Germany - Bundesliga II and Other Leagues (7-10 April 06)

[McFly]

Ahlen v Cottbus
Thioune and Bamba are suspended n the side of Ahlen, Aidoo is an improtant missing for Cottbus. Here more or less surprisingly, Ahlen might sneak the win. I have much respect for good side Cottbus, but Ahlen's win and performances have convinced late of. Still it's getting more and more critical for them with every game played. The big game against Saarbrucken, they lost 0-1 what made them loosing further ground. Ahlen won their last 2 home games (before the home record had been a disater though) and won 4 of last games. Cottbus on the other hand have not lost last 8 away games! Cottbus are third and thus in a good position regarding a possible promotion. Cottbus have quality, but I think they are one of the weaker at the top, I guess rather Furth or Karlsruhe make the promotion. In last game against Freiburg there was a rather lucky win, in the former home game that they lost 0-1 against Saarbrucken, Cottbus performed without good ideas how to eliminate Saarbrucken's defence. The game before on the other hand, had been a good win of them at U'haching. Well not easy to come to an reasonable outcome here. I have much respect for Ahlen, it's just a feeling which lets me see Ahlen in little favour. The 2 sides have, in first line Cottbus, great attack potential though they did not always score much. So in this very important match I expect the over.

Over 2.5 2.18 betfair 6/10
Ahlen 2.75 stanjames 4/10

[McFly]

Rostock v Saarbrucken
With 7 points back, Rostock should have nothing to do with promotion no longer. A hammering of 1-4 had been the frist of recent away games, last round Rostock made a 1-0 at U'haching in a boring match. Much more is this game for Saarbrucken. They seem one of the favouritres to hold class. Saarbrucken had good succes recently, at the end with the 1-0 over Aachen. I think the best to do here is the over. Saarbrucken is a typical over side, actually regarding quality Rostock also. Saarbrucken cannot allow to be too hestitating, that makes it easier for the bet. Regarding the odd, I guess it makes sense to back Saarbrucken a little. DNB is good for this.

Over 2.5 1.8 expect 6/10
Saarbrucken DNB 3.5 bet365 4/10

[McFly]

Freiburg v Paderborn
Not much to say here actually. Freiburg have few chances to climb in the table after 3 games without win. So this is a must win, when rivals make no points, situation may improve. But that's theory yet, firstly they have to win here. Freiburg have not done bad, but still scoring and efficiency is their problem. Paderborn on the other side even lost 3 in a row, for them season is as good as over. Paderborn established as a solid BL II side, still they are the underdogs here. Paderborn's form is not so good, Freiburg despite their problem should find back on track with a win today.

Freiburg 1.63 betfair 5/10

[McFly]

BL II Treble

Furth
1860
Ahlen over 2.5
6.42 betfair 3/10


Good Luck all in BL II

[McFly]

that must have been the quickest over for a long time - Rostock with 3-0 lead after 13 minutes!!
Afraid no goal for Saarbrucken within.

[McFly]

15:00FT

GER D2

Ahlen

0-1 (0-0)

Energie Cottbus

15:00FT

GER D2

Freiburg

1-0 (1-0)

Paderborn

15:00FT

GER D2

Greuther Furth

2-0 (2-0)

Unterhaching

15:00FT

GER D2

Hansa Rostock

3-0 (3-0)

Saarbrucken

15:00FT

GER D2

TSV 1860

1-1 (0-0)

Burghausen

Can't believe Burghausen's level in 90th minute, that cost me some. 1860 had had big chances for the 2-0 grrrrrr

[McFly]

Originally Posted by Ringabell

Ahlen - Energie Cottbus

Ahlen currently sixteen and are 4-4-5 at home.League form ;L-W-W-L-W.Energie Cottbus currently third and are 6-6-2 away.League form;W-L-W-D-W.The hosts are struggling to avoid relegation but their overall form is pretty solid with four win from their seven last outings.But home record this season is far from good with just four wins in thirteen matches.For this vital game they are missing some importnant players.Forwards Musemestre Bamba,24G/4G/4Ass and Daniel Thioune,22/4/2 are both missing trough suspension while another forward Stanko Svitlica,15/0/1) are injured.The visitors overall form is also pretty good with just one defeat in their ten last league matches.Cottbus away record isn`t great but they have taken more points away from home then at home this season.Still some players missing trough injuries but most of them have been missing for some games now.Midtfielder Tomasz Bandrowski,15/) misses last game and and misses out this one as well.Forward Lawrence Aidoo,14/0/1),goalie Gunnar Berntsen,0000),defender Zoltan Szelesi,15/0/3) and midtfielder Benjamin Schöckel,8) are the other players which misses out due to injury.

The hosts have some importnant missings and just a average home record.The visitors overall form is better and they take most of their points away from home and should have a good chance for another three points.Away win then

Thevisitors@DrawNoBet@2@10bet 6/10

Congrats to your win, Ringabell!

Glad to have you here!

[Djordje]

Pinnacle offer 2.18 for Karlsruher(0) against Dresden!!! Except stupid reasons like 'have to' and 'dont have to', I really cant find anything against guests in this match. Dresden are in really bad position and they are fighting hard against relegation, but this is Germany, not Italy, and I dont think Karlsruher will have that in mind tomorrow. They also need points from completely different reasons, and they are on obviously much better run than Dresden. And they are realistically much stronger team than limited Dresden side.

Karlsruher are not a force away from home though, but they were able to take something against mediocre sides this season. And only few weeks ago they held Cottbuss to goalless draw. Fortunately (for my Karlsruher pick) Dresden although solid at home this season were struggling lately, and they failed to take anything worth mentioning even in home games. Only 3 goals scored in last 4 home games surely cant speak in their favour and if they are going to stay in Bundesliga 2 for another year, they will have to do much better than they did in last few weeks, which were crucial for their survival.

Once again, 1.75-2.24 asian handicap line in this match is really ridiculous, and I simply have to go with guests.

[Bazooka Joe]

Hi everybody,

I agree to Djordje that words like 'have to', 'want to' or 'would like to' do not count in th match between Dresden and Karlsruhe.
But I think that a relegation facing Dresden is is able to grap at least on point out of this game. As Djordje mentioned, Karlsruhe has not been that successful on foreign pitches this season, winning only two away games.
And Dynamo will be fighting for their life, supported by a great crowd.
I hope they will show up some action loaded football tonight with a tight win for the homeside.

1. Pick: Dresden
2. Pick: Over 2.5
Backup: CS 1-1

Good luck everybody

[McFly]

Dresden v Karlsruhe
Dresden is 6 points behind place 14, Karlsruhe 4 points behind place 3. Like said, motivation could not be higher on both sides. If Dresden only play draw or even loose, they will only have small chances to stay in league. Not that dramitcal is the situation in Karlsruhe - of course Karlsruhe will try to get use of the match and thus hold the surpring BL I ambitions alive. Won't be easy for them, Karlsruhe won their last away match last Novembre. Karlsruhe are very home strong, but also bad on the road, as you can imagine. Dresden have not won in last 4 games, what could have been decisive at the end. Dresden in this all or nothing game should not be underestimated. From time to time, Dresden play an aggressive and succesful footy. Nearly knocked out Dresden may become dangerous to lay on. Karlsruhe odds seem be worth to back them, but Dresden's kamikaze situation plus Karlsruhe's problems away, make me don't trust on an outcome in this crucial match. Although both are no big scoring teams, the Over looks good for me like for Joe. I don't think Karlsruhe after the away problems, will play the tactic to play defensively. Dresden will storm besides, so that there should be plenty of chances and some goals too. If a side scores, the other one will risk everything and open up for sure. The match might become some sort of kamikaze for one or even both sides. A good price for a likely Over.

Over 2.5 goals 2.18 betfair 6/10
cover 1-1

Good luck!

[Raiser]

Very nice call the over in DYNAMO DRESDEN-KARLSRUHE
Mc Fly & Joe

Took your advice & made some good profit tonight

[McFly]

That's great, Raiser!

Nice calls, Joe!

3-2 Dresden, what a game!

[Raiser]

Yes what a game, i'm watching the live score but wishing to could watch it on TV

[Bazooka Joe]

Wow, that was one of the most exciting games I ever watched on TV...

Thx to Dresden for the amazing game and the good money

[Djordje]

Karlsruhe missed penalty in 5th minute, Dresden scored an early goal, from offside if you ask me



Nah, crazy game which could go either way, but Dresden deserved to win after all.