Germany - 3rd leagues (16-18 May)

[McFly]

Friday 16 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Wuppertaler SV Borussia v Dynamo Dresden (17:30BST)	2.22	3.30	2.90	109.83 %	Details »
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Saturday 17 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
1. FC Union Berlin v 1. FC Magdeburg (13:00BST)	1.90	3.20	3.60	111.41 %	Details »
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Eintracht Braunschweig v Fortuna Düsseldorf (13:00BST)	2.40	3.25	2.70	109.47 %	Details »
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Kickers Emden v Borussia Dortmund II (13:00BST)	2.20	3.30	3.20	107.01 %	Details »
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Rot-Weiss Essen v SC Verl (13:00BST)	1.35	4.50	7.00	110.58 %	Details »
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VfL Wolfsburg II v Rot-Weiß Ahlen (13:00BST)	7.50	4.50	1.33	110.56 %	Details »
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Sunday 18 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Rot-Weiß Erfurt v VfB Lübeck (13:00BST)	1.40	4.50	7.50	106.98 %	Details »
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SV Babelsberg 03 v Rot-Weiß Oberhausen (13:00BST)	4.30	3.50	1.83	106.37 %	Details »
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Werder Bremen II v Hamburger SV II (13:00BST)	1.40	4.00	6.50	111.81 %	Details »

Friday 16 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Stuttgart Kickers v SpVgg Unterhaching (18:00BST)	2.40	3.40	2.55	110.29 %	Details »
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Sportfreunde Siegen v Wacker Burghausen (18:30BST)	2.42	3.30	2.65	109.36 %	Details »
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Saturday 17 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
FC Ingolstadt 04 v TSV 1860 München II (13:00BST)	1.61	3.60	4.50	111.90 %	Details »
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Karlsruher SC II v VfB Stuttgart II (13:00BST)	1.69	1.93	1.69	170.16 %	Details »
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KSV Hessen Kassel v SV Sandhausen (13:00BST)	2.40	3.20	2.60	111.38 %	Details »
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SC Pfullendorf v VfR Aalen (13:00BST)	3.80	3.30	1.90	109.00 %	Details »
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SSV Jahn Regensburg v SSV Reutlingen (13:00BST)	2.25	3.20	2.80	111.41 %	Details »
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SV 07 Elversberg v FSV Frankfurt (13:00BST)	2.60	3.20	2.40	111.38 %	Details »
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Sunday 18 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
FC Bayern München II v FSV Oggersheim (14:00BST)	1.16	6.00	11.00	111.47 %	Details »

[McFly]

There is definately value on the Stuttgarter Kickers who should be slight favourite actually. Don't know yet if I take them straight for @ 2.6 around, Asians are not yet available. Haching with the better results lately but this should be a game on eye line with slight tendency to the Kickers possibly. The Over also looks good, Haching have been offensive on the road lately and the Kickers surely can break them.

Fancy Burghausen in a way, probably Burghausen +0.25 or the DNB are the best bets here even though also Siegen desperately need the points.

Wuppertal-Dresden also smells like Over. Two powerful teams, Dresden with the stronger defense but offense of Wuppertal has what it takes. Value is on Dresden though but I'm hestitating to go against Wuppertal.

[McFly]

Stuttgarter Kickers (0) AH @ 2.13 betdaq 4/10
Over 2.5 @ 1.9 sportingbet 5/10

Might be dangerous to back Unterhaching in this one. Of course also the Kickers have to win this first but as said is value on them rather. The host is winless in three though, yet did they keep up their good shape in terms of performances. Recent home defeat to 1860 was very unlucky while more than the draw was possible for the Kickers to FSV Frankfurt. As a result, gap to place is three-point big so that we can expect an aggressive and forcing home side. Unterhaching are still fighting for promotion thanks to three wins in four. The guests have been very succeful on the road lately with four wins in last five. It might give a similar game to Haching's last away game to offensive Stuttgart where Haching profited well from the given space. The guests are still weakened in offense but still forcing with Kolomaznik up in the front by example. They're definately a hard nut for the Kikcers but I see the host as slight favourite overall. I haven't been succesful with Overs last weekend but I fancy it here as well and give it a go.

At the end, I keep away from Siegen-Burgahausen. While Burghausen already can be quite sure of qualification, Siegen desperately need the poinst being 2 points behind place 10 currently. Recent form rather speaks for the gustes to sneak sth from this one, on the other hand, I don't know how engaged Burghausen will be really tonight. Siegen have a good morale and might fight them down despite the lacking creativity in their play partly.

[McFly]

Wuppertal-Dresden Over 2.5 @ 1.8 stan james 4/10

Wuppertal had two impressing comebacks where Cottbus and Hamburg got beaten at the end in spite of having been down at HT. The host has been in good shape with one defeat only in last seven and especially offense is working again while defense always is a risk for them. Both teams are as good as qualified, so to secure this and the slight promotion hopes of both should bring the needed motivation for the teams. Dresden have been engaged and succesful recently on the road and won three of two. Also the guests can be trusted to come to scoing so that I expect three goals to happen at least.

[McFly]

Kickers Emden (-0.25) AH @ 1.85 bet365 5/10

Kickers Emden are three points above the middle line but with one game more played though. Dortmund are just one place behind Emden so that the guests have the same motivation. It takes some courage to back Emden after four consecutive defeats but besides defense in recent game in Ahlen, performances haven't been bad ones and they faced tough opponents besides Lübeck. Dortmund with two defeats and one draw recently can't be called an in form team as well and team strengthes favour the usualyy strong home side which are paid quite well. Hopes on both sides are on returning Emden goalgetter Vujanovic and Dortmund playmaker Ricken.

Ingolstadt @ 1.7 sportingbet 4/10

Acceptable price for Ingolstadt, also because of the good results from the guests on the road. Table leader Ingolstadt need two more wins to make promotion perfect, They are coming into this with the away defeat to Reutlingen which prooved as expectted tough game. The more important game had been the recent home win over rival Aalen, Ingolstadt became more stable at home towards season end. 1860 have chances to finish season in first table half due to three consecutive away wins in which they beat mighty Frankfurt, Stuttgarter Kickers and Stuttgart II. So this is a heavy point against the home win, yet are Ingolstadt favourite, of course.

[McFly]

FSV Frankfurt (-0.25) AH @ 1.87 bet365 4/10

No easy away game for the FSV as Elversberg still can reach place ten in the last three games. Frankfurt even may promote but regarding the numerous close followers, probably two or three wins are needed to hold place. The guests have been very strong on the road and shape of the strong promoter is still good. Elversberg can't put focus on defense again like in the 0-0 at 1860 but they come on the back of two home wins. Overall though, season of Elversberg has been disappointing and we have to expect the better football from the guests.

Aalen @ 1.81 bluesq 4/10

Aalen away hardly can be relied upon, on the other hand are fighting Pfullendorf a makable task after all. The guests need to get back on track after two defeats in a row and now two points to second place. The home defeat to Regensburg happened even though or even because of the high pace in first half so that Aalen were tired in second half. Well, Aalen also lost last three away games but the usualy good football of them is more important to me here. Pfullendorf at the end of a poor season at least finish season in a solid manner so that last home game vs. Oggersheim was one of the rare wins. Pfullendorf may be inconvenaient for Aalen but still I fancy the guests who should put into what they have in this.

[McFly]

KSC-VfB Over 2.5 @ 1.87 betdaq 5/10

Odds have dropped for this Over what can be understand considering the play of the two teams. Karlsruhe just hammered Kassel 6-1 lately and so finally profited from the often convincing performances. Play can be ambitous and the team very dangerous but their volatileness costed them a better season. It might be dangerous to back the guests who have the better and more consistent side but a better choice should be the Over. Stuttgart are winless in three even though performances were okay widely. They are proper to be taken for Over bets and having Karlsruhe on the other side, this may become a nice and high-scoring game with two potent attacks.

Union Berlin @ 1.85 betfair 4/10

Three wins in a row have given Union chances for promotion, with four points less they are under pressure to win also the remaining three. After four winless home games, Union found back on track there and nicely won over Dresden lately. Magdeburg are no mugs and usually show a good morale having still chances for place 10. The 3-3 to Erfurt was a class game after Magdeburg had heavily disapointined in Babelsberg before. We can expect them as dangerous but usually not that forcing like Union can be.

[McFly]

RW Ahlen (-1.5) AH @ 1.75 betdaq 5/10

Not much to say here having mediocre Wolfsburg on the one side and furios Ahlen on the other. Wolfsburg have had a nice play at best and as good as never cause any danger. With a win, Ahlen are hard to get under the promotion line in the last three games and it should become a clear win actually. The guests are weakened a little but I take this into account here.

RW Essen (-1.25) AH @ 1.87 betdaq 4/10

Three wins in a row from Essen got followed by a close defeat at Dresden where Essen were on eye line quite much. With three points to place 10, Essen will storm today and given the excellent shape of the last few weeks, I have no doubt that they beat Verl today. Verl with four lost games in a row and also with some solid football partly should be makable considering the normally passive away performances.

[McFly]

Braunschweig (-0.25) AH @ 2.13 betdaq 4/10

Good value on this bet even though Braunschweig Coach Möllemann surprisingly quit this week after the defeat to Oberhausen. After huge probelms in first season half, Braunschweig have become quite strong and only two games were lost in 2008. Form has been consistently good and nothing can be said agaist recent performances also even though the host is winless in last three. They just missed to win the important games, maybe they're more lucky with that today. Fortuna Düsseldorf are in promotion race but I see them on eye line to Brauschweig at best. Last three games were won but Düsseldorf mostly struggled on the road despite the alright record there and I reckon they need one of their best performances here to stop a Braunschweig which rather are looking to be on fire actually. The Over also should have good chances but I'm not sure if Düsseldorf can profit from the leaky defense of the host.

Besides, I'm considering Reutligen +0.25. Jahn Regensburg with a great win at Aalen but it will get hard for them to break Reutlingen. Hessen Kassel is also tempting me but they were shocked for the whole Karlsruhe game and so on a poor run now with the consequence that the coach had to go. Sandhausen also shouldn't be underestimated, yet I'm leaning towards home win. Good luck.

[sharpshot7]

Excellent as usual mcfly

Here's hoping you can turn around your recent form today (some unusual results in germany recently)

I'm was already on Ahlen -1.5 and Essen -1.25 so good to see you tipping them also.

[Gitarra]

Originally Posted by McFly

Kickers Emden (-0.25) AH @ 1.85 bet365 5/10

Kickers Emden are three points above the middle line but with one game more played though. Dortmund are just one place behind Emden so that the guests have the same motivation. It takes some courage to back Emden after four consecutive defeats but besides defense in recent game in Ahlen, performances haven't been bad ones and they faced tough opponents besides Lübeck. Dortmund with two defeats and one draw recently can't be called an in form team as well and team strengthes favour the usualyy strong home side which are paid quite well. Hopes on both sides are on returning Emden goalgetter Vujanovic and Dortmund playmaker Ricken.

Ingolstadt @ 1.7 sportingbet 4/10

Acceptable price for Ingolstadt, also because of the good results from the guests on the road. Table leader Ingolstadt need two more wins to make promotion perfect, They are coming into this with the away defeat to Reutlingen which prooved as expectted tough game. The more important game had been the recent home win over rival Aalen, Ingolstadt became more stable at home towards season end. 1860 have chances to finish season in first table half due to three consecutive away wins in which they beat mighty Frankfurt, Stuttgarter Kickers and Stuttgart II. So this is a heavy point against the home win, yet are Ingolstadt favourite, of course.

I am not sure for Ingolstadt,Demir,Jungwirth and Neuendorg suspended and 2 player inj,1860 will play with some prof players and i see value on 1860...

[McFly]

Originally Posted by sharpshot7

Excellent as usual mcfly

Here's hoping you can turn around your recent form today (some unusual results in germany recently)

I'm was already on Ahlen -1.5 and Essen -1.25 so good to see you tipping them also.

Cheers mate, it was a little better today. Ahlen surely was annoying for us and two scenes Ive seen from the game were just unlucky. The Ahlen guys don't care much though, they made promotion into 2.Bundesliga perfect...

[McFly]

I like Oberhausen very much, am writing a short reasoning. Besides the Erfurt AH looks good.

[McFly]

Oberhausen @ 1.72 bluesq 7/10

Much speaks for the strong guests to come close to promotion with a win here which is makable comparing the teams. Oberhausen as table second can increase gap to the follows to 4 points with two remaining games. They've been in excellent shape and won last three having scored nine. Both have promoted last season but table shows the difference. Babelsberg didn't scored in six of seven games and my confidence for them in this game hardly could be lower.

Erfurt (-1.25) AH @ 1.78 betdaq 7/10

Another game I'm very confident with a winner. Odds are quite high and caused by a few Lübeck upsets but the guests stayed a limited side. A win over Babelsberg doesn't say much, the admittedly good looking wins over Emden and Düsseldorf a few weeks ago deserve respect but not more. Erfurt on the other side already scored 69 times, last four games were clearly won with 13 scored goals. RW Erfurt use to be reliable also in terms of betting and some good money should be possible with them here as well.

[McFly]

Werder (-1) AH @ 1.82 bet365 5/10

Werder II sometimes are shaky but generally the well know powerful side while Hamburg have lost much strength compared to the succesful previous season. Class is not big enough to dominate and attack like actually know from them and in this one, they miss a few from first team in addition. Hamburg lost last four and most games anyway so that this one might be a more or less comfortable win for Werder.

Bayern II are very strong currently, they should easily beat Oggersheim. I'm not sure though if the AH (-2) makes much sense as Oggersheim sometimes play not that bad.