Valencia are a pretty potent force at home and are always capable of scoring plenty of goals. With this being a game with a bit difference in class, Valencia are over 1000 points in front on Rateform figures and have been in good goalscoring form lately. IMO the true odds are about 1.8 or a little less so I will cover the bet with the correct score of 2-0.

Sport	Football (Spain)
Event	VALENCIA V ALEVES
Selection	CORRECT SCORE 2-0
Strength	1/10
Date	30/04/2006
Bookmaker/Price	SportingBet @ 7.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Ref over 2.5 for comments.

3hree · 30-04-2006, 18:45

Don't have enough time for detailed post but if you see what is at stake tonight when Madrid visit Osasuna you'll understand why over 6.5 bookings is the bet to take! 8/11 is a little skinny but takeable! Encounter earlier this season and pressure adds to bookings possibilities as Madrid field a weakish team. Sending off market looks nice, 2.76 available at betfair. Best of luck all

3hree · 30-04-2006, 19:35

Ok, got few mins

Osasuna, 13 red cards in their games involved this season (34) 6/13 OSA
Madrid, 13 red cards in their games involved this season (34) 9/13 MAD

So two pretty badly disciplined teams and red cards for Madrid have mainly come in tight games

1-0 Loss away @ Espanyol
1-2 Loss home to Valencia
2-2 Draw away @ R. Sociedad
1-0 Win home to Getafe
1-1 Draw away @ Barcelona
1-1 Draw home to R. Sociedad

Just short of one every three games when both stats taken into account

Last fixture looked like this:

Sunday 18 Dec 2005

Sunday 18/12/2005

20:00

Spanish League Primera Div 1

Real Madrid

12'		Da Silva Roberto Carlos
27'		Jose Maria Gutierrez Fernandez Guti
31'		Robinho
54'		Michel Salgado
61'		Sergio Ramos
83'		Roberto Soldado
87'		Zinedine Zidane

1 : 1

Osasuna

14'		Francisco Punal
15'		Romero Urtasun Josetxo
25'		Moha Yaacoubi(Moha)
37'		Carlos Cuellar
63'		Sosa
76'		Savo Milosevic

Filth.

Carlos should've seen Red with Punal that day as it was Carlos's elbow that caused the fracas with Punal. Revenge will be sweet me thinks tonight for Osasuna and the harsh atmosphere will create bookings galore and hopefully our dismissal!

Brimson · 30-04-2006, 19:45

no!

Osasuna 1 down!

3hree · 30-04-2006, 19:52

It's not kicked off yet mate

medics · 30-04-2006, 20:17

One yellow already

3hree · 30-04-2006, 20:36

Seems to have stopped there

3hree · 30-04-2006, 20:45

That's more like it, 3 just before half time. Almost halfway there in a match so close that it will surely hot up after the break... if not before!!

29-04-2006, 08:39	#3 (permalink)
adythom God Punter Join Date: 07 Oct 2005 Posts: 2,539	Re: Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) making the CL final shouldn't stop Barca from as good as sealing the title with a win at home to Cadiz today -IMO! I may add the 2/1 Ht/Ft double just to add spice incase Barca do come out of the traps slowly! 2-0 and 3-1 both seem about right to me on the CS's

29-04-2006, 09:03	#4 (permalink)
adythom God Punter Join Date: 07 Oct 2005 Posts: 2,539	Re: Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) Real 0-4-1 last 5 away Osasuna 2-2-2 last 6 home and Valencia 2-3-0 last 5 home all seem to be doing their level best to avoid 2nd spot by dropping as many points as possible all over the place. as the pressure mounts I think it's looking like Valencia who've started getting their act together just at the right time. Valencia now have 4 straight wins and are facing an Alaves side that's played out four 0-0's in their last six matches! [snoozeville!] the unders looks on as does the Valencia clean sheet and a win to-nil, IMO! 2-0 seems to be a fair punt on the CS's here also! Osasuna v Real is probrably best left alone but I think a lay of the home side is going to prove a winning punt! not exactly sure why though! - I think Osasuna may attack Real and lose as a result! but?

29-04-2006, 11:52	#5 (permalink)
Djordje Professor Punter Join Date: 07 Nov 2004 Age: 33 Posts: 5,126	Re: Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) Levante looks like winners today, but I'm not sure about the price. They have ultra rich president and he wants Primera football next season. There are rumuors that players will get 100,000 euros each if they get there, so there shouldn't be any doubts about their motivation __________________ System-Bet

29-04-2006, 18:09	#6 (permalink)
archaeus doctor punter Join Date: 22 Sep 2005 Location: Romania Age: 28 Posts: 2,004 Awards Showcase Total Awards: 1	Re: Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) Getafe v Villarreal I am not a spannish football specialist but i will have a bet on Getafe as Riquelme , Tacchinardi, Sorin and Josico will miss tomorrow's game and Villareal is a much weaker side without those 4 players. Getafe odds 2.3 @ betfair 7/10 __________________ Punters Lounge poker champion Barry's 2006 Euro & Worldwide Football Competition winner my blog

29-04-2006, 18:56	#7 (permalink)
adythom God Punter Join Date: 07 Oct 2005 Posts: 2,539	Re: Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) Getafe' are a good call even without the news of Villarreals weakened squad archaeus-IMO! in the last 6 matches they've played 3 of the top 4 Losing to Barca away 3-1 beating Osasuna away 0-4 and drawing with Real 1-1 at home they won the other 3 matches BTW! they're a team famed for some great away performances but I'm all over them at those odds! with 1-1 draw cover though, just in case!

30-04-2006, 18:45	#11 (permalink)
3hree aka jonnyrushton Join Date: 30 Oct 2004 Age: 23 Posts: 1,340	Re: Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) Don't have enough time for detailed post but if you see what is at stake tonight when Madrid visit Osasuna you'll understand why over 6.5 bookings is the bet to take! 8/11 is a little skinny but takeable! Encounter earlier this season and pressure adds to bookings possibilities as Madrid field a weakish team. Sending off market looks nice, 2.76 available at betfair. Best of luck all __________________ it's all in the hips

30-04-2006, 19:45	#13 (permalink)
Brimson Dedicated Punter Join Date: 31 Oct 2004 Posts: 202	Re: Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) no! Osasuna 1 down!

30-04-2006, 19:52	#14 (permalink)
3hree aka jonnyrushton Join Date: 30 Oct 2004 Age: 23 Posts: 1,340	Re: Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) It's not kicked off yet mate __________________ it's all in the hips

30-04-2006, 20:17	#15 (permalink)
medics Senior Punter Join Date: 30 Oct 2004 Posts: 165	Re: Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) One yellow already

30-04-2006, 20:36	#16 (permalink)
3hree aka jonnyrushton Join Date: 30 Oct 2004 Age: 23 Posts: 1,340	Re: Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) Seems to have stopped there __________________ it's all in the hips

30-04-2006, 20:45	#17 (permalink)
3hree aka jonnyrushton Join Date: 30 Oct 2004 Age: 23 Posts: 1,340	Re: Spain Primera & Segunda Leagues (29-30 April) That's more like it, 3 just before half time. Almost halfway there in a match so close that it will surely hot up after the break... if not before!! __________________ it's all in the hips