Germany - Bundesliga I (18-19 March)

[limvolikce]

Leverkusen-Mainz home win 7/10 10bet:1.63

In this huge clas diference game between Leverkusen and Mainz i think that home side will very east take a new three points wich will be very important for them coz they need points for UEFA CUP and Mainz is very poor and they will very hard fight for relegation but it is very hard to bolive that they take point or points here from this game.leverkusen is too strong for Mainz at this moment

[limvolikce]

Leverkusen-Mainz over 2.5 goals 8/10 centrebet:1.70



Leverkusen very often play with over 2.5 goals at home,expecially against poor teams so this is nice opportunity for us to we see a few goals again at Leverkusen arena.
home side has a very strng attack and they are able to score more then two goals in this game.Also Mainz can suprise and score one goal too..

[leecrowe007]

Schalke to win away against Bayern at 5.50

Schalke are the form team of the bundesliga, gaining 16 points from their last 18. On the other hand Bayern could be vulnerable after losing their last home game v hamburg, and exiting the champions league. Surely these odds represent value and I will be having a small bet on this game.

[leecrowe007]

Dortmund v Kaiserslautern

At odds of over 5.00, Kaiserslautern are good value to snatch a win against Dortmund. Kaiserslautern have only lost one out of their last 6 including wins at bremen and mainz. Dortmund's form has been indifferent lately with no wins in the last 5 and only 1 goal in this time.

[leecrowe007]

Frankfurt v Duisburg

Another value bet here, agree with comments posted earlier on Duisburg's value. Frankfurt are bottom of the form table, Duisburg just above so is the type of game that could either way. Again, odds of over 5.00 represents value in my eyes

[McFly]

Hannover v Köln
Here I could imagine Köln -in a way- surprisingly to win. Hannover did not impress me in last games. For Köln it is an easier opponent now than Berlin and Nürnberg. Köln's morale is still big, coming back after the 1-4 last games, prooves this. They have to and definately are going to try to get 3 points at Hannover. Well personal circumstances speak against Koln - Lell, Podolski and Streller won't play, Scherz is 1 substitution. Szabics in form will compensate it too. I still see a good chance for the away outcome or at least Koln DNB for 3.75. With highly motivated and playing like lately Koln, the away win is possible. stake back with DNB if it is a draw. Cant't see Hannover winning anyway.

Koln DNB 3.75 bet365 6/10

[McFly]

Wolfsburg v Hamburg
Decent odds for Hamburg to win. I would even play them with less than current 2.38. Just think too much is the difference in their attacks mainly. Wolfburg with a mostly concentrated defence and outstanding keeper Jentzsch have problems in the attack. Klimowicz is missing the match, he's 1 of the current most important players. Hanke can not compensate him. If Hamburg performs like against Rapid, they will probably win this. Thanks to the match Bayern v Schalke on Sunday, Hamburg can win important ground in CL and even title race. They reduced it on 3 points at least over night. I think Hamburg will take the chance.

Hamburg 2.38 Betfair 7/10

[McFly]

Frankfurt v Duisburg
Don't agree with away win here, too poor were Duisburg's last performances. No surprise as their injurys have reached a high level. They might be able to fight back like in last match against Hannover, but lacks of offense prevent better results than draws. With Grlic,Biliskov,Kurth and Lottner, at least the midfiled heart is being missed. Lavric and Ahanfouf firstly need some balls. The shape of Frankfurt's Meier is not that bad, he was recovering and is liekly to play. Besides with Copado and Amanatidis Frankfurt have further excellent quality in the front. Preuß will play at the moment, Spycher and Reinhard are doubtful. I don't think that Frankfurt has such important missings like Duisburg. Jones is a blow, but the only main midfielder probably. Last 2 performances of Dusiburg were absolutely poor, loosing heavily at Nürnberg and a poor 0-0 against Hannover. Also here the main tactics will be to keep a clean sheet, they would be content with that and 1 point. I doubt they appear much in the attack. Duisburg have never been much scoring. Frankfurt with its immense attack power may even hammer them.

Frankfurt 1.82 Betfair 8/10

[szczepan]

hello im new guy im from poland ... i Think Dortmund should be win smolarek hits 2 goals sorry for my english

[McFly]

to PL szczepan!

so you think your Poland attacker will make it today eh

look at the odd for that! he made 3 in the first match! good luck!

[McFly]

Nürnberg v Werder
Exciting game probably, with Nürnberg in great form and a Bremen team without Micoud, that needs to find back to track. The 0-3 against Hertha was shocking for them, they played very badly. With that form they will loose here. Nürnberg is in excellent shape, in first line the attack with Vittel and Saenko. Is is even not easy to integrate Kießling again for Coach Meyer. In spite of recent succeses, Nürnbergi is only 3points above 16th. But Werder without Baumann and Micoud is clearly weakened, Nürnberg has every chance to get something from. Nürnberg DNB is a good pick, however I think the staright win also has value. Besides the over that is a bit short yet.

DNB Nurnberg 2.62 bet365 6/10
Nurnberg 3.75 betfair 4/10
Over 2.5 1.71 betfair 6/10

[Attingal]

Bayer Leverkusen : FSV Mainz 05

pick: Over 2.5
Odds: 1.7
Bookmaker: Centrebet
Stake: 7/10

Bayer Leverkusen just comes from a dissapointing 0:1 loss in Bielefeld. The team of coach Michael Skippe dissapointed all the way, made many mistakes and absolutely deserved the loss. In the first leg Mainz smashed Leverkusen 1:3. Mainz was one fire last week beating Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:0. Both teams will try to get 3 points here, especially Leverkusen has to bounce back after the latest frustration.
Mainz coach Jürgen Klopp expects a very offensive team of Bayer Leverkusen: We shouldn't be scared if Leverkusen gets some chances, our job is to switch fastly from defensive to offensive play. Leverkusen will be without defenders Roque Junio and Juan. Leverkusen defenders Fritz, Madouni and "grandpa" Novotny will have lots of problems with fast and lively Thurk, Zidan, Auer and Da Silva. Leverkusen has a pretty good offense with strong Voronin and Berbatov, who shot 18 goals so far. I expect many chances to score for both teams today. My rating is: over: 65% / under: 35%.

[McFly]

M'gladbach v Stuttgart
Go again with the VfB here though they have continued drawing away. But I think Gladbach is not as strong as their reputation theses days. I don't think they willl reach the Cup, after performances of the last weeks they rather should look to the bottom. Wins recently prevented a crisis around Coach Köppel. So performances were poor mostly. Twice a win was followd by defeats. Stuttgart was pretty good at Kaiserslautern though they only drew. But they disappointed me last weekend drawing Dortmund, still I think they have good chances here and give them the next chance. I go on them straight, financed hopefully with Stuttgart AH +0.5. Stuttgart should avoid a defeat at least.

Stuttgart AH +0.5 1.75 centrebet 7/10
Stuttgart 3.05 betfair 5/10

[McFly]

Dortmund v K'lautern
Borussia have had offense problems but besides the young team does a good job in this season. They perform more mature than their experience would guess. Smolarek should get into form too, he is working much for and will be honoured I guess - to end his 7 games goalless run. In the first match between the sides, Smolarek scored 3 times at tthe 3-3. So a good opportunity now. For Dortmund, only 3 points really count today in order to stay in Cup race. K'lautern had no chance at the 0-3 at HSV and should loose this too.

Dortmund 1.79 betfair 7/10

[McFly]

Leverkusen v Mainz
Leverkusen should win this though it certainly will not be that easy. Mainz' win against M'gladbach was very important for them, hestitating and bad confidence should be survived. Of course with Leverkusen they face a tough one. Leverkusen was pretty bad in Bielefeld, but many former games they could convince yet. Also for Leverkusen it is a must win to remain in near of UEFA Cup dreams. Mainz is just too weak away. They can always surprise, but 2 points out of last 9 away games speak clearly against them. I believe only Leverkusen (without Juan) will profit from the match. I also fancy the over though it is no big price.

Leverkusen 1.72 betfair 7/10
Over 2.5 1.70 betfair 6/10

[McFly]

Fly Treble

Hamburg 2.38
Frankfurt 1.79
Nurnberg over 2.5 1.72 odds from betfair
7.32
3/10


Good luck all BL punters!

[McFly]

CS's

Club v Werder 3-1
Frankfurt v Duisburg 3-0
Dortmund v Lautern 2-0
Leverkusen v Mainz 2-1
Wolfsburg v Hamburg 0-2
Gladbach v Stuttgart 0-1
Hannover v Köln 1-3
Bayern v Schalke 2-1
Hertha v Bielefeld 3-1

no draws hmm

[Youssef]

Tip Detail

Sport	Football (Germany)
Event	B. Dortmund X Kaiserslautern
Selection	Draw
Strength	10/10
Date	18/03/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Stan James @ 3.75 (Back)
Reasoning	Dortmund are 7 points and 6 places ahead of Kaiser. They're also only 4 points behind 5th placed Stuttgart, so they should be looking for the wins in order to -maybe- finish 5th. Yet Kaiser are pursuing safety from relegation as they are only 3 points away from Duisburg. They had been doing pretty well untill the train of Hamburg hit them hard last week, but I guess 12 points in 7 games isn't bad as they collected their other 12 in 18 games, so that's an improvemnet. Dortmund are winless in 5 and have collected only 3 points in them, which not only gives hope to Kaiser, but also a sense of some danger to Dortmund as if they keep playing like that they could very well find themselves needing a point or 2 in their last couple of games to stay above relegation zone. My view is that Kaiser is in a better form, and with any luck should get the 3 points, but I would expect a draw as Dortmund cannot afford another loss. Good Luck

Tip Detail

Sport	Football (Germany)
Event	E. Frankfurt X Duisburg
Selection	Home Win (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	18/03/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Stan James @ 1.80 (Back)
Reasoning	A clear 6 pointer here, with only 5 points separating the two. I dunno what's come over Eintracht. They seemed to be doing great, but suddenly changed their minds and head nose down, collecting only 1 point in their last 5 games. The same cannot be said about Duisburg, whom -despite standing 2nd from bottom- suffered only 2 defeats at home, and guess what? One of them was to the same side they're visiting this afternoon! Personally I would back Frankfurt considering 1-2-10 is the away form of Duisburg, but they may just have some idea on their minds of turning it around at this point of season and involving Eintracht in more heavily in the battle of relegation. Good Luck

Leverkusen X Mainz:

This is more of an emotional choice for me than a proffessional pick. I like Mainz. Last season they caught my eye having done pretty well for a newly promoted team, and with good displays on the pitch too. This year they've lost much of their charm, yet the on-loan Zidan (from Werder) makes me hope they won't be relegating.

I also do not like Leverkusen, for some unexplainable reason.

I'll be backing the visitors not to lose, but I can't give an analytical good reason for it, hence not officially submitted. Just call it a hunch!

Tip Detail

Sport	Football (Germany)
Event	Nurnberg X Werder Bremen
Selection	Away Win
Strength	10/10
Date	18/03/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Interwetten @ 2.20 (Back)
Reasoning	still have faith in the visiting team, eventhough they've been disappointing me for a few games. I can't believe they couldn't score a single goal vs. Hertha last week, and have hence slipped to 4th position. Nurnberg have been lucky to play 3 relegation zone fellows in their last 4. They won them all (the 3 relegation battles) and lost only to Schalke. If it's any indication, Werder should then take all 3 points, as they are still a top team, and posses enourmous capabilities of scoring, plus they have to try to win back the 2nd spot on the table. Nurnberg would be happy with a point though, so it could be a game they will try to defend in until the very end. I still see Werder winning, nevertheless, and the question is will it be convincing enough? Good Luck

Tip Detail

Sport	Football (Germany)
Event	Wolfsburg X Hamburg
Selection	Draw
Strength	10/10
Date	18/03/2006
Bookmaker/Price	Gamebookers @ 3.25 (Back)
Reasoning	Wolfsburg have lost only once at home, and this should make it tough enough for Hamburg whom are currently 2nd and only 6 points away from Bayern. Having gotten knocked out of the UEFA cup, they have to fully concentrate on (a) not letting the 2nd place slip, and (b) keep on winning in hopes that Bayern may let some points slip. The title is still within their reach, but morals may not be at their peak after missing a bunch of scoring chances against the Romanians. Either chance could've seen them in the quarter finals, but they were either unlucky, or really foolish in the way they wasted some of them. Anyway, I don't think Wolfsburg can lose this game. It should be a tough game for both teams, but the confidence in the home side resulting from not being beaten at home, and the lack of it at the visitors due to not being able to take the chances to score, plus the axhaustion from the midweek clash, all lead me to think it could be both Bayern and Schalke whom will most benifit from this game's final outcome. Good Luck

[McFly]

nice write ups Youssef, cheers for those! as well limkovice and leecrowe of course!

[Randall]

Tip Detail

Sport	Football (Germany)
Event	Nurnberg - Bremen
Selection	Bremen
Strength	10/10
Date	18/03/2006
Bookmaker/Price	canbet @ 2.15 (Back)
Reasoning	I don't really see why everyone are so excited about Nurnberg.Yeah.They won two matches in a row but let's look at the teams they were playing with.Two worst Bundesliga teams.3:0 win at home with duisburg who has only 1 away win during whole season and 4:3 away win against poor Koeln.They conceded 3 goals against Koeln that is something I don't see them not conceding against Bremen.Nurnberg is not so great at home and they have crappy h2h with Bremen in few last years getting beaten heavilly few times.Last game 6:2 for Werder.Bayern, Schalke and Hamburg all have tought matches and can lose points.And then Werder needs all 3 points here.Even without Micoud (Who can play.It's not 100% sure that he won't play) they are capable of beating Nurnberg heavilly.I don't believe that they are in some kind of crisis.Match against Hertha was just an accident.They were playing great match against Juventus few days later and it didn't seemed that there was a crisis.Three points for Werder.