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| | #2 (permalink) |
| Torn Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 12 Oct 2005 Location: Munich Age: 29
Posts: 5,369
| Düsseldorf (-1.5) AH @ 1.79 betdaq 6/10 Chances are small but Fortuna Düsseldorf still can achieve promotion with four points to place 2. They've been in quite good shape latley, the 1-1 at Braunschweig followed three wins in a row. Last thee home wins were clear ones and thanks to the good level ofthe play, Düsseldorf use to be forcing enough. Promoter Babelsberg are quite poor and are standing in table for reason. They just got hammered by Oberhausen, are winless in three and with only four goals in last eight games. Erfurt +1 @ 1.93 betdaq 3/10 & Over 3 @ 1.85 betdaq 5/10 Oberhausen-Erfurt smells like a few golas will be scored. I rather believe in home win but the AH odds represent value on Erfurt which I don't skip. With four points to Düsseldorf, Oberhausen can make promoion perfect with another home win. Form is great with four consecutive wins (12 goals scored) and four victories in last five home games. Two very potent offenses face each other and the guests should become a last, not to underestimate hurdle for Oberhausen. Erfurt are coming into this with two draws and three of those and two wins in last five (11 Erfurt goals). Recent home performance was one of rare weaker games, yet, if Erfurt loose this, a close defeat should be more likely than a clear home win. |
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| | #3 (permalink) |
| Torn Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 12 Oct 2005 Location: Munich Age: 29
Posts: 5,369
| Ahlen @ 2.1 bet365 4/10 & Over 2.75 betdaq 5/10 Good odds for Ahlen which are the result from the higher pressure on the guests. RW Ahlen only theouretically can be stopped anymore but will try to suceed like we know them, offensive and forcing. They've simply been the best side and could show this consistently. Ahlen are unbeaten in ten having won eight and each of last three. Only one Over happened in last five, overall though, Ahlen tend to lively games. Braunschweig are 3 points away from place 10 so that only a win helps them really. They surely are inconvenaient to play but don't have the level of the top teams. The guests are winless in last four (three draws) and drew three of four home games. Recent history from Braunschweig also don't speak for the Over but I think it's far more likely than the Under. Union Berlin @ 1.9 bet365 3/10 Well, Lübeck screw up many bets lately so that I keep it with moderate stake on Ahlen. Lübeck are defeatless in last three and won last home game over Babelsberg. Draws like the one at Erfurt lately deserve respect and there they also showed some solid football. So they're not easy to beat these days but of course can Union do it. Their results and especially efficiency have been the problem at home, on the road they won four of five. There are slight chances for promotion still but motivation uses to be no problem for Union. |
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| | #4 (permalink) |
| Torn Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 12 Oct 2005 Location: Munich Age: 29
Posts: 5,369
| FSV Frankfurt (-0.25) @ 1.84 betdaq 4/10 & Over 2.5 @ 1.79 betdaq 4/10 Table second meets the leader in a promotion clash close to season end. Ingolstadt are four points up to place three but the already "safe" promtion is in danger regarding this one and the last game against Unterhaching. Ingolstadt come on the back of a rather lucky 2-1 win ver 1860 but last two away games were lost and the etam looked not hungry enough there. We can expect them with more bite in this one even though I can imagine them to let the host come at first. FSV Frankfurt needn't hide from Ingolstadt and form definately speaks for them. Home weakness not, last two were not won and the record isn't good anyway. But they have been playing alright lately with two wins and one draw in last three. The brisance of the game and the class of the team speak for the Over besides. Unterhaching (-1) AH @ 2.01 betdaq 5/10 I quite like the price even though Elversberg are no mugs. But the guests have as good as no chances for next year's third league while Haching need a win to hold promotion dreams alive, good for them possibly that the first two are facing each other. Haching were hammered by incredibly efficient Frankfurt in last home game and so lost two of three. Haching show better performances at home though and a solid home win over rather toothless Elversberg should be makable. |
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| | #5 (permalink) |
| Torn Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 12 Oct 2005 Location: Munich Age: 29
Posts: 5,369
| Stuttgarter Kickers @ 2.0 betdaq 4/10 & Over 2.75 @ 1.8 betdaq 7/10 The Stuttgart derby promises a really interesting agme regarding shape of both. The Kickers need a victory to have realistic chances for the desperately needed qualification and I think they can be trusted to have what it takes therefor. They have been playing really well but recent home win over Haching was the first one after four winless games anyway. Last two games were Unders, the four before all Overs though. Stuttgart II are coming into this with the 5-0 and thus came to the first win aftert three winless matches. Obviously, offenses on both side should be respected and much speaks for a lot action. Aalen @ 2.37 bet365 5/10 Aalen lost last three games so taht it's normal that home odds are quite high now. The team can't be blamed for recent results really and at home, they know to dominate. Promiton will be hard to achieve being 5 points down but the three defeats alone should motivate them and club just declared to stand by coach Schmidt. Siegen are close below table middle line but with 2 points back and enough rivals in reach, the guests have all chances to qualify at the end. They come on the back of two wins but performances were not really good one and preference definately gotta go to the host. Siegen won three of last four away games, still I'd reckon chances for the home win to be 50% at least. |
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| | #6 (permalink) |
| Torn Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 12 Oct 2005 Location: Munich Age: 29
Posts: 5,369
| 1860 II (0) AH @ 1.82 bet365 4/10 Odds for 1860 still are value and given the five point gap to place 10, only a win counts for them. Same can be said about Regensburg though who are just above the line. The 5-2 of Jahn Regensburg at Aalen was a good effort and indeed have Jahn been playing than over most of second season half. Yet they defeated to Reutlingen in last round and the engaged 1860 team will get not easier to play probably. The host couldn't win last three home games and so had their big games on the road, still it's the same team and with the better football for weeks. Hessen Kassel @ 1.7 betfair 4/10 They play for nothing after three defeats in last four. The 0-3 to Sandhausen was a much better performance than the 1-6 to KSC before where as consequence the former coach had to go. I dont expect them to have a leazy afternoon, then they should beat Oggersheim. The table rock bottom was over rolled 7-0 by Bayern II recently. 9 defeats in a row look good going against them. |
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| | #7 (permalink) |
| Torn Punter ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Join Date: 12 Oct 2005 Location: Munich Age: 29
Posts: 5,369
| Dresden @ 1.93 4/10 & Over 2.75 @ 1.87 5/10, betdaq Another game in which I fancy the Over. Dresden are not through yet but not much cna happen to them in first table half anymore. They've shown good performances at Wuppertal and in the home win over Essen and I think preference has to go to them even though the guests ahardly are less powerful. They have been disappointing on the road though and lost last three having scored once only. Still, they always have to be considered in terms of scoring and three goals at least is looking likely to happen. RW Essen @ 3.25 bet365 3/10 & Over 2.75 @ 1.975 bet365 4/10 Magdeburg-RWE is a real final with Magdeburg standing one place above Essen. Both teams have been in quite good shape whereby I judge RWE as slightly stronger team gernerally. They had a few problems to break Verl last weekend but should have the slightly better cards for the win at the end so that there is some value in my eyes. Magdeburg could imrpove towards end and surprised with a 2-1 at Union Berlin. They can't go for a draw as there are numerous followers. I'm also having 5 points on the Over in Burghausen-Bayern. Both in quite good shape and good for goals. Besides, medium stake on Reutlingen (-1.25) who simply should be too much for Pfullendorf and a nibble of Cottbus (0) who are good value at even odds. Still thinking about Dortmund (-1.5) but actually that's more than enough bets... So lets hope for lots of goals especially, good luck all. ![]() |
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