Germany - 3rd leagues (Nov 23-27) - The Punters Lounge

McFly · 23-11-2007, 15:09

Friday 23 November 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Oberhausen v Union Berlin (18:30 GMT)	2.42	3.45	3.30	101%
Saturday 24 November 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Dynamo Dresden v Energie Cottbus II (12:30 GMT)	1.41	4.80	9.70	103%
Ahlen v Babelsberg (13:00 GMT)	1.89	3.80	4.85	100%
Dortmund II v Braunschweig (13:00 GMT)	2.52	3.55	2.88	103%
Düsseldorf v Erfurt (13:00 GMT)	2.55	3.60	2.95	101%
Kickers Emden v Wolfsburg II (13:00 GMT)	1.42	5.40	9.50	100%
Lübeck v RW Essen (13:00 GMT)	2.84	3.40	2.54	104%
Magdeburg v Wuppertal (13:00 GMT)	2.40	3.60	3.10	102%
Verl v Werder Bremen II (13:00 GMT)	3.00	3.55	2.50	102%

Friday 23 November 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
1860 München II v Pfullendorf (18:00 GMT)	2.16	3.90	3.55	101%
Oggersheim v Karlsruhe II (18:00 GMT)	3.25	3.50	2.40	102%
Saturday 24 November 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Aalen v Bayern München II (13:00 GMT)	1.95	4.00	4.15	101%
Burghausen v Hessen Kassel (13:00 GMT)	1.92	3.60	4.20	104%
FSV Frankfurt v Regensburg (13:00 GMT)	2.00	3.70	4.10	102%
Reutlingen v Siegen (13:00 GMT)	2.56	3.50	2.96	102%
Sandhausen v Stuttgart II (13:00 GMT)	2.56	3.50	2.87	103%
Stutt Kickers v Elversberg (13:00 GMT)	2.20	3.65	3.55	102%
Sunday 25 November 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Unterhaching v Ingolstadt 04 (14:00 GMT)	2.37	3.45	3.05	104%
Tuesday 27 November 2007
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Pfullendorf v Reutlingen (18:00 GMT)	1.01	1.01	1.01	298%

McFly · 23-11-2007, 15:39

Oberhausen v Union Berlin

At most bookies, Oberhausen lines are a bit short. Fair odds would be the lines of 2.4 around for the Oberhausen win, otherwise the strength of the guests sin't honoured enough. Some value surely has the AH for Oberhausen as home win and draw both should be more likely than the away win which can't be excluded though, having the more stable defence possibly.

Oberhausen are at full strength in the meanwhile and their succes is likely to continue, having 28 points just like the guests. Not many sides which I would go with facig the Berlin club currently, but the former BL II club and promoter has the quality to beat the guests and even play a role in promotion fight. 4/5 recent home games were won, in last overall they scored 11 times. Last weekend's away win at Erfurt was a huge effort of them. As said are Union surely not to underestimate and to be opposed with small stake only if at all. The only thing what can be said against them are a few weaker periods every now and then (like in the 0-0 to Verl), so consistency speaks for the host while quality is on both sides. But Union could convince at Magdeburg and Dresden recently.

However, both sides score 30 times in 17 games so that I strongly expect more to follow in this one, by whom ever. Union's over record is balanced while Oberhausen played more overs.

Over 2.75 goals @2.07 betdaq 5/10
Oberhausen (-0.25) AH @2.03 betdaq 3/10

BOL

Matty · 23-11-2007, 19:07

The man, the legend - Mr. McFly. Well you this takes you into profit after a push on the Bundesliga 2. 75 mins and 3-0 - after reading your post I went for over 2.5 @ 1.76 - great work as usual. Hope you get one more for maximum overs

McFly · 23-11-2007, 19:23

Quote:

Originally Posted by Matty

The man, the legend - Mr. McFly. Well you this takes you into profit after a push on the Bundesliga 2. 75 mins and 3-0 - after reading your post I went for over 2.5 @ 1.76 - great work as usual. Hope you get one more for maximum overs

Cheers Matty, nice to see you won.

Also nearly took the over 2.5 but can be content with the game anyway.

Quite a hammering for Union but even deserved!

george45 · 24-11-2007, 06:53

Hello McFLy what do you think or opinion about game
Stuttg. Kicker-Elversberg
Thank you

McFly · 24-11-2007, 07:39

My picks and a few words to them, no time for more, I'm afraid.

Regionalliga Nord

Emden (-1.5) AH @ 1.95 betdaq 5/10
Table leader Emden suffered the 2-3 defeat after 3 consecutive wins. Performance was alright, the outcome a little unlucky. In previous home game (1-0 over Ahlen), Emden didn't play as strong as they had in a couple of home games before, but still they deserve to be called in god form. Wolfsburg II are currently the least powerful side of this league. Only 1 goal was scored in last 8 and totally 40 conceded - so the not so bad home performance to Dortmund II recently (0-1) should put too much weight on. Kickers Emden with only 20 goals so far but with conssitent efforts. 3 times they could win by 2 so far.

Over 2.5 Düsseldorf-Erfurt @ 2.07 betdaq 4/10
Well paid over, mainly through the big tendency of the host to play under. Nevertheless, 2 ambituous offences, Erfurt can break the solid Fortuna defence while Düsseldorf showed a better form at least after the change of coach.

Ahlen @ 1.87 betfair 3/10
Ahlen have been winless in last 3 home games but should be able to beat Babelsberg. The guests come on the back of the 3-0 over Düsseldorf but since Babelsberg are voltaile as well and need to over improve partly, the home win should be makeable.

Over 2.5 Verl-Werder II @ 2.09 betdaq 3/10
Good value I guess despite the clear tendency of Verl to play unders. But Verlhave been powerful at home especially, what is not reflected by results really since only 1/3 got won there recently. Werder II have been in very good shape and always are dangerous in that shape, they should keep on scoring.

McFly · 24-11-2007, 07:53

RL Süd

Aalen @ 1.97 betfair 5/10
Aalen drew last 3 games but still are in good shape. Aalen are extremely home strong and the currently strongest team of this league I guess. Bayern II also in form actually but the support from first team is not given today so that it will get hard to survive this travel.

FSV Frankfurt @ 1.97 betfair 5/10
Frankfurt are defeatless in last 56 and could win 4 of them, unsurprisingly impressing very much. The promoter is playing a great season and should have the better cards in this one. The other promoter Regensburg could stabilise a little but aren't in the shape of the so succesful season beginning. The guests lost last 4 away games without having scored any.

Sandhausen (0) AH 1.88 betdaq 4/10
Promoter Sandhausen for reason are to find around table top, just like the guests. Sandhausen could impress at home especially, winning last 3. The guests didn't loose last 10 but this one definately will get one of the harder games in which I'd be not surprised to see them loosing even.

McFly · 24-11-2007, 07:55

Quote:

Originally Posted by george45

Hello McFLy what do you think or opinion about game
Stuttg. Kicker-Elversberg
Thank you

I see the host in slight advantage even though there was hardly succes so far so that the Kickers coach got sacked. Also the guests were quite volatile but not as much as the host actually. The Kickers have more substance but I wouldn't dare to follow them yet.

Camino · 24-11-2007, 08:23

I was thinking backing Dynamo Dresda heavily........What do you think McFly .....Could Dresda have any problems against Cottbus|| ??

McFly · 25-11-2007, 10:04

I'm afraid only the smaller bets came in yesterday, shocked by a few results.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Camino

I was thinking backing Dynamo Dresda heavily........What do you think McFly .....Could Dresda have any problems against Cottbus|| ??

Hope you backed them, they nicked it closely. The Dresden odds were too short IMO, considering that Cottbus II had been succesful and played well recently.

McFly · 25-11-2007, 10:20

Unterhaching v Ingolstadt

U'haching are home strong but as well mediocre away where they either disappointed or just stupidly didn't suceed. Form is alright though, especially in last few home games they impressed clearly dominating the games. Previous home game was won vs. Stuttgarter Kickers even though Haching suffered from numerous missings. Situation ha relaxed now so that a powerful home side will be fielded. Ingolstadt were completely outplayed in last week's home game, they defeated 0-5 to FSV Frankfurt. Ingolstadt tend to do hard under pressure. Form could be better so but Ingolstadt are the most succesful away side with totally 17 points out of 8 games (2-2-1 in last 5 away games) - Haching hardly have more than 17 points at all. Changes are possible after the debacle, anyway are Haching the stronger side and I expect them to suceed. Some good value is the AH in my eyes.

U'haching (-0.25) AH @ 1.95 bet365 4/10

23-11-2007, 15:39	#2 (permalink)
McFly Torn Punter Join Date: 12 Oct 2005 Location: Munich Age: 28 Posts: 5,091	Re: Germany - 3rd leagues (Nov 23-27) Oberhausen v Union Berlin At most bookies, Oberhausen lines are a bit short. Fair odds would be the lines of 2.4 around for the Oberhausen win, otherwise the strength of the guests sin't honoured enough. Some value surely has the AH for Oberhausen as home win and draw both should be more likely than the away win which can't be excluded though, having the more stable defence possibly. Oberhausen are at full strength in the meanwhile and their succes is likely to continue, having 28 points just like the guests. Not many sides which I would go with facig the Berlin club currently, but the former BL II club and promoter has the quality to beat the guests and even play a role in promotion fight. 4/5 recent home games were won, in last overall they scored 11 times. Last weekend's away win at Erfurt was a huge effort of them. As said are Union surely not to underestimate and to be opposed with small stake only if at all. The only thing what can be said against them are a few weaker periods every now and then (like in the 0-0 to Verl), so consistency speaks for the host while quality is on both sides. But Union could convince at Magdeburg and Dresden recently. However, both sides score 30 times in 17 games so that I strongly expect more to follow in this one, by whom ever. Union's over record is balanced while Oberhausen played more overs. Over 2.75 goals @2.07 betdaq 5/10 Oberhausen (-0.25) AH @2.03 betdaq 3/10 BOL

23-11-2007, 19:07	#3 (permalink)
Matty Braz/Arg/Mex footy punter Join Date: 11 Dec 2006 Location: Leeds Age: 28 Posts: 134	Re: Germany - 3rd leagues (Nov 23-27) The man, the legend - Mr. McFly. Well you this takes you into profit after a push on the Bundesliga 2. 75 mins and 3-0 - after reading your post I went for over 2.5 @ 1.76 - great work as usual. Hope you get one more for maximum overs

24-11-2007, 06:53	#5 (permalink)
george45 Newbie Punter Join Date: 03 Oct 2007 Posts: 31	Re: Germany - 3rd leagues (Nov 23-27) Hello McFLy what do you think or opinion about game Stuttg. Kicker-Elversberg Thank you

24-11-2007, 07:39	#6 (permalink)
McFly Torn Punter Join Date: 12 Oct 2005 Location: Munich Age: 28 Posts: 5,091	Re: Germany - 3rd leagues (Nov 23-27) My picks and a few words to them, no time for more, I'm afraid. Regionalliga Nord Emden (-1.5) AH @ 1.95 betdaq 5/10 Table leader Emden suffered the 2-3 defeat after 3 consecutive wins. Performance was alright, the outcome a little unlucky. In previous home game (1-0 over Ahlen), Emden didn't play as strong as they had in a couple of home games before, but still they deserve to be called in god form. Wolfsburg II are currently the least powerful side of this league. Only 1 goal was scored in last 8 and totally 40 conceded - so the not so bad home performance to Dortmund II recently (0-1) should put too much weight on. Kickers Emden with only 20 goals so far but with conssitent efforts. 3 times they could win by 2 so far. Over 2.5 Düsseldorf-Erfurt @ 2.07 betdaq 4/10 Well paid over, mainly through the big tendency of the host to play under. Nevertheless, 2 ambituous offences, Erfurt can break the solid Fortuna defence while Düsseldorf showed a better form at least after the change of coach. Ahlen @ 1.87 betfair 3/10 Ahlen have been winless in last 3 home games but should be able to beat Babelsberg. The guests come on the back of the 3-0 over Düsseldorf but since Babelsberg are voltaile as well and need to over improve partly, the home win should be makeable. Over 2.5 Verl-Werder II @ 2.09 betdaq 3/10 Good value I guess despite the clear tendency of Verl to play unders. But Verlhave been powerful at home especially, what is not reflected by results really since only 1/3 got won there recently. Werder II have been in very good shape and always are dangerous in that shape, they should keep on scoring.

24-11-2007, 07:53	#7 (permalink)
McFly Torn Punter Join Date: 12 Oct 2005 Location: Munich Age: 28 Posts: 5,091	Re: Germany - 3rd leagues (Nov 23-27) RL Süd Aalen @ 1.97 betfair 5/10 Aalen drew last 3 games but still are in good shape. Aalen are extremely home strong and the currently strongest team of this league I guess. Bayern II also in form actually but the support from first team is not given today so that it will get hard to survive this travel. FSV Frankfurt @ 1.97 betfair 5/10 Frankfurt are defeatless in last 56 and could win 4 of them, unsurprisingly impressing very much. The promoter is playing a great season and should have the better cards in this one. The other promoter Regensburg could stabilise a little but aren't in the shape of the so succesful season beginning. The guests lost last 4 away games without having scored any. Sandhausen (0) AH 1.88 betdaq 4/10 Promoter Sandhausen for reason are to find around table top, just like the guests. Sandhausen could impress at home especially, winning last 3. The guests didn't loose last 10 but this one definately will get one of the harder games in which I'd be not surprised to see them loosing even.

24-11-2007, 08:23	#9 (permalink)
Camino Newbie Punter Join Date: 20 Jul 2007 Posts: 38	Re: Germany - 3rd leagues (Nov 23-27) I was thinking backing Dynamo Dresda heavily........What do you think McFly .....Could Dresda have any problems against Cottbus\|\| ??

25-11-2007, 10:20	#11 (permalink)
McFly Torn Punter Join Date: 12 Oct 2005 Location: Munich Age: 28 Posts: 5,091	Re: Germany - 3rd leagues (Nov 23-27) Unterhaching v Ingolstadt U'haching are home strong but as well mediocre away where they either disappointed or just stupidly didn't suceed. Form is alright though, especially in last few home games they impressed clearly dominating the games. Previous home game was won vs. Stuttgarter Kickers even though Haching suffered from numerous missings. Situation ha relaxed now so that a powerful home side will be fielded. Ingolstadt were completely outplayed in last week's home game, they defeated 0-5 to FSV Frankfurt. Ingolstadt tend to do hard under pressure. Form could be better so but Ingolstadt are the most succesful away side with totally 17 points out of 8 games (2-2-1 in last 5 away games) - Haching hardly have more than 17 points at all. Changes are possible after the debacle, anyway are Haching the stronger side and I expect them to suceed. Some good value is the AH in my eyes. U'haching (-0.25) AH @ 1.95 bet365 4/10

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