Germany - 2.Bundesliga (18 May 08)

[McFly]

Sunday 18 May 2008	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
1. FC Kaiserslautern v 1. FC Köln (13:00BST)	1.61	4.00	5.25	105.95 %	Details »
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1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC St. Pauli (13:00BST)	1.35	4.50	8.50	108.06 %	Details »
Hide « 1. FSV Mainz 05 v FC St. Pauli
Alemannia Aachen v TuS Koblenz 1911 e.V. (13:00BST)	1.93	3.60	4.30	102.85 %	Details »
Hide « Alemannia Aachen v TuS Koblenz 1911 e.V.
FC Augsburg 1907 v FC Carl Zeiss Jena (13:00BST)	1.44	4.50	7.50	104.79 %	Details »
Hide « FC Augsburg 1907 v FC Carl Zeiss Jena
FC Erzgebirge Aue v TSV 1860 München (13:00BST)	2.25	3.25	3.10	107.47 %	Details »
Hide « FC Erzgebirge Aue v TSV 1860 München
SC Freiburg v SV Wehen Wiesbaden (13:00BST)	1.41	4.50	7.00	107.43 %	Details »
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SC Paderborn 07 v Borussia Mönchengladbach (13:00BST)	3.25	3.30	2.25	105.52 %	Details »
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TSG 1899 Hoffenheim v SpVgg Greuther Fürth (13:00BST)	1.41	4.50	7.00	107.43 %	Details »
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VfL Osnabrück v Offenbacher FC Kickers 1901 e.V. (13:00BST)	2.10	3.40	3.50	105.60 %	Details »
Hide « VfL Osnabrück v Offenbacher FC Kickers 1901 e.V.

[anabelle]

Aue players play for new contracts . 1860 players vacations and have in chaos situation in the club.
aue can win here
what u think

[ScorpioRed]

If I am right, Koblenz is safe - even in the worst scenario they have the best goal difference from all the relegation candidates (Osnabruck and Offenbach) and considering Kaiserslautern & Augsburg will win and go up in the table).

In the worst case they will have the same amount of points, but goal difference counts. They have goal difference bigger then 10 goals.

Alemannia Aachen is in a perfect form, playing at home... and odds at 1.80 for them are just TASTY!

[El_Tren]

Tough picks all around.
None of my picks are to be trusted, since even I have almost no faith in my abilities to pick 2. Bundesliga games

I like Freiburg against Wehen, Freiburg on a nice run and still with an outside shot at promotion and Wehen has been terrible for a while now.

Aue does seem like the better side than 1860, but they haven't been so hot recently either.

Augsburg seems like a lock to beat Jena, too, and might still be good bet despite the steep price. Jena without Jan Simak has been totally useless (not surprisingly).

Aachen v Koblenz, I like the over3 -127. Neither of these teams has been particularly high scoring, but with little to play for, i'd expect a wide open game. Might bet Aachen too.

Hoffenheim v Furth, under3 +128. Furth is pretty tight on the road, and Hoffenheim can't play a very open game, so unless there's an early goal, the under seems good.

Think I'll put 50 on each of these so that i can be even more excited about watching tomorrow

[anabelle]

waiting for mc fly

[winorloose]

Kaiserslautern - Köln
I know that Kaiserslautern is in must win situation and Köln has secured the promotion, but normally the odds of Köln should be 2,50...3,00 or something, now 6,00! I think the bookies have little overrated the motivation now?

[McFly]

Double Augsburg, Freiburg 4/10

Along Osnabrück and K'lautern, Augsburg are the most threatened side but with a game they should win without worrying too much. Augsburg come on the back of three defeats though what can be understood when regarding the good names of the faced teams. It has been a rather poor season for Augsburg but they have done okay in their home games and also made a good game at Fürth recently (2-3). Jena showed improved and still fighting in the home draw to Kaiserslautern and we can expect resistance at least. But to avoid a defeat to aggressive Augsburg will cost them a big effort, I guess.

Freiburg still with the chance to promote but with small chances as Hoffenheim and Mainz both mustn't win their games. After the 0-1 to Offenbach at home, Freiburg won 3-2 in M'gladbach thanks to the counter play. This is a similar game to Offenbach now, yet do I expect less problems. Freiburg used to be strong at home while promoter Wehen lost pace in second season half. Wehen are winless in three and lost last five away games.

[McFly]

Aachen @ 1.8 bet365 5/10

Alemannia Aachen have shown an impressing going despite playing for not much anymore. They even won at St Pauli and Mainz while at home, Aachen have been reliable anyway winning last three games. No doubt that it's hard to play them, sadly it took a long way to get there for the tradition club this season. The late point against Aue might proove as vital for Koblenz as nothing can happen them anymore due to Osnabrück facing Offenbach. The team deserves respect for having become eager again after the penalty of now 6 points as it got reduced strangely. But Koblenz have made their good games at home rather coming on the back of four defeats. The team is still weakened and also Daham suspended now what also indicates on home win.

Mönchengladbach @ 2.25 PaddyPower 5/10

This line also should be value, I believe Gladbach will end the excellent season with a win after the rather unlucky 2-3 to Freiburg. It only speaks for them that they kept up winnig at the beginning of second season half despite having been in rather poor shape but that's past as the football of the last few weeks was amazing. Marin, Neuville and Ndjeng will all be pushed through their nomiations and I'm pretty sure that the Borussia will push today. Paderborn are relegated but did they perform quite well recently and they can be trusted to say goodbye with another engaged performance at least. Three of four home games were won and the fact that Paderborn survived until the end alone deserved recognition. Still, they face the champion tonight and I don't expect them to avoid a last defeat.

[McFly]

Aue (-0.25) AH @ 1.85 bet365 5/10

While Aue submitted the uptrend till the end, 1860 had only two more or less solid games in recent past and those were at home. 1860 were close to beat Osnabrück but lacking efficiency has often been the problem. Only Bierofka and Göktan are causing danger and the club leadership didn't react on the thin squad during winter. For reason, 1860 are the worst league team this year and they can be happy that they broke in relatively late. After all, the team has quality but no doubt that offense from Aue has made much more pleasure in the last few weeks and is just more powerful atm. The relegation of Aue is sure now but they gave all and already looked like the sure winner in Koblenz and despite all problems over the season have Erzgebirge shown good morale. In last home game, Jena were hammered and the host had been quite potent before already.

[McFly]

I agree with winorloose, Köln odds are a little high to say it modestly. I favour Lautern slightly, just because of their good form and the huge threat they're into, nevertheless Köln have been the stronger and far more succsful team and I don't think they will go for a walk only. Kaiserslautern can't rely on the teams above them and need to go for another win. So a serious situation for the big club with all consequences in case of failure. The team made a passive impression in first half against Jena where they missed to come to a better position. Recent home games have been alright and we will probably a very engaged host again. The odds an the game in general let me bet on the outcome in a strange way. I just tip, Lautern nick it somehow, on the other hand there's definately value on Köln. It should be a good over bet also, it just smells like enough action for a real clash. The draw should be unlikely in a sooner or later offensive game that might get dangerous for Lautern.

Over 3 goals @ 1.85 betdaq 5/10
K'lautern (-1) HC Tie @ 3.5 bet365 2/10
Köln DNB @ 4.0 bet365 2/10

[lurie]

mcfly!

in which game do you think the over is most probebly?
and i want to know please, if any team gonna rest some players?
do koln fielding their best eleven?

thanks

[system1]

tnx mcfly you are great

[McFly]

Hoffenheim HT/FT @ 2.0 PaddyPower 3/10
Total Goals 4+ @ 2.5 bluesq 3/10

I like the idea of goals also in Hoffenheim-Fürth where I don't expect Greuther Fürth do put focus on defense really, or at least only when they are forced to do so. Promoter Hoffenheim have the chance to make history, also because of the small size of the 'village' Hoffenheim. Coach Rangnick already was succesful with a little less decisive games and the preparations for them. Hoffenheim had problems in Offenbach what needn't say too much and played two good home games recently. They can do it and I think we will see Hoffenheim on fire. Fürth defense has been shaky partly and also offense of Fürth lost their power. Still, the guests always deserve respect and may give Hoffenheim an unexpected tough final hurdle. Odds don't represent this and the best option for to go for a strong Hoffenheim right away.


Osnabrück-Offenbach Over 2.5 @ 1.83 stan james 4/10

The best paid over I think which surely contains the risk that Offenbach would be happy with a draw and even for Osnabrück this might be enough to hold the league. On the other hand, the game can become dynamic and both teams prooved to be forcing even though Osnabrück lacked of scoring in recent games. They were close to beat Fürth though and are mostly powerful in their home games. I'm leaning towards Osnabrück but value might be on Offenbach even. The guests can be confident after the 1-0 win from Freiburg and the draw to Hoffenheim. Maybe they play defenseive like in Freiburg but I wouldn't be surprised to see them scoring.


Won't have a bet on Mainz-St Pauli probably, simply no value. Hard to say if Mainz might struggle again, any outcome including a clear win seems realistic. But Mainz still have had a lacking creativity and depend too much on Gunkel, so at the end there have been a few stronger teams.

BOL

[McFly]

Originally Posted by lurie

mcfly!

in which game do you think the over is most probebly?
and i want to know please, if any team gonna rest some players?
do koln fielding their best eleven?

thanks

I like the Köln Over the most. Köln are expected with best team and aslo generally, faces of the teams will hardly differ. Offenbach are still without forward Bancé, Hoffenheim without Eduardo. Fiel and Kuqi both are not fit yet for their teams Aachen and Koblenz.

[retafo]

@McFly

Overath and the club of Cologne will do everything to motivate the team. Köln has very very good relations to offenbach because of Müller the president of Offenbach and former Cologne striker idol.

If the team wil be motivated enough and is able to deliver is a different question but also the fan relations are not very friendly. So the support is also there for cologne in lautern with a lot of Köln fans traveling to lautern.

If the Köln team is willing it will be very hard for lautern because of their must win situation against a strong counter attack team. So value is on Köln but the stats of Köln mathces after we archived promotion speaks a different language.
I bet small on Cologne and even smaller on Cologne HT/FT. I really earned a lot with cologne during the last weeks. So this bet is reasonable.

I played Aachen big because of their form and they will try to archive another victory at home to archive a nice ending of a disapointing saison

[McFly]

Originally Posted by retafo

@McFly

Overath and the club of Cologne will do everything to motivate the team. Köln has very very good relations to offenbach because of Müller the president of Offenbach and former Cologne striker idol.

If the team wil be motivated enough and is able to deliver is a different question but also the fan relations are not very friendly. So the support is also there for cologne in lautern with a lot of Köln fans traveling to lautern.

If the Köln team is willing it will be very hard for lautern because of their must win situation against a strong counter attack team. So value is on Köln but the stats of Köln mathces after we archived promotion speaks a different language.
I bet small on Cologne and even smaller on Cologne HT/FT. I really earned a lot with cologne during the last weeks. So this bet is reasonable.

I played Aachen big because of their form and they will try to archive another victory at home to archive a nice ending of a disapointing saison

Spot on and cheers for your insights. yeh I had the relation to the FCK in mind but even without I don't doubt Köln will give a solid performance. Good to have another motive with Offenbach and pushing Overath. As you say, as longer as Lautern are not up, the more dangerous will Köln become. Must say I was also pleased with the latest Köln performances and it's great to have them back where they belong to.

[nicko]

@ McFly
Good luck with your picks today, hope you get them all. Thanks for all the effort this season, I am happy enough Cologne are back, hope Hoff don't screw up too.

[McFly]

Originally Posted by nicko

@ McFly
Good luck with your picks today, hope you get them all. Thanks for all the effort this season, I am happy enough Cologne are back, hope Hoff don't screw up too.

hey nicko, cheers. thanks for your efforts as well, it's people like you who make threads sth special. I'd also love to see Hoffenheim really make it, would be three cool teams going up then!

[retafo]

It was a very hard season but in the ned the team really showed a very strong performance and after watched the match against Hoffenehim my confidence was really high.

Normaly i would not bet on cologne in such a situation but becuase of the last matches and the special situation this time it is worth but with limited stake sthat do not hurt but offer a really nice return because in the end Köln remains Köln

[nicko]

Just like France last night it looks like there will be Overs all over.
ATT, this could have been our day

And Hoff are now up, dream season for a small club and a generous President