Germany 3rd leagues (9-11 May)

[heniek31]

Friday 9 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen v Eintracht Braunschweig (18:30BST)	1.85	3.30	3.60	112.13 %
Hide « Rot-Weiß Oberhausen v Eintracht Braunschweig
Saturday 10 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
1. FC Magdeburg v Rot-Weiß Erfurt (13:00BST)	2.25	3.20	2.75	112.06 %
Hide « 1. FC Magdeburg v Rot-Weiß Erfurt
Fortuna Düsseldorf v VfL Wolfsburg II (13:00BST)	1.20	5.50	9.50	112.04 %
Hide « Fortuna Düsseldorf v VfL Wolfsburg II
Hamburger SV II v Wuppertaler SV Borussia (13:00BST)	3.40	3.30	1.90	112.35 %
Hide « Hamburger SV II v Wuppertaler SV Borussia
Rot-Weiß Ahlen v Kickers Emden (13:00BST)	1.55	3.60	5.00	112.29 %
Hide « Rot-Weiß Ahlen v Kickers Emden
VfB Lübeck v SV Babelsberg 03 (13:00BST)	2.30	3.20	2.65	112.46 %
Hide « VfB Lübeck v SV Babelsberg 03
Sunday 11 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Dynamo Dresden v Rot-Weiss Essen (13:00BST)	1.90	3.20	3.50	112.45 %
Hide « Dynamo Dresden v Rot-Weiss Essen
SC Verl v 1. FC Union Berlin (13:00BST)	4.20	3.40	1.70	112.04 %

Friday 9 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Karlsruher SC II v KSV Hessen Kassel (17:30BST)	1.01	NQ	NQ
Hide « Karlsruher SC II v KSV Hessen Kassel
Saturday 10 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
TSV 1860 München II v SV 07 Elversberg (13:00BST)	1.01	1.01	1.01	297.03 %
Hide « TSV 1860 München II v SV 07 Elversberg
VfR Aalen v SSV Jahn Regensburg (13:00BST)	1.01	1.01	1.01	297.03 %
Hide « VfR Aalen v SSV Jahn Regensburg
Wacker Burghausen v SC Pfullendorf (13:00BST)	1.01	1.01	1.01	297.03 %

[McFly]

Oberhausen-Brauschweig Over 2.5 @ 1.75 sportingbet 6/10

Will have a few words on the pick later in the afternoon.

[McFly]

Right, this is another big game in the third leagues in which Oberhausen can claim the top for an unknown time with a win and where Braunschweig need to hold contact to place 10. Both teams are covered with good players considering this is the third leagues, Oberhausen have with the slightly more ambitous play. Oberhausen hit back nicely with two wins lately after three win- and goalless games for them before. Despite the short weak period, performances have been alright and Oberhausen prooved as consistent and scoring side while defence is one of the best as well. Ten of last twelve Oberhausen games have been Overs, recent two games also. With five Overs on the road in total, Braunschweig tend to Unders there (previous three ended 1-1). Nine of last 12 games of them have been Overs what reflects the developement of Braunschweig and much more force in the play they are having in 2008. Defence has been the big problem but the team individually is very strong and harder to beat in the meanwhile, especially now where they are under heavy pressure to come to points. Games of Braunschweig just look like high-scoring games and Oberhausen may be the right team for an eventful game and another Over after the 1-2 win of Oberhausen in first game. I'd say Oberhausen are slightly more likely to win it but value may be to lay them even.

[McFly]

Hessen Kassel (-0.25) AH @ 1.9 betdaq 4/10

Hessen Kassel fell down into second table half after two draws and one defeat and go for a win to keep up chances. They were very lucky not to defeat to Stuttgart in the last game but the VfB also was a big challenge and fighting Kassel didn't look so bad. They won only two of ten but have been in quite good shape in the last few weeks with two draws and one win on the road lately and thus pretty good away performances. There, Kassel netted in each of last 7 (14 goals totally). Offense is the third best but defense the second worst what explains the lively games of Kassel and lets one think about the Over but volatile Karlsruhe have the second worst attack and missed quite a lot this season and the Kassel defense actually is better than all the goals are saying. Karlsruhe are coming into this with two defeats recetly but they won three of five home games lately, the others got lost. Hessen Kassel have been the better team not only in table and the away win may well happen. In first game, they beat Karlsruhe 4-0, here the away win and then the draw should be the likely outcomes. BOL

[McFly]

Poor start into weekend yesterday, can't believe Kassel lost it 1-6.

Some good looking bets today but strangely there are hardly odds and Asians available on the market.

[nightvision644]

you are doing gr8 mate... keep going... my eyes on u

[McFly]

FSV-Kickers Over 2.5 @ 2.1 sporting bet 7/10

Looks like a very nice bet having two offensive and in form teams. FSV Frankfurt climbed on second place with the 4-1 over Unterhachinh where they have been extremely efficient. They've nicely kept up the good shape over the whole season but have been far more succesful on the road than at home. Last one was lost to 1860 after two wins there from before. Only three of ten of their games were Overs but Frankfurt are eager scorers, coming to many chances. This one will be a challenge for them since the Kickers have been on fire as well, in spite of two defeats in a row where they've been unlucky. Also the Kickers offense has been very lively despite the out of key midfielder Parmak and may well make the FSV a hard time. Odds of 1.7 represent no value IMO, the game shouldn't get one-sided at all actually. The LAY of the home team would fancy me if Parmak was on board. Still, they have a huge squad and played well without him. Four of five of the Kickers games were Overs recently what fits to their good form and the need to go for three points what is still the case. Overall, the Kickers strongly lean to Unders though.

RW Ahlen @ 1.72 bet365 4/10
Over 2.5 @ 1.75 Unibet 5/10

The home win is on the edge to value, wouldn't touch them for less than @1.7. Ahlen should be worth a punt in that case as they simply have been rockig the league. They are having excellent chances to promote now after seven wins in last ten games. Previous five home games have been Overs while the same can be said about last four away games from Emden. The guests are under pressure after two defeats to Oberhausen and Düsseldorf in which they performed pretty well though. They may play with one striker only but also are good for goals.

[McFly]

Wuppertal @ 2.0 betfair 5/10

Wuppertal with a slight gap to the middle line came to a 4-3 over Cottbus thanks to Saglik once again and thus stopped a run of three consecutive draws and the previous away defeat in Bremen. Wuppertal faced a lot tough teams lately and therefor did an alright job with one defeat in last six only. Form has been good over weeks now and it is impressing how they came back after huge problems in first season half. Hamburg on the other side have been poor since weeks and thus lost four of last five and could win one of ten only.

Stuttgart II (0) AH @ 1.93 Pinnacle 4/10

Mighty Stuttgart with a challenge here facing Unterhaching who are still suffering from offense missings. Lechleiter and Rathgeb are out and Schweinsteiger doubtful so that quality advantage of offense should be on the host side even. Unterhaching just defeated 1-4 to Frankfurt where a few defense mistakes costed them to come to something. But Unterhaching became stable on the road not loosing in last five winning over 1860 and drawing to Aalen as latest ones. As said though, Stuttgart surely will bing them into trouble. They only drew twice lately but have impressed since weeks and I see them being the edge better today. The Over is also temtping but Haching may be compact and cause not that much danger.

[McFly]

Double Aalen & Burghausen 4/10

Aalen host Regensburg who came back with two wins after a very poor second season half but defeated to Burghausen then at the weekend. Regensburg still need points but struggle with their play partly and haven't been consitent. Aalen on the other side still fight for promotion having suffered a 1-2 defeat to Ingolstadt lately. There are more consitent teams than Aalen but especially on home ground, they know how to play.

Burghausen kept up the great shape from the win over Ingolstadt and came to the next victory right away. After a little crisis and a trainings camp, the team hasn't been toothless anymore and I'm pretty sure they beat also Pfullendorf who play a rather poor reason and may lack of motivation.

RW Erfut (0) AH @ Pinnacle 1.91 4/10

Two home wins and a draw at Dresden brought Erfurt in a good position and still have slight promtion chances. More dramatic is the situation of Magdeburg who need this win to hold contact to place 10. They haven't been in form being winless in last four and with two draws recently. Offense still hasn't had the needed power to come to three points more often. That's not the problem of Erfurt who are without Bunjaku but with plenty of options for the attack. Erfurt will play this more defensive than the normally very offensive formtaion as Magdeburg have to act and will try to push. The Over might be risky though but at the end, the Erfurt counters probably will become more dangerous than Magdeburg.

[McFly]

Burghausen (-1.25) AH @ 1.96 betdaq 4/10

Some AH lines on Burghausen available now and I take them on this in addition to the double.

As said, Wacker with impressing football lately and I can well imagine a few goals from them.

[rapid1923]

brilliant picks =))

[McFly]

Well, it was a poor day rather with Erfurt and Stuttgart not winning despite a few leads.

I'm afraid, there shouldn't be any goals in my big Over game, on the other hand I was lucky with Wuppertal turning a 0-2.

[rapid1923]

Originally Posted by McFly

Well, it was a poor day rather with Erfurt and Stuttgart not winning despite a few leads.

I'm afraid, there shouldn't be any goals in my big Over game, on the other hand I was lucky with Wuppertal turning a 0-2.

agree with you..what happened with league 3 yesterday ??? seems someone didnt want us to win )

[McFly]

Dresden-Essen Over 2.5 @ 1.95 sportigbet 7/10

Another Over I fancy very much, at even odds nearly and likely to come in, I guess. Essen, after three consecutive wins, can leave second table half so that a big gap got closed in short time. They've become much more dangerous in front of the goals producing a lot pressure, defense is more stable by now which will be challenged by Dresden though. Last six games all were Overs and RW Essen intend to play for the win. The guests are in good shape and I think they really may sneak sth from home strong Dresden. To keep the slight promotion ambitions alive, Dynamo Dresden need a win, anything but that and Dresden are threatened to slip down into second table half at the end what would have been a disaster. Dynamo have ha poor result in their home games in the last few weeks drawing last two but showing offensive and good football normally. Three of four home games had three or more goals and I estimate chances for the Over to be around seventy per cent considering the powerful attacks mainly. Defense was shaky at Union having defeated 2-4 in this last game. There's definately value on Essen who have come to many chances through the good forward play and surely are slight outsider only in this one.

Over 2.5 @ 1.95 sportingbet 7/10
Essen +0.5 AH @ 1.84 betdaq 4/10

[McFly]

Union Berlin @ 1.7 sporting bet 4/10

Union have found back on track lately after a short winles run and could win last two games. The away win of Hamburg was followed by the strong 4-2 over Dresden where Union prooved the power of offense once again. The guests are as good as qualified for next year's third league, promotion only stays realsitic if Union win this. Promoter Verl didn't have much succes in this season but they're not to underestimate in their home games where they've been on eye line to a few actually more ambitous teams. They are coming into this with the 0-3 from Erfurt and the 1-3 to Babelsberg in last home game, three of five home games have been victories though. But defense of Verl will get busy again and the guests should be too powerful for them actually.

Reutlingen-Ingolstadt Over 2.5 @ 1.95 sportingbet 3/10

I think there's hardly value on Ingolstadt as Reutlingen will give them good fight as they always do at home where they are capable of becoming forcing. Race for place 10 is very close, with a draw at least, Reutlingen would return to first table half though. The host with the very good 3-1 over the Stuttgarter Kickers in previous home game, three of five recent home games were Overs. Ingolstadt can make promotion as good as perfect with a win here, they would have seven points to place 3 then with three remaining games. The guests have been in good shape winning three of four, the same can be said about recent Overs. Ingolstadt may not storm blindly but always can become dangerous so that this game looks like an Over rather.

Good luck.