Germany - 3rd league (Mar 14-16)

[McFly]

Friday 14 March 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Kickers Emden v Werder Bremen II (18:30GMT)	2.20	3.55	3.50	102%	Details »
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Saturday 15 March 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Ahlen v Hamburger SV II (13:00GMT)	2.00	3.35	4.35	103%	Details »
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Braunschweig v RW Essen (13:00GMT)	2.18	3.40	3.55	103%	Details »
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Dortmund II v Energie Cottbus II (13:00GMT)	1.67	3.50	5.00	108%	Details »
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Lübeck v Magdeburg (13:00GMT)	3.80	3.30	2.05	105%	Details »
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Oberhausen v Verl (13:00GMT)	1.55	3.90	6.75	105%	Details »
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Sunday 16 March 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Babelsberg v Union Berlin (12:30GMT)	3.60	3.30	2.03	107%	Details »
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Wolfsburg II v Wuppertal (13:00GMT)	5.00	3.50	1.70	107%	Details »

Friday 14 March 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
1860 München II v Sandhausen (18:00GMT)	3.15	3.60	2.42	101%	Details »
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Ingolstadt 04 v Pfullendorf (18:30GMT)	1.59	4.30	6.80	101%	Details »
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Saturday 15 March 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Aalen v Burghausen (13:00GMT)	1.96	3.30	3.85	107%	Details »
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Elversberg v Siegen (13:00GMT)	2.30	3.35	3.45	102%	Details »
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FSV Frankfurt v Karlsruhe II (13:00GMT)	1.70	3.95	6.00	101%	Details »
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Regensburg v Stuttgart II (13:00GMT)	2.45	3.25	2.70	109%	Details »
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Stutt Kickers v Bayern München II (13:00GMT)	2.30	3.25	3.00	108%	Details »
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Unterhaching v Hessen Kassel (13:00GMT)	1.80	3.75	4.80	103%	Details »
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Sunday 16 March 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Reutlingen v Oggersheim (14:00GMT)	1.38	4.33	8.50	107%	Details »

[McFly]

1860 II @ 3.15 betfair 3/10
I think the straight win is value. Promter Sandhausen with an excellent season so far standing near the top. They could rely on defence and also luck, I don't think quality is enough to stay around very top. Considering this, the 0-1 home defeat from last weekend to reutlingen was no big surprise at least. 1860 II is a pretty ambitous side, 1860 use to have a promising youth. They defeated to KSC II closely last weekend without having disappointed. They surely have what is takes for a small upset here, still they hope for a few players from first team.

Aalen @ 1.96 betdaq 5/10
Aalen hammered Oggersheim 6-0 last weekend and thus stopped a run of draws to finally attack table top again. Aalen are one of the best teams and definately of more quality than Burghausen. The guests are solid overall and also belong to the first third of teams in terms of strength. They started well into this year with a draw at Stuttgart II and a close win over Oggersheim. I don't expect them to survive this one though.

[McFly]

FSV Frankfurt HT/FT @ 2.75 PaddyPower 2/10
Hardly another line represents any value in this one considering the home side has only 3 home wins reached so far (3-6-2). They're overdue to win there again, not only on the road where the FSV has been very succesful. The home team didn't perform poorly in previous home games, overall form is quite impressing. In recent home win, they gave away an early 2-0 lead to draw it 2-2 at the end. Karlsruhe II managed to beat 1860 II and finally showed more efficiency. They know how to play football but don't have the class of the home team. Frankfurt lead 6 times at HT in 10 games, 5 from them got won at the end also.

Unterhaching @ 1.81 betdaq 4/10
Haching only drew 1-1 to Siegen midweeks but again they prooved the powerful play they use to have in home games at least. The 3 prevoius home games were won by nil each. Hessen Kassel is an average team with a solid defence. They didn't loose previous 2 away games and last 4 overall but lost 6 on the road already.

[McFly]

Regensburg (-0.25) AH @ 2.21 betdaq 4/10
Regensburg host table leader Stuttgart II but I have more confidence in the home team. They convinced at Elversberg (2-0) and Ingolstadt despite the 1-3 defeat. Offense got strengthened, defence is alright anyway. Recent home record looks not promising but Regensburg play good football there. Stuttgart II of course are a good side but with hardly impressing performances in recent past, winning 1/5 only (last 3 away games lost).

Elversberg v Siegen Over 2.25 goals @ 1.97 3/10
The huge odds for the Over are understandable regarding the Unders both have played so far. Situations change though and both sides are under huge pressure to win ground to qualifiy for the next year's league, what is vital for most team. Elversberg had a poor start but an ambitous and again strengthened squad. They can be expected to improve in offense sooner or later, just like Siege. The guests just drew to Haching and have a good defence. Play has improved and I actually expect them to score as well.

[McFly]

Ahlen @ 2.0 betdaq 5/10
After 3 wins in a row, Ahlen drew at Cottbus last weekend without having disappointed though. They deserve to be backed further after what they have shown us with 17 goals scored in last 7 games. Offense gained more quality and the drive of the team can be felt literally. Hamburg II submitted the downtrend and defeated clearly to Düsseldorf after the heavy 1-5 at Oberhausen. The team still has class but never reached the quality of previous season. A stake of 5/10 may be a little high but even odds are good value when available. Looks overish besides but I don't trust Hamburg really to participate in scoring.

Braunschweig @ 2.2 betdaq 3/10 & Over 2.5 @ 2.16 betda 3/10
No easy game for Braunschweig in uptrend but given their good shape, they can beat Essen also. A 2-2 at Union Berlin deserves respect but the run of 4 wins in a row got stopped so (11-6 goals in last 5 games). Essen have been under performing even longer than the host. They managed a 3-0 win over Wolfsburg II and stopped the winless run of 4 games without having netted at all. I'd say developement of Braunschweig is more mature yet but they are still good for both, scoring and conceding. Also Essen shouldn't be underestimated.

[McFly]

Double Ingolstadt, Oberhausen
Both teams in good shape and clear favourites in their games. Ingolstadt straight odds are too short, Pfullendorf ain't that bad and should improve in table. But regarding the form of Ingolstadt, anything but a home win would surprise of course. Furios Oberhausen host Verl which are hardly a threat on the road.

[McFly]

Union Berlin @ 2.02 betdaq 4/10
Babelsberg luckily came to a draw at Erfurt but the promoter is a team which Union surely can beat. Union simply have better players and even though Babelsberg convinced at home rather, the away win looks likely. Union are on their way up in table and could be stopped only by Braunschweig and Ahlen in recent past (both draws).

[allthethings]

Germany Regionalia
Soccer - Ahlen/Hamburger A - total Over 2½ (-125)
for the regulation time held on Mar 15 at 8:00am [pending]

Soccer - FSV Frankfurt/Karlsruher Am - total Over 2½ (+107)
for the regulation time held on Mar 15 at 8:00am [pending]

Soccer - Dortmund A/Cottbus A - total Over 2 (+109)
for the regulation time held on Mar 15 at 8:00am [pending]

The first pick is real, the other two are lower-league total public fades...games start in five minutes...