Italy - Serie A (Feb 9-10)

[davidmphill]

Saturday 9 February 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Atalanta v Fiorentina (17:00GMT)	3.50	3.00	2.54	101%	Details »
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Roma v Reggina (19:30GMT)	1.25	6.40	21.00	100%	Details »
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Sunday 10 February 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Cagliari v Parma (14:00GMT)	2.45	3.10	3.55	101%	Details »
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Empoli v Lazio (14:00GMT)	3.10	3.00	2.76	102%	Details »
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Livorno v Genoa (14:00GMT)	2.50	2.97	3.70	101%	Details »
Hide « Livorno v Genoa
Milan v Siena (14:00GMT)	1.44	4.50	12.00	100%	Details »
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Sampdoria v Napoli (14:00GMT)	2.02	3.35	4.80	100%	Details »
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Torino v Palermo (14:00GMT)	2.59	3.10	3.40	100%	Details »
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Udinese v Juventus (14:00GMT)	3.50	3.10	2.54	100%	Details »
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Catania v Inter (19:30GMT)	7.20	3.80	1.66	100%	Details »

[Azurrion]

After undeserved defeat against Milan, Florence tries to restart immediately towards the achievement of the fourth place already Sunday against Atalanta. The team will have many problems DelNeri training: Doni disqualified, Guarente and Bellini, injured Talamonti, Forsyth and costinha, today was also stopped Carrozzieri. The Florentine should (it is still somewhat 'early to say) arrive in Bergamo in training instead. I win today because I believe that the share will fall.



• Prediction = 2
• Odds = 2.60

• Stake = 5/10

• Bookmakers = Expekt

[NewPunter]

Does anyone know why a couple of the bookies have napped Siena at 10/1 tomorrow?

[DJ SOSNA]

First of all Siena is in better form that AC Milan. I've watched Siena - AS Roma (3-0) game last week and Roma was trying to be good but Siena was always better! What is more Pato i unavailable and there is much doubt over fintess of Kaka and Gatusso. Gilardinho is suspended.

Probable lines-up (4-3-2-1):

Kalac

Oddo
Nesta
Kaladze
Maldini

Ambrosini
Emerson
Pirlo

Gourcuff
Inzaghi

Ronaldo

[lechu]

Thanks Sosna for your input,and agree Sienna playing a lot better.

[noname442]

Mutu is out for fiorentina!

[puntyboy]

I dont know much about Italian soccer and I was gonna do a a double from either Juventus, Lazio and Livorno.... Any body got any ideas which would be the better option?

[nicko]

Agree with DJ Sosna, Siena are on a good run, much to my surprise, and AC Milan had problems at home all season. On top of that not much choice of forwards - it is not like Kaka' and Pirlo are strangers to scoring but it could have been better. Saw the reverse game earlier this season, Siena scored early ( they are now good at that ) and built a wall in front of goal.
Read in another forum Catania is in crisis ??? My pick for surprise this week - hosts KO top teams in the Cup, at home they are very strong, using well that bumpy field. I expect a rough game and Inter having hard time as they let too many goals recently.
A double for me which pays 2,73 with 5/10 - Catania +1 AH and Siena + 1,5 AH. Won't hurt much after yesterday and it feels good to challenge the big boys.
Good luck

[nicko]

Will also go for Over 2,5 goals in Sampdoria - Napoli game. Guest seem to score in every recent game, behind the somehow clumsy forwards they got very dangerous midfielders in Lavezzi and Hamsik. Host are a clearly attacking team at home, with improved defense recently, still Over 2,5 at 2,00 looks good to me, my hopes for right pick because of Napoli's recent record. 4/10 for me.

[bozz]

I also like samp overs, why:

Samp home last 7/8 overs, 7/8 scored, 2/8 conceed
Napoli away last 6/8 overs, 7/8 scored, 8/8 conceed

For Samp Ive notice there trend off wining games 3:0 @ home have occured more than 2 times so i expect this may occur because Napoli do have some important players out :
Iezzo - important goalkeeper , 16 matches
Cannavaro - important centre back , 20 matches / 0 goals
Domizzi - important centre back , 17 matches / 5 goals
Cupi - important centre back , 15 matches / 0 goals
Savini - important midfielder/winger , 17 matches / 0 goals
Garics - important defender/ midfielder , 17 matches / 0goals

Samp do have Volpi & Sammarco out!

My only worry is how god Samp have dended at home only conceeding 2/8 games, but i still like over 2.5

Good luck

My other bets for 2nite: milan vs siena under
Catania vs Inter under
Both 2/10 confidence

[MartyMcG_1967]

Originally Posted by NewPunter

Does anyone know why a couple of the bookies have napped Siena at 10/1 tomorrow?

Where do you find out who bookies have napped?
Cheers

[kevsul]

Tip Detail

Sport	Football (Italy)
Event	Unders
Selection	Undinese V Juventus
Strength	10/10
Date	10/02/2008
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 1.88 (Back)
Reasoning	Stats for this game show under 2.5 goals 5 of the last 6 meetings all under
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[maxzorn]

I like all the logic for picking seina especially the 10-1 factor but guess what this chap has picked the home team to win anyway. AC Milan know they need to win as Fiorentina yesterday could only manage taking 1 point away from Atalanta. They are in the race now for that four and final CL place. I'm being devil's advocate here reminding everyone home advantage is huge it is the injuries that worry me not the strike force.
Players like Inzaghi, and Ronaldo have to fight for their places so look for a good performance.

[maxzorn]

Someone has asked about Juventus, I perfer them less than Seina today so pick Siena instead of JUV if you disagree with my last post.
Last I heard Buffon, Alex and Del Piero are available but I'm still thinking we won't see them as they remain on the bench.

[maxzorn]

the new boy Paloschi just scored for Milan :O .

Television cameras zoomed in on Ancelotti having himself a good laugh as Paloschi had just been substituted on before the goal.

It was taken perfectly by the 18 year old looks like Milan have a future scoring partner for Pato already.

1-0 Milan

[blackcrow]

Rather than start a new thread i'll add it to this one

Milan vs Livorno: Under 2.5
Milan have kept 5 clean sheet in their last 6 games as they strive to get the win here to take them to 4th place. Defensively they are good and doing enough at the other end to win the games. However they are starting to feel the effects of playig these catch up games and their squad will be strecthed without the services of players like Kaka.
Livorno have gone under in 6 of their last 8 games and while they have scored a goal in their last 6 they will find it hard to break through a very good Milan defence

[nicko]

I was surprised the Under is 1,925 considering AC Milan's last results. On the other hand the AH line is priced ( Livorno + 1,25 ) at 2,00, which also looks tempting - on top of Kaka' AC are missing forwards, Pirlo and Seedorf do not look fresh. Saw Milan's last game at Fiore, the team plays tight and kills the tempo, saving energy with this murder schedule they have recently. In 90 mins apart from the goal situation ( great play by Pato ) the guests had 2 more clear chances, after fast breaks, and great saves by that Australian Powerhouse Kalac. How long could this go on for?
Livorno do have enough upfront to cause trouble, with Nesta missing and three good forwards in Tristan, Tavano and E Bogdani and a goal keeper who on a good day is doing miracles.....
Do not dare to look at the Over as of Milan's recent play. After confirming the starting 11 and if the missings are true, will probably go for Livorno + 1,25. Would be nice to read posts from someone who watched the guests recently, I didn't, except for their game vs Juve...

[Postiga]

Im going with Milan on this one, Will be a tight game but AC Milan have too much quality in there side and they also have home advantage.