Portugal - Superliga (7 May)

[meatman]

Sunday 7 May 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Acádemica v Marítimo (16:00 BST)	1.75	3.40	4.50	109%	Related markets...Match Result- - -Match ResultOver/Under
Boavista v Porto (16:00 BST)	2.54	3.40	2.40	111%	Related markets...Match Result- - -Match ResultOver/Under
Gil Vicente v Belenenses (16:00 BST)	1.80	3.20	5.50	105%	Related markets...Match Result- - -Match ResultOver/Under
Guimarães v Amadora (16:00 BST)	1.55	3.75	5.20	111%	Related markets...Match Result- - -Match ResultOver/Under
Paços Ferreira v Benfica (16:00 BST)	4.00	3.30	1.80	111%	Related markets...Match Result- - -Match ResultOver/Under
Penafiel v Naval (16:00 BST)	5.50	4.00	1.60	106%	Related markets...Match Result- - -Match ResultOver/Under
Setúbal v Nacional (16:00 BST)	3.20	2.70	2.38	111%	Related markets...Match ResultMatch Result
Uniao Leiria v Rio Ave (16:00 BST)	2.14	3.40	3.30	107%	Related markets...Match Result- - -Match ResultOver/Under
Sporting Lisbon v Sporting Braga (18:30 BST)	1.45	3.70	8.00	109%	Related markets...Match Result- - -Match ResultOver/Under

[adythom]

Motivation and pressure should be our watch words again as the season ends this week, I suppose!
I'm not sure if there are cup considerations to effect the uefa placings in Portugal or not in all honesty?
If not then;

Boavista v Porto
Porto are champions and the goal they conceeded v Guimaraes last week was the first in the 9 straight wins they've just had!
Boavista in 6th can make the uefa places if they win and Nacional slip up at V.Setubal! But form wise Boavista couldn't beat an egg right now!
CS's 0-1 and 1-1 -IMO!

V.Setubal v Nacional
V.Setubal have an 8-0-8 home record with five 1-0 wins and five 0-1 losses in those matches! They're safe in seventh with nothing to play for, as fat as I'm aware, and have a 3-0-2 record in the last five at home! Though the 2-0-7 in their last nine in total doesn't read quite as well!
Nacional need to win to be sure of fifth, because of goal differences, though their 1-0-5 away record [the win at Penafiel] and the H2H's of 1-1-0 and 2-3-0 in total don't seem to offer them much hope!
CS's of 1-0 and 0-1 ,though?

[Djordje]

Originally Posted by adythom

Motivation and pressure should be our watch words again as the season ends this week, I suppose!
I'm not sure if there are cup considerations to effect the uefa placings in Portugal or not in all honesty?
If not then;

Boavista v Porto
Porto are champions and the goal they conceeded v Guimaraes last week was the first in the 9 straight wins they've just had!
Boavista in 6th can make the uefa places if they win and Nacional slip up at V.Setubal! But form wise Boavista couldn't beat an egg right now!
CS's 0-1 and 1-1 -IMO!

V.Setubal v Nacional
V.Setubal have an 8-0-8 home record with five 1-0 wins and five 0-1 losses in those matches! They're safe in seventh with nothing to play for, as fat as I'm aware, and have a 3-0-2 record in the last five at home! Though the 2-0-7 in their last nine in total doesn't read quite as well!
Nacional need to win to be sure of fifth, because of goal differences, though their 1-0-5 away record [the win at Penafiel] and the H2H's of 1-1-0 and 2-3-0 in total don't seem to offer them much hope!
CS's of 1-0 and 0-1 ,though?

just read in one Serbian betting magazine that Boavista could financially motivate Setubal to take something from Nacional match.

Just a rumuour, but not impossible in leagues like this one

[adythom]

Cheers Djordje!

impossible to pick a winner with all the nonsense in the background eh?

I always seem to struggle at this time of year anyway! oh well!

[adythom]

Ferriera v Benfica
CL qualification is still a possibility for Benfica if Sporting mess up at home to Braga!
Benfica have won the last 6 v Ferriera scoring 21 and conceeding just 2!
[BTW-Valencia had a similar record v Mallorca until this Sunday!]
Even though they've been feeling the pressure, and dropping points they shouldn't have, I'm still backing them to win this! Though it wont be enough to get them the CL place they want-IMO!
My pick .......0-1 away win!

Sp.Lisbon v Sp.Braga
Rio Ave' goal v Sporting was only the 2nd they've conceeded in 11 matches!
And Braga, without any pressure and nothing but fun to play for, shouldn't be any trouble for them! But they've been feeling the pressure lately aswell so it may be another tense affair!
The unders bet looks on given Bragas record in that department already this season and 1-0 is my pick again!


Good luck all!

[adythom]

The battle at the bottom looks a like any 2 from 3 - if my maths is anything to go by! And of course unless there's some bizarre relegation play-off thing!
Goal difference providing the participants with what looks like being a real nail-biter!

Penafiel are well down but host 15th placed Naval who have it in their own hands to keep their top flight status!

Rio Ave,without an away win since October, visit U.Leiria who have nothing to play for!
The H2H's of 2-2-1 and 3-3-5 would seem to offer some hope though, especially as U.Leiria haven't beaten Rio Ave at home since 1999 and Rio Aves one win came in their last visit![0-3 in 2005!]

V.Guimaraes host Amadora and have a perfect record at home in this fixture 6-0-0!
This has been a miserable year for V.Guimaraes though and clean sheets have been hard to come by -so?
I'd consider 1-1 cover if you're thinking of backing them here!

I'd be grateful to anyone for more details about these matches!

cheers and good luck!

[korezz]

Boavista sitting in 6th place at the moment with 49 points and they are 2 points behing Nacional a win here and Setubal beating Nacional give Boavista a place in the uefa cup.So big motivation for the home side they play with full team no important missings which is another good sign. Pepe, Bosingwa, Helton, Pedro Emanuel, Paulo Assunçăo, Lucho,Quaresma, McCarthy, Adriano and Raul Meireles all these players porto will miss tomorrow. Porto champ really don't care about this game even though it is a derby we can see it by them using there reserve squad.Odd falling on Boa in many places. Good Luck

I picked this from a picks site, and for me it makes sense. I have a feeling that boavista will make it through to UEFA cup!

There is no sense as this is a derby, coz this time there is the world cup my friends...

Boavista to win in my opinion!!

Any comments welcome!!

[korezz]

I think that the porto team won't risk any good players in a derby because they might get an injury and not play in the world cup!

[Gitarra]

And 14 may is the Portugal Cup final match..Porto-Setubal and Porto play with 5 young player..My bet is on Boavista today...

[patobravo]

19 HOURS

BOAVISTA - PORTO
PORTO WITHOUT 10 HABITUAL PLAYERS !!!!!!!!!!!
PORTO COACH. ADRIAANSE IS THINKING IN PORTUGAL CUP NEXT WEEK...
BOAVISTA IN CRISIS
LAST 10 GAMES = 0 WINS
BOAVISTA HAVE MINIMAL CHANCES TO GET A PLACE IN UEFA CUP
PICK UNDER 2,5 GOALS
5/10
FOR ME BEST OPTION
CORRECT SCORE: 0-0;1-0

19 HOURS

SETUBAL-NACIONAL
NACIONAL HAS TO WIN BECAUSE THEY WANT A PLACE IN UEFA CUP
SETUBAL AND NACIONAL WITH FULL TEAM
NACIONAL NEEDS A DRAW TO GET 5TH PLACE IN PORTUGUESE LEAGUE
NACIONAL PLAYED GOOD LAST GAMES
I THINK NACIONAL CAN WIN BUT DON`T FORGET DRAW....
PICK X2 AND UNDER
8/10
CORRECT SCORE: 0-0;0-1

GOOD LUCK

[Adooo]

Victoria Setubal - Nacional
Portugal, BetandWin league 19:00

vs

Victoria Setubal :

	Overall	Home
Over / Under	8-24	2-11
Goals For	0.82	0.88
Goals Against	0.97	0.75
GF / GA	27/32	14/12
Average goals	1.81	1.63

Last 8 games overall :
Benfica - Setubal 1 - 0 under
Setubal - Maritimo 0 - 1 under
Belenenses - Setubal 3 - 1 over
Setubal - Sp. Braga 1 - 0 under
Rio Ave - Setubal 1 - 0 under
Setubal - Naval 4 - 1 over
E. Amadora - Setubal 1 – 0 under
Setubal - Porto F.C. 0 – 2 under

Last 5 games home :
Setubal - Maritimo 0 - 1 under
Setubal - Sp. Braga 1 - 0 under
Setubal - Naval 4 - 1 over
Setubal - Porto F.C. 0 - 2 under
Setubal - Penafiel 2 – 0 under

Nacional :

	Overall	Away
Over / Under	12-20	4-12
Goals For	1.18	0.75
Goals Against	0.94	0.75
GF / GA	39/31	12/13
Average goals	2.16	1.56

Last 8 games overall :
Nacional - Boavista F.C. 1 - 0 under
Nacional - Benfica 1 - 1 under
Maritimo - Nacional 2 - 0 under
Nacional - Belenenses 4 - 0 over
Sp. Braga - Nacional 1 - 0 under
Nacional - Rio Ave 1 - 1 under
Naval - Nacional 3 - 1 over
Nacional - E. Amadora 1 – 2 over

Last 5 games away :
Maritimo - Nacional 2 - 0 under
Sp. Braga - Nacional 1 - 0 under
Naval - Nacional 3 - 1 over
Porto F.C. - Nacional 3 - 0 over
Penafiel - Nacional 1 – 2 over

History :
06. jan 2006 NACIONAL - SETUBAL 2 : 2 over
03. apr 2005 NACIONAL - SETUBAL 1 : 3 over
13. nov 2004 SETUBAL - NACIONAL 1 : 0 under

Victoria Setubal :
- From 16 home games 7 finished with clean sheet
- From 16 home games in 7 fail to score
- In last 10 home games scored 9 goals.
- Setubal home never conceded 3 or more goals and only once shoot 3 or more goals

Nacional :
- From 16 away games 8 finished with clean sheet
- From 16 away games in 9 fail to score

Injuries / Suspensions :
V.Setubal FERNANDES DEF (back)
V.Setubal MERCHANT MID (injured)

Weather :
Mostly Sunny

CONCLUSION :
V.Setubal has nothing to play for, they are ticking along in the mid-table area on the 7th spot safe from relegation and 6 poents far from Uefa spot with only one game left to play.In their minds is surely only the cup final so they could rest some key players in this game .On the other side Nacional is positioned on the 5th spot with 51 poents, but with only two poents more than Benfica who is 6th,so they need only one poent to secure their travell to Uefa cup.Nacional knows how to defend ,from 16 away games 8 finished with clean sheet and today with the return of defender Ricardo Fernandes they should not have problems in defense ,but in attack they are lacking a bit failing to score 9 times in 16 away games.All in all i except a slow game, maybe a low scoring draw could suit both teams well.

Under 2.5 @1.70 Astrabet 8/10

[Adooo]

Boavista - FC Porto
Portugal, BetandWin league 19:00

vs

Boavista :

	Overall	Home
Over / Under	9-23	8-8
Goals For	1.09	1.44
Goals Against	0.85	1.00
GF / GA	36/28	23/16
Average goals	1.97	2.44

Last 8 games overall :
Nacional - Boavista F.C. 1 - 0 under
V.Guimaraes - Boavista F.C. 1 – 1 under
Boavista F.C. - Benfica 0 - 2 under
Penafiel - Boavista F.C. 0 - 0 under
Boavista F.C. - Maritimo 1 - 1 under
Leiria - Boavista F.C. 0 - 0 under
Boavista F.C. - Belenenses 0 - 2 under
Sporting - Boavista F.C. 1 – 0 under

Last 5 games home :
Boavista F.C. - Benfica 0 - 2 under
Boavista F.C. - Maritimo 1 - 1 under
Boavista F.C. - Belenenses 0 - 2 under
Boavista F.C. - Sp. Braga 0 - 0 under
Boavista F.C. - Rio Ave 2 - 1 over

FC Porto :

	Overall	Away
Over / Under	10-22	4-12
Goals For	1.61	1.31
Goals Against	0.45	1.31
GF / GA	53/15	21/8
Average goals	2.00	1.81

Last 8 games overall :
Porto F.C. - Guimaraes 3 - 1 over
Penafiel - Porto F.C. 0 - 1 under
Porto F.C. - Leiria 1 - 0 under
Sporting - Porto F.C. 0 – 1 under
Porto F.C. - Gil Vicente 3 - 0 over
Academica - Porto F.C. 0 - 1 under
Porto F.C. - Pacos Ferreira 3 - 0 over
Setubal - Porto F.C. 0 - 2 under

Last 5 games away :
Penafiel - Porto F.C. 0 - 1 under
Sporting Lisbon - Porto F.C. 0 – 1 under
Academica - Porto F.C. 0 - 1 under
Setubal - Porto F.C. 0 - 2 under
Benfica - Porto F.C. 1 - 0 under

History :
08. jan 2006 FC PORTO - BOAVISTA 1 : 0 under
09. apr 2005 BOAVISTA - FC PORTO 1 : 0 under
20. nov 2004 FC PORTO - BOAVISTA 0 : 1 under

Boavista :
- Last 9 games are under-s
- In last 9 games Boavista scored only two goals
- Boavista away never conceded or scored 3 or more goals in a match

FC Porto :
- From 16 away games 11 finished with clean sheet
- Last 8 games Porto have not conceded a goal
- Last 7 away games are under-s

Injuries / Suspensions :
Boavista AREIRAS (injured)

FC Porto PEPE (miss)
FC Porto ADRIANO (miss)
FC Porto BOSINGWA (miss)
FC Porto HELTON (miss)
FC Porto MCCARTHY (miss)
FC Porto EMANUEL (miss)
FC Porto ASSUNCAO (miss)
FC Porto MEIRELES (miss)
FC Porto LUCHO (miss)
FC Porto QUARESMA (miss)

Weather :
Mostly Sunny

CONCLUSION :
The champions of Portugal BetandWin league FC Porto will travell to Boavista to play their last game this season.With a record (24 6 3) and 9 poents adventage from the second placed Sporting they surely deserved to relax a bit.Since they are playing in the cup final against V.Setubal they could rest some players in this match, but all this is not a reason why they should make the life easy for Boavista because the game between this two teams is always a derby.On the other side Boavista figting with Nacional for the Uefa Cup spot must win this game if they want to have any chances.Boavista could win this game but to pass the great Porto-s defence two times and score two goals will be a hard job.

Under 2.5 @1.65 Nordicbet 8/10
cs 2-1 @11 1/10

[adythom]

Originally Posted by Gitarra

And 14 may is the Portugal Cup final match..Porto-Setubal and Porto play with 5 young player..My bet is on Boavista today...

that's the kind of info we can use Gitarra

excellent post!

[Gitarra]

FC Porto
99 Vítor Baía GR
22 Sonkaya LD
13 Bruno Alves DC
3 Ricardo Costa LE
6 Ibson MD
17 Jorginho MO
35 Marek Cech MD
11 Lisandro MO
27 Alan AD
39 Hugo ALmeida AV
25 Ivanildo AE
-
31 Paulo Ribeiro GR
61 João Pedro MO
59 Nuno Coelho MD
40 Bruno Gama AD
57 Hélder Barbosa AE
19 Sokota AV
30 Anderson AV
Treinador: Co Adriaanse
Portos squad..

[adythom]

Originally Posted by patobravo

19 HOURS
SETUBAL-NACIONAL
NACIONAL HAS TO WIN BECAUSE THEY WANT A PLACE IN UEFA CUP
SETUBAL AND NACIONAL WITH FULL TEAM
NACIONAL NEEDS A DRAW TO GET 5TH PLACE IN PORTUGUESE LEAGUE
NACIONAL PLAYED GOOD LAST GAMES
I THINK NACIONAL CAN WIN BUT DON`T FORGET DRAW....
PICK X2 AND UNDER
8/10
CORRECT SCORE: 0-0;0-1

GOOD LUCK

just to confirm what you mean patobravo-

Nacional need to win because they'll miss out on goal difference if Boavista beat Porto!
is that correct?

BTW - are Setubal in the final with Porto?
and if so then will they be playing a weakened side today?

[patobravo]

nacional is in good position to get a place in uefa cup next year
but if boavista wins , nacional have to win....
if nacional wins...boavista says goodbye to 5th place.....

[El NihiL]

Boavista 0-1 (-) Porto
Damn! I hate that some missings in a team thing

[patobravo]

final results
BOAVISTA 1 PORTO 1
SETUBAL 1 NACIONAL 1
PICKS WON

NACIONAL IN UEFA CUP
CONGRATULATIONS

[Adooo]

Victoria Setubal - Nacional
Under 2.5 @1.70 Astrabet 8/10

Result : 1-1

Boavista - Porto
Under 2.5 @1.65 Nordicbet 8/10

Result : 1-1

Great!

[meatman]

nice 1 Adooo
good write ups btw