Germany - Bundesliga II (14-17 March 08)

[allthethings]

Originally Posted by nicko

The Over looks very risky to me in this game. I usually take the Monday game with Over 3, but have a very funny feeling about this one - Freiburg do score vs weak opponents, which is not the case tonight, on the other hand Cologne at some point will certainly try to sort out the leaky defense. Any other team on Monday vs Cologne I would have taken to go Over, the thing is I watched hosts couple of times, and they DO miss a lot. A very reasonable stake to keep me awake on Over 2,5 just following McFly, and a medium stake on Cologne 0 AH looks better atm ????

The stats do not support the over...as for how the game shapes up, well, McFly knows a lot more than me, but I think it is very risky for the reasons you mentioned.

[retafo]

In a match where every outcoem is possible i will bet for the away victory here with small stakes. I wathced freiburg several times and they have potnetial and as always paly a technical good football but they have problems to score and waste so many chances.

I also believe that the defense of cologne is more stable than in the first half of the saison and that the way freiburg could play helps cologne because of their counter ability. At least if we see a open match but there is a lot of pressure on both teams and that´s the reason i do not really like the ovrer bet here.

So AW Cologne with small 2/10 because i think the ods represent value