Holland & Belgium (18-20 Nov 05)

[heniek31]

Holland

Friday 18 November 2005
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Willem II v Vitesse Arnhem (19:30 GMT)	2.62	3.50	2.50	107%
Saturday 19 November 2005
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Ajax v FC Twente (18:30 GMT)	1.52	4.25	7.00	104%
Den Haag v NEC Nijmegen (18:30 GMT)	2.40	3.40	2.65	109%
NAC Breda v FC Utrecht (18:30 GMT)	2.10	3.40	3.70	105%
Waalwijk v PSV Eindhoven (18:30 GMT)	4.55	3.40	1.80	107%
Sunday 20 November 2005
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
FC Groningen v AZ Alkmaar (13:30 GMT)	3.35	3.70	2.15	104%
Hercules v Roosendaal (13:30 GMT)	1.95	3.80	4.33	101%
Roda JC v Feyenoord (13:30 GMT)	3.75	3.85	1.93	105%
Sparta Rotterdam v Heerenv (13:30 GMT)	2.60	3.45	2.28	112%

Belgium

Saturday 19 November 2005
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Charleroi v Gent (17:00 GMT)	2.25	3.35	3.05	108%
Beveren v Cercle Brugge (19:00 GMT)	2.20	3.40	3.00	109%
Club Brugge v Louvieroise (19:00 GMT)	1.25	5.00	11.00	110%
FC Brussels v Standard Liège (19:00 GMT)	4.00	3.35	1.90	108%
Lokeren v Zulte-Waregem (19:00 GMT)	1.83	3.40	4.00	110%
St Truiden v Germinal Beerschot Antwerp (19:00 GMT)	2.05	3.40	4.00	104%
Sunday 20 November 2005
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Roeselare v Mouscron (14:00 GMT)	2.00	3.30	3.50	109%
Westerlo v Anderlecht (17:00 GMT)	3.40	3.30	2.05	109%
Lierse v Genk (19:00 GMT)	3.05	3.40	2.20	108%

[davidmphill]

Not much doing here for me.
I think Groningen have a sneak to get a positive result at home to AZ Alkmaar. They've won 5 out of 6 at home and have beaten PSV at home 1-0 Only side to do so).AZ's away record is average 3-0-2 and don't represent the price the bookies have them listed at currently.
Before commiting to PSV as I usually do! I'm going to wait and see what Guus Hiddink does when he gets back from his exhausting trip away with the Socceroos.

[ultrainferno]

Greetingz lads! I'm up for some betting this weekend (altough not too many interesting games in Belgian comp.)

Club Brugge - La Louviere

A banker for me this week. Club Brugge that has to win if they want to keep up with Anderlecht and Standard. But why should they do that against La Louviere, that since theie new trainer won 3 times? Well, first of all, La Louviere has no strikers. Jbari suspended. New player Stoickov injured and other attackers are to weak.
So it will be difficult to make a goal for them.
Brugge has with the return of striker Rune Lange an attacker who doesn't need many chances to net a few.
Clearly Brugge@1.25 8/10
and why not Brugge H1@1.72 6/10

[PompeyPunt]

RKC v PSV

I think the class of PSV will come through in this one, despite the cracking start to the season for RKC, which has yielded one home win so far over the big boys, a 2-1 defeat of Feyenoord around a month ago. I don't think this will happen this time, as PSV will be looking to learn from the mistakes of their fellow giants, putting in a solid no nonsense performence to take all 3 points in this one. Pointbet go 1.80 for the -0.5 on PSV, which is more than enough to take IMO.

Heracles v RBC Roosendaal

Well, i am trying to learn some more about each european league as the season goes on, that this seems like a great pick on the face of it, although i must confess to not knowing to much other than the basics about either side. It's clear however, than RBc really do suck alot away from home, they've lost all 5 so far, scoring just 2, and letting in a massive 17, including 7 at AZ. Heracles are on a dreadful run of results themselves, but this is a great chance for them to get back on track for the season here, and i was amazed to see odds of over 2.00 for the home side. 2.05 at pointbet for the -0.5, more than worth a play IMO.

Picks

PSV -0.5 (1.80) 7/10
Heracles -0.5 (2.05) 7/10

[PompeyPunt]

KSV Roeselare v Mouscron

Roeselare seem like that are a good bet in this one, sitting low in the the league, but cracking form at home, with 4 wins from 6, most of which have been very clear cut and convincing to. They face Mouscron who have lost all 6 away games so far, with not even really coming close to picking up any points in these games to be honest so far. 2.03 for the home win is trading at betdaw, and IMO this is a value bet. 55% probably has to be given to the home side here.

Picks

Roeselare (2.03) 6/10

[davidmphill]

RKC v PSV

Guus Hiddink comes back down to earth following World Cup qualification with the Socceroos, a tough local fixture away to improving RKC. Fred Rutten took training in the absence of Hiddink. Jason Culina is expected to sit the game out as he featured for Australia in midweek. Theo Lucius has recovered from injury and is available. PSV have won this fixture 3 times in a row including 4-1 last season. I expect it to be a lot closer this time as RKC have been getting some good results at home so far this season including a 2-1 win over Feyenoord and last time ran out 4-1 winners over Breda. PSV since losing to Groningen have won 6 in a row and look set to win a tough game and make it 7 in a row.

PSV 7/10 @ 1.82 betfair

[Djordje]

What is going on with Bruselles v Standard match?

Odds are going down on Standard (bet365 @1.66 right now), and Bruselles are on pretty good run at the moment.

Not a force at home though, and Standard the best travellers in league.

5th Feb 05		FC Brussels	v	Standard	0-1
28th Aug 04		Standard	v	FC Brussels	1-3
27th Jan 02		FC Brussels	v	Standard	2-1
26th Aug 01		Standard	v	FC Brussels	2-1

Any team interesting team news, or they're heavy backed?

[Galea78]

Originally Posted by Djordje

What is going on with Bruselles v Standard match?

Odds are going down on Standard (bet365 @1.66 right now), and Bruselles are on pretty good run at the moment.

Not a force at home though, and Standard the best travellers in league.



Any team interesting team news, or they're heavy backed?

Standard have been missing some players in recent games, now back to full strength playing under-rated side, away win looks likely IMO..

GL

[ultrainferno]

Originally Posted by Djordje

What is going on with Bruselles v Standard match?

Odds are going down on Standard (bet365 @1.66 right now), and Bruselles are on pretty good run at the moment.

Not a force at home though, and Standard the best travellers in league.



Any team interesting team news, or they're heavy backed?

Well Djordje, your reasoning makes sense. Because if anything should happen, odds should go up a little bit for Standard.
This is a very tricky away-match for my team and I'm quite sure that Brussels can maintain its role of giant killer (Genk, Brugge and Anderlecht already did lose points there)
Moreover, Ogushi Oneywu (American international) has a four match ban and his replacer, Mohamed Sarr (who could finally make his debut) has injured himself yesterday.
I also think that the coach will line Christian Negouai instead of Assou Ekotto.
The first one has a more brutal and less technical style which won't be an advantage this evening I think. Result= less cohesion which is never good!
So, everyone with thoughts on laying Standard this evening. You have a good chance!
I'll go for Brussels-Standard X@ 3.35 4/10
and Brussels 1X@ 1.60 6/10

[Djordje]

thanks guys, I'll rather stay away now

[ultrainferno]

Glad that my Brugge pick was correct. Also Brussels (even lay Standard before match) did an excellent job against my team. 'Unfortunately', a lot of my predictions were right today.
About Negouai (Standard) which is more brutal -> got a red card.
And about Standard's defense -> no cohesion and got 3 goals.

It's maybe difficult for some amongst you guys to lay a team which I support because you may think that I see things subjective. Anyway, I hope that after today (and also against Moeskroen) those people know that I am reasoning in order to make money. And that I'm here to give you all advice and not my feeling as a fan (well, maybe for 20% ).

[davidmphill]

Originally Posted by davidmphill

RKC v PSV

Guus Hiddink comes back down to earth following World Cup qualification with the Socceroos, a tough local fixture away to improving RKC. Fred Rutten took training in the absence of Hiddink. Jason Culina is expected to sit the game out as he featured for Australia in midweek. Theo Lucius has recovered from injury and is available. PSV have won this fixture 3 times in a row including 4-1 last season. I expect it to be a lot closer this time as RKC have been getting some good results at home so far this season including a 2-1 win over Feyenoord and last time ran out 4-1 winners over Breda. PSV since losing to Groningen have won 6 in a row and look set to win a tough game and make it 7 in a row.

PSV 7/10 @ 1.82 betfair

Expected a tough match here but not as tough as it turned out to be, 4-4!
PSV will be happy with a point with an 90th minute equaliser despite leading 3-1 at one stage, I expect PSV to bounce back next week.