Italian Cup (12 April)

[davidmphill]

Wednesday 12 April 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Udinese v Inter Milan (14:30 BST)	4.33	3.20	2.10	102%	Related markets...Match ResultMatch ResultHalf-time/Full-time- - -Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultOver/Under
Roma v Palermo (20:00 BST)	1.77	3.45	6.00	103%	Related markets...Match ResultMatch ResultHalf-time/Full-time- - -Correct ScoreHalf-time ResultOver/Under

[Jan Q]

Football (Italy)
Event	AS Roma - Palermo
Selection	Palermo
Strength	5/10
Date	12/04/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 6.31 (Back)
Reasoning	As Roma is completely focused on Serie A and they wont probably field all best players. Palermo has nothing to play for in league and cup is their main goal. Palermo is full of motivation to win this match and against low-motivated As Roma it wont be miracle if they make it. Odds for away win are simply great adn I cannot miss this superb opportunity.

[goldenleg]

Originally Posted by Jan Q

I agree that Roma are focused on the league and qualifying for the Champions League, but Roma really do not have much of a bench because of their long injury list, so expect a decent side on the pitch. Palermo won the first leg, so they will be looking for a draw in Rome, so I think a Palermo win is unlikely at best. If you like Palermo, then I would try the +3/4 Asian instead, but as for me, I am staying away and enjoying the match.

[goldenleg]

Udinese +1/2 against Inter
I do not know anything about the lineups yet, but I think this may be a good bet. Udinese has found their form once again after getting a new coach and switching to a 4-3-3 while Inter players are getting rocks thrown at them by their own supporters. Inter won the first leg 1-0, so they need just a draw to advance which makes the +1/2 handicap for Udinese look good. I do not know how much effort Udinese will put into the match since they still have some relegation worries, but if they rest just one or two players, I will be taking this one.

[Ringabell]

Sport	Football (Italy)
Event	Udinese - Internazionale
Selection	OVER 2, 2.5
Strength	7/10
Date	11/04/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.01 (Back)
Reasoning	Coppa Italia First leg Inter won 1-0.Udinese only scored 33 goals in 33 matches in domestic league but they haven`t got the best defence in serie A with 49 goals against in 33 matches. Inter has one of the best defences is serie a with only 25 conceded in 33 matches but there is only one team that has scored more in domestic league this year then Inter. One of worst defences vs one of best offensives so i expect Inter to score.Udinese haven`t the greatest scoring record in domestic league but they have quality enough up front to give strong Inter defence some trouble tomorrow.Pinnacle offer@2,2.5@OVER while most(if not all )bookies only offer over 2.5. I believe pinnacle sports line are wrong and i`ll take with medium/high stake

[3hree]

Serie CB selection from me so will put it in here as don't want to create new thread and clog up some more!!

Napoli away at Foggia

Napoli, first and 12 years since their Serie A title seem to be edging towards their promotion to Serie B. After a disastrous series of events of bankrupcy the fallen heroes find themselves in one of the basement divisions of Italy. Not forsaken by their fans they travel to Foggia in need of three points to secure their grip on the title.
Foggia were beaten at home by Pistoiese, a team one place above them and have taken 5 of the last 15 points available. With two more important games against relegation battling sides after Napoli's visit I think that the home side will have ideas on the two games following the probable champions visit. Tight goal differences away from home and at home for these sides respectively yet I cannot see past an away win due to the passion of such a fallen club and the fixture layout for Foggia.

2.68 available at betfair now.

[Pirata]

Originally Posted by Ringabell

All the above data was true before the first leg and still the result was under.

[3hree]

One bet for me today in the cup. 15 of Inter's 33 games this season have been 1-0 at half time, 13 to Inter, 2 to their opposition. An almost 1/2 probability lies on this and I cannot pass up the chance to see at 16th. Inter only one up from the first leg and after disastrous events on Sunday night, where a car of players were ambushed by fans and consequently 'battered,' Inter can either go two ways.
'I don't want to play for a fan base that batters its players,'
'I want to show the fans I give a sh!t,'
Mancini has come out saying he will leave Italy after he leaves Inter job due to the unnecessary passion shown by Italian fan bases.

I'm expecting a quick start from Inter to kill off the game,
1-0 at half time - 3/1 with Bet365 sounds decent to me

[3hree]

1-0 Inter after 11minutes

[3hree]

1-0 at Half Time, bet won.
Meanwhile Foggia are beating Napoli 1-0

[3hree]

1-1. Big 20mins for Napoli now

[davidmphill]

Fingers crossed for you Jonny or whatever you're calling yourself these days!

[3hree]

Hahah, cheers mate. Not looking too good though

[THEO-007]

Roma secure place UEFA cup for the next year but........

now hunting a place to the C.L.

Opponent is VIOLA with better program than ROMA.

SUNDAY MATCH PALERMO - ROMA.

Maybe exchanging wins between two teams.

PALERMO take a place to UEFA if go to final with INTER and ROMA hit a place to CL if take a win at sunday match.

This is single thought from me.
I believe PALERMO X2 tomorrow......

[kamei34]

Wow.. Why so big font mate?

Anyway..


Roma - Palermo

Second semifinal. Yesterday Inter drew 2-2 in Udine and due to 1-0 win in first game went in final.
So they wait their opponent for the final. And it's gona be either Roma or Palermo.
Palermo have 2-1 lead after first leg. But now they will have to stay undefeated in the middle of Rome, which is not exaclty easy thing to do, knowing Roma's form recently.
Interesting fact is that these two sides play again next week league match but in Palermo.
I expect Roma to try to chase the win tomorow and to play open football. So it's either gona be nice homewin, or they will loose the game due to pushing and going up front with all forces.
So it's all or nothing. I can't see draw.

So decided to lay draw, betfair@3.45.

GL~

[meatman]

nice over pick Ringabell

[goldenleg]

Originally Posted by THEO-007

PALERMO take a place to UEFA if go to final with INTER and ROMA hit a place to CL if take a win at sunday match.

This is single thought from me.
I believe PALERMO X2 tomorrow......

I think these are the most likely results as well and benefit both sides since Palermo are 4 back of Chievo for the last UEFA Cup place so they need the Italian Cup to get there and Roma need the league win more than the cup. Not sure if the two presidents are friendly with each other, but I expect they will be getting to know each other well this week

[Ringabell]

It seems like gamblers strongly believe in Palermo today.Now you can get Roma@2.25@Pointbet - It was 1.70.

[christo85efc]

...and i will be taking Roma too!!

Despite reports that Roma will play a weakened side in order to concentrate on securing a CL spot domestically, this is not true! Quoted on the channel 4 Football Italia website their capital boss says "I want to win this trophy, It will be a tough match for us because Palermo are a good team and want to win this competition, but so do we." Roma are down 2-1 from the first leg and so look the best bet to me..? Simone Perrotta, Philippe Mexes and Alberto Aquilani all could play despite their poor form and i believe this is a good move.

Roma @ 1.90 (bet365) 7/10

[davidmphill]

I'm backing Roma too tonight. The coach says he wants to win it so why the hell not! They need to win to qualify and a price of evens on the exchanges is too good for me to refuse. Totti misses obviouslly but even in his absence Roma have kicked on and won games and dragged themselves into Champions League contention. Roma have gotten to 2 of the last 3 finals before losing them and will be hoping to get there again and gain revenge for defeat to Inter last season. You don't beat a team like Juventus in the quarter finals to put out a weakened side in the semis and a chance of silverware, do you? Well maybe you do in Italy!

Roma 6/10 @ 2.0 betfair