Italy - Serie A (Apr 27th))

[heniek31]

Sunday 27 April 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Fiorentina v Sampdoria (14:00BST)	2.10	3.30	4.50	100%
Hide « Fiorentina v Sampdoria
Genoa v Empoli (14:00BST)	2.15	3.20	4.20	102%
Hide « Genoa v Empoli
Inter v Cagliari (14:00BST)	1.34	4.65	15.50	103%
Hide « Inter v Cagliari
Juventus v Lazio (14:00BST)	1.43	4.60	12.00	100%
Hide « Juventus v Lazio
Livorno v Milan (14:00BST)	7.80	4.10	1.60	100%
Hide « Livorno v Milan
Napoli v Siena (14:00BST)	2.08	2.84	5.50	101%
Hide « Napoli v Siena
Palermo v Atalanta (14:00BST)	2.19	2.92	4.75	101%
Hide « Palermo v Atalanta
Reggina v Parma (14:00BST)	1.90	3.20	5.10	103%
Hide « Reggina v Parma
Roma v Torino (14:00BST)	1.55	4.00	8.40	101%
Hide « Roma v Torino
Udinese v Catania (14:00BST)	2.10	2.90	5.00	102%

[nicko]

None of the teams in Reggina will hide imo, I am expecting goals there, as well as in Palermo. Need more info though to choose from Goal/Goal or Over. I failed 2 weeks in a row betting against Inter, they look better now when I saw them at Atalanta. At oods around 1,25-1,30 though I won't bother - certainly the Over will be far better priced than the HW. Have this little feeling Cagliari's young guns will score at Sin Siro and if I am lucky this one may go way way Over, so will add a smaller stake on 4+ goals. I am also tempted with the HW in Genoa, priced very well for a team who is:
- one of the most in-form teams atm;
- Genoa are showing no intention whatsoever to ''drop'' points to other teams, threatened by relegation or fighting for top spots. If this game is another fair one can't see Empoli taking anything there, Genoa are simply much higher class. So is Udinese...
Hope someone comments

[maxzorn]

I sense a higher than normal home win rate this weekend.

I've got only one away win penciled in.

[Punto Banco]

Originally Posted by maxzorn

I sense a higher than normal home win rate this weekend.

I've got only one away win penciled in.

I am not sure that will be the case... I have Cagliari and Sampdoria as possible selections especially at generous prices being offered... not too sure though at this point... I certainly wouldn't be backing Fior or Inter at their prices (perhaps Fior if match away in Scotland not been played recently in UEFA cup)...

[heniek31]

Solid stake on Reggina. Parma had the last chance last week, leading at half time only to lose the game. They havent won away all season and havent won in 5. They are going to be without 7 regulars.
I see Reggina hugley motivated for this game. Livorno and Empoli entertain Milan and Sampdoria, so with some luck they might jump to safety place.

14.		Catania Calcio	34		8	11	15	29	39			8	5	4	19	11			0	6	11	10	28			-10	35
15.		Cagliari Calcio	34		9	8	17	33	51			7	4	6	18	17			2	4	11	15	34			-18	35
16.		Torino FC	34		6	16	12	32	43			4	7	6	17	17			2	9	6	15	26			-11	34
17.		FC Parma	34		6	13	15	39	55			6	6	5	27	24			0	7	10	12	31			-16	31
18.		AS Livorno	34		6	12	16	31	50			3	8	6	17	23			3	4	10	14	27			-19	30
19.		Empoli FC	34		7	9	18	26	48			4	7	6	16	19			3	2	12	10	29			-22	30
20.		Reggina Calcio	34		6	12	16	29	52			6	5	6	20	18			0	7	10	9	34			-23	30

[SeanMac]

ive took ac milan , inter , roma , all to win , what do u think?

[nicko]

I simply can't resist backing Genoa today ( see post above ) - odds around evens for such class difference are very tempting. There's always the little ''tickle'' that Genoa might do the guests a favour - I am not saying they will ''bend over'', simply this game might be similar to Spurs - Bolton. Still missing odds like this just because people are still paranoid over Italian football doesn't seem right. After all if Genoa are not bothered they could have dropped points to Torino and Reggina and easily surrender in Siena, Roma and Palermo, but they didn't...Exactly the same is the case in Udine where the hosts on a good day canscore 3+. True, watching Catania away is making me sick, and hosts will find it hard to score vs 10 men defending, all I need for that bet is a touch of magic by Toto di Natale to open up Catania a bit, or a red card by the Sicilians who will defend with all they've got...
The one that worries me is Reggina, I still lean towards the Over here or at least Goal/Goal. Parma are bad on the road, easily lost to the big boys recently, dropped too many points at home, but as I followed some of the games I would say they were most unfortunate in some. Away to teams from the bottom though they do quite well - Empoli, Livorno, Torino. HW is on the cards, but I don't think Parma will hide with Reginaldo and Lucarelli in attack.
Another Over to me is Palermo, two relaxed teams with very potent forwards. Inter not worth it, but another Over is tempting. Fiore - Samp imo is a game to watch....and hopefully enjoy.
Good luck

[SeanMac]

Originally Posted by SeanMac

ive took ac milan , inter , roma , all to win , what do u think?

The acca i had this on is now down , however im looking to back on of these teams today , who do you think is the most certain to win?

[oriolh]

nicko, r u skipping Juve-Lazio?
Over seems also good in that game, or even goal/goal, doesn't it?

[Djordje]

Don't usually bet on this league, but there is one match that really deserves attention.

Catania look like different team now with new coach, and they are surely overpriced against Udinese.

I know they are the worst travelers in league, still without away win, but this is the place they like to play and I think they can take that first away win today.

15th Dec 07		L	Catania	v	Udinese	2 - 0
29th Apr 07		L	Udinese	v	Catania	0 - 1
10th Dec 06		L	Catania	v	Udinese	1 - 0

You can't bet on this league without standings arithmetics, and when you take into account that Catania are not 100% safe yet, there are decent chances that they will take something from this match today.

Prices above 5.00 are worth a shot here.

[nicko]

Originally Posted by oriolh

nicko, r u skipping Juve-Lazio?
Over seems also good in that game, or even goal/goal, doesn't it?

Yeah,right, looking at HT results should have had Juve instead of Palermo, Reggina and Udine look good, but it seems Genoa are going to drop points. In other words if ONLY I KNEW....

[nicko]

...and Inter need to score 2 more, with Aquafresca out it will be a miracle for Cagliari to score.

Reggina is Over now,4 more to go...

[SeanMac]

i backed Roma , they are 4-1 up with 40 mins to go

[dougles badder]

The genoa game looks like your end of season carve up

[nicko]

Originally Posted by dougles badder

The genoa game looks like your end of season carve up

Shame really, with Borriello, Figeroa and Di Vaio ALL PLAYING..DI VAIO IN FACT HAD 12 HAPPY MINS ON THE PITCH BEFORE SHOWN THE RED
3 out of 5 with Inter Over and Udine winning, could have been worse...