Germany - 3rd leagues (6-8 May 08)

[McFly]

Tuesday 6 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Eintracht Braunschweig v VfB Lübeck (17:30BST)	1.36	5.50	10.00	101.52 %	Details »
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VfL Wolfsburg II v Rot-Weiß Oberhausen (18:00BST)	7.50	4.70	1.49	101.72 %	Details »
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Wednesday 7 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Borussia Dortmund II v Rot-Weiß Ahlen (18:00BST)	2.75	3.25	2.50	107.13 %	Details »
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Kickers Emden v Fortuna Düsseldorf (18:00BST)	2.37	3.25	2.90	107.36 %	Details »
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Rot-Weiß Erfurt v SC Verl (18:00BST)	1.36	4.50	7.50	108.89 %	Details »
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Rot-Weiss Essen v Hamburger SV II (18:00BST)	1.55	3.75	6.50	106.57 %	Details »
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SV Babelsberg 03 v 1. FC Magdeburg (18:00BST)	3.50	3.25	2.10	106.96 %	Details »
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Wuppertaler SV Borussia v Energie Cottbus II (18:00BST)	1.75	3.60	5.00	104.92 %	Details »
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Thursday 8 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
1. FC Union Berlin v Dynamo Dresden (19:30BST)	2.30	3.25	2.84	109.46 %	Details »
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Tuesday 6 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
FC Bayern München II v Karlsruher SC II (18:00BST)	1.70	3.75	5.10	105.10 %	Details »
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SC Pfullendorf v FSV Oggersheim (18:00BST)	1.53	4.00	8.20	102.41 %	Details »
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SpVgg Unterhaching v FSV Frankfurt (18:00BST)	2.19	3.60	3.60	101.22 %	Details »
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SSV Jahn Regensburg v Wacker Burghausen (18:00BST)	2.50	3.25	3.00	104.10 %	Details »
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Stuttgart Kickers v TSV 1860 München II (18:00BST)	2.03	3.85	3.90	100.88 %	Details »
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SV 07 Elversberg v SSV Reutlingen (18:00BST)	2.30	3.50	3.45	101.04 %	Details »
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KSV Hessen Kassel v VfB Stuttgart II (18:30BST)	2.50	3.25	2.65	108.51 %	Details »
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Wednesday 7 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
FC Ingolstadt 04 v VfR Aalen (18:30BST)	2.00	3.25	3.40	110.18 %	Details »
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Sportfreunde Siegen v SV Sandhausen (18:30BST)	2.25	3.25	3.25	105.98 %	Details »

[McFly]

Unterhaching (-0.5) AH @ 2.19 betdaq 3/10
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.97 betdaq 7/10

U'haching face the FSV Frankfurt what is one of the top games of this round. With 48 and 49 points, both have qualified for next year's thid league and even promotion spots are in reach. Two leagues differed these two teams last season but both have played a great season, the FSV actually even more consistent than Haching. But the host is unbeaten in last ten and often came to three points, they won five of seven last home games. They mostly scored twice at least at home and definately are a good force. Top striker Lechleiter is injured but Schweinsteiger returns and there is good substance in the front. The guests hardly did less impress and showed their strength on the road especially being unbeaten in nine there from which six were won even. After one of the very rare disappointing performances against 1860 (1-2), the FSV Frankfurt looked well recovered from that and sneaked one point from Stuttgart last weekend. They mostly ended their games with two goals totally in the last few weeks (five of seven without coneding), on the other hand are they reliable scorers and Haching should have the power to break them.


Stuttgarter Kickers @ 2.02 betdaq 6/10

The second team of 1860 come on the back of two impressive away wins over Stuttgart and Frankfurt but clear favourite is the host which have developed in impressing manner in second season half. First table half has become close but also the guests are only two points behind them. The Kickers lost 1-3 at Reutlingen recently after seven defeatless games but performed well like as good as always in the last few weeks. In previous home game, Aalen got hammered 5-1 and the Kickers have been playing a really good football. Midfielder Parmak got injured and will miss this one though. The guests surely shouldn't be underestimated not only because of the good results recently , still I'd be surprised if they came to sth here. I fancy the Over besides, @ 1.95 at sportingbet is fair enough actually. My worry though is that the guests don't score but this needn't mean anything as their play and scoring uses to be good enough.

[McFly]

Braunschweig (-1.25) AH @ 1.66 betdaq 6/10

Lübeck surprised with their wins over Emden away and over Düsseldorf before but it's quite a poor side just like table is telling us. They rather profited from the poor days of the opponents and often only can put fight into their game. Last weekend, Lübeck lost to also mediocre Wolfsburg at home. Braunschweig have been in very good shape and won four of last four home games being unbeaten in last five overall. Braunschweig didn't win clearly in the last few weeks but definatley have been potent enough to beat Lübeck in that way having scored 17 times in last ten games.

Kassel-Stuttgart Over 2.5 @ 1.95 betdaq 5/10

This should give a very intense game with Stuttgart having the more ambitous football. Hessen Kassel know how to produce pressure at home and may compensate it. Pressure is on them as two points seperate them from first table half. A winless run at home was stopped with the 3-1 over Pfullendorf but weak nerves let them loose the recent home game to Bayern II with 2-3. Form before has been okay and Kassel reliable scorers. Stuttgart have a class offense and surely will be a challenge though.

[McFly]

Reutlingen +0.25 AH @ 2.0 bet365 4/10

Elversberg are four points behind Reutlingen on 10 which is the place, Elversberg are still trying to achive. So, it's an important game for both in which I give the guests good chances to sneak sth. Elversberg late got beaten by Aalen recently, before, the wins over Burghausen at home and oer Oggersheim stopped a long winless run. Elversberg have slightly imporved but they have never reached the level the club had expected. Reutlingen are far more consitent and just beat in form Stuttgarter Kickers 3-1. Their away record is excellent with 6-6-3.

Double Oberhausen, Bayern 3/10

Oberhausen travel to Wolfsburg who just came to their first win after twelve. It needed to face Lübeck to do so, besides, the team couldn't show much more than a solid play partly. But they're rock bottom and they have lost clearly seven of eleven games. Table second Oberhausen impressingly hit back and won 3-2 over Emden after three games without having scored at all. But even in those games, Oberhausen have convinced widely and came to chances enough actually.

Bayern II should be too strong atm to beat Karlsruhe on the other side. They were excellent at Kassel and sneaked the win and also last home game was an impressing performance despite loosing it 1-3 to Stuttgart. The play of Bayern has improved a lot and they also come to more goals these days. As shaky as results of Karlsruhe are, as volatile are performances. Sometimes, they're capable of a solid play but the guests also have the problem to be pretty inefficient.

[888]

Been a while since I back my favorite side in the 3rd tier of Germany professional football. Gonna follow you on kicker mate

Anyway, rarely seen you place 7/10 bet. So I was just wondering, for Unteraching match history seems to favour under and both team seems to be not a goal scoring machine. So is it bad defence or something that makes you place high stake on this bet ? Just curious.

Thanks McFly for your insight, all the best

[McFly]

Originally Posted by 888

Been a while since I back my favorite side in the 3rd tier of Germany professional football. Gonna follow you on kicker mate

Anyway, rarely seen you place 7/10 bet. So I was just wondering, for Unteraching match history seems to favour under and both team seems to be not a goal scoring machine. So is it bad defence or something that makes you place high stake on this bet ? Just curious.

Thanks McFly for your insight, all the best

Hello 888, I hoped you would glance the Kickers pick... Hoping they don't let us down like they've done already.

yeah Haching tend to Unders rather but their play at home with scoring frequently and showing a big dominance and the guests as regular scorers should help the punt. Both teams belong to the teams who come to the most chances at home/on the road and besides, it's kind of a promotion clash with huge individual quality on both sides and the wil to play forward.

[McFly]

Originally Posted by McFly

Unterhaching (-0.5) AH @ 2.19 betdaq 3/10
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.97 betdaq 7/10

U'haching face the FSV Frankfurt what is one of the top games of this round. With 48 and 49 points, both have qualified for next year's thid league and even promotion spots are in reach. Two leagues differed these two teams last season but both have played a great season, the FSV actually even more consistent than Haching. But the host is unbeaten in last ten and often came to three points, they won five of seven last home games. They mostly scored twice at least at home and definately are a good force. Top striker Lechleiter is injured but Schweinsteiger returns and there is good substance in the front. The guests hardly did less impress and showed their strength on the road especially being unbeaten in nine there from which six were won even. After one of the very rare disappointing performances against 1860 (1-2), the FSV Frankfurt looked well recovered from that and sneaked one point from Stuttgart last weekend. They mostly ended their games with two goals totally in the last few weeks (five of seven without coneding), on the other hand are they reliable scorers and Haching should have the power to break them.

The Over through within 22 minutes!!

[McFly]

The Kickers let us down again...

Also the Braunschweig one was just a crazy game,twice down to Lübeck then up and 3-3 at the end.

Here's for a better round tomorrow.

[888]

Originally Posted by McFly

The Kickers let us down again...

Also the Braunschweig one was just a crazy game,twice down to Lübeck then up and 3-3 at the end.

Here's for a better round tomorrow.

Yeah kickers let us down again

Anyway don't be too disheartened McFly, you'll bounce back stronger

Fantastic over too on Unteraching, by early 20s money in the bank already

[McFly]

RW Ahlen (0) AH @ 1.77 bet365 6/10
Over 2.5 @ 2.02 betdaq 3/10

It prooved as right to keep backing Ahlen even though they got undderestimated for quite a time. The 5-1 over Düseldof was big football and the team is lloking like being on the way straight to second league. They're tavble second and can return to the very top with a drawat least. The attack is amazing with 65 goals yet and consistency of the guests is impressing being unbeaten in twelve. So Ahlen have been pretty succesful on the road but last away game was a disapoointment as they couldn't profit from two red cards for Oberhausen. The following hammering to Düsseldorf let one be confident of another good performance at least. Dortmund after a period of rather poor performances, made a few solid games recently. They were not bad at Düsseldorf despite the 0-4 defeat and to draw Oberhausen in last home game was a good effort. They've been without any goal in four of last five and defence in 2008 hasn't been as compact as in first season half. Ahlen will try to dominate with their good short-distance passing and home win is the outcome I expect the least.

RW Essen (-1) AH @ 1.86 betdaq 5/10

Rot-Weiß Essen for reason are made clear favourites. Current form is excellent while Hamburg have been playing a weak season. If Essen win this, they have realistic chances for first table half, there are a few roundsleft still. Wins over Cottbus and Werder have been the loan for good and extremely engaged football and they guys can play football. For Hamburg, season is over and that's how they've been playing loosing there of last four.

[McFly]

Kickers Emden (-0.25) AH @ 2.05 betdaq 4/10

The Kickers still ar the best home team with a record of 11-1-4 so that the recent defeat to Lübeck was a big upset. Emden started well but were shocked too much after conceding. The game at Oberhausen then got lost as well with 2-3 but the Kickers were strong and you can loose at table leader Oberhausen. Kickers Emden use to be powerful these days and I definately don't see them in bad shape. A win would be good for them as standing still is close. Düsseldorf again couldn't convince really even though they just hammered Dortmund. They were incredibly efficient and yes, they surely have class. But play stayed unstable and recent home defeats at Ahlen and Lübeck were mediocre games of the guests. Düsseldorf have a good away record overall but need to play at their best level to avoid a defeat, I reckon.

RW Erfurt (-1.5) AH @ 2.03 betdaq 5/10

Rot-Weiß Erfurt came to a 2-2 at Dresde which was late and thus unlucky despite a dominace from Dresden rather. Still, Erfurt can be proud of this as they had quite a few missings there from which three return into defence and midfield. Striker Bunjaku is still out though but the Coach ca field a potent side which won four of last home games clearly and in impressing manner. The SC Verl as promoter has done a good job overall but didn't come to enough points. They are worth respected in their home games but lack of confidence on the road what literally can be seen. It doesn't surprise as the guests lost last five away games.

[McFly]

Wuppertal @ 1.72 betfair 4/10

They are under pressure again after the 1-2 defeat to Werder and three draws before. Wuppertal could convince widely though, especially in the recent home draws to Essen and Union and the win over Erfurt. They had been on a longpoor run but on time became stronger to end season satisfying. That's why I see them up against a dangerous Cottbus team. They won last two away games at Union and Babelsberg but lost at home to Essen last weekend. I reckon, Wuppertal will profit from the individual class, at least they have been on eye line to strong teams in the last few weeks.

Ingolstadt (-0.25) AH @ 1.97 bet365 3/10
Over 2.5 @ 1.87 betdaq 4/10

Table leader Ingolstadt host Aalen on four with two points less. A draw would be enough for Aalen to climb on second promotion spot but therefor it takes better away perfomances than recently against Stuttgarter Kickers ad FSV Frankfurt, both games got lost clearly. They sometimes do hard coming into a game and a dominace of Ingolstadt might proove as fatal for them. Still, the guests can't be written off and may well contribute to the game. Igolstadt suffered a deserved defeat at Burgahausen and however this game will end, they will be among the best two in table. But of course, it would become close again for Ingolstadt and the new home strenth with four wins in last five will let them go for three points surely.

[shyslide]

Hi McFly, very nic going once again with the picks

[McFly]

cheers shyslide

Union-Dynamo Over 2.5 @ 2.0 stan james 6/10

Well I'm pretty confident to see goals tonight due to the two very strong attacks and the probably high importance of the game with 4 games left for each after this one. Even promotion race is not over both who can reduce gap to place 2 down to two and three points with a win possibly. Union lost a bit of power in the last few weeks, the 2-0 at Hamburg then was the first victory after three winless games. One of the rare rather weak performances happened in last home game where they defeated to Cottbus who are no mugs of course. Before, Union had had three tough away games against Braunschweig (2-2), Erfurt and Wuppertal which all were drawn, the two ladder ones ended 1-1. So stats rather speak against the bet considering also that Dynamo have been an Under team rather. Therefor, good odds are given us in a game that simply smells like Over. Dynamo Dresden have been in good shape and for that reason tiny favourites maybe. They just missed too much and thus came to a 2-2 against Erfurt only but their good shape and ever known strength also were shown on the road lately. Three of four were won and Unders and Dresden didn't concede any in last two away games. Striker Bröker is in good shape and it could be seen that Dynamo are putting more focus on the attack in their away games, now where they have to hold contact to the very top. They are standing for lively games actually while Union have been playing the better as more consistent up to now. Union can be very efficient and also always are good for goal with the outstanding Benyamnina up in the front. GL

[McFly]

Money quickly came in with the 4-2 of Union who can proceed hunting the top.

For Dynamo, the dream of 2.Bundesliga seems over. Only their attack convinced tonight.