East Europe Weekend 28/4 - 1/5

[McFly]

Excellent write-ups, Cease. as good as your reputation!

I hope you will get things sorted and claim profit again.

Best wishes mate!

[kamei34]

Serbia&Montenegro, first league


Jedinstvo - Zeta


Tree more rounds to go in Serbia&Montenegro first league.

Jedinstvo already relegated long time ago. They are dead last on the table, but teams have to put nice efort to win at their stadium.

Zeta is fighting for Intertoto place , but away they are very weak this year. Their record away from home is 2-2-9. 9-22 goal dif.

Zeta had a rather poor last period, and they aren't at his best for sure.

This is a game between two Montenegrin clubs, and although Zeta is by far more better and organized club, hometeam despite all will be fired up and will try not to loose this game.

I think home team can stay undefeated, and odds are incredible value.

I suggest homewin, betandwin@10.25 and draw, betandwin@5.00. Each bet unit or two.

GL~

[Lancaster]

Varteks - Kamen Ingrad

Varteks simply doesn't have luck when it comes to final matches for the title or the cup. They were destroyed by Rijeka at wednesday. Mainly because of stupid move by their playmaker & one of the best player, Safaric who stopped the ball on the goal line with his hand in 3rd(!) minute so he left his teammates being demolished on the field with 4 goals. Because of handball, Safaric won't play in today's match against Kamen.

Kamen is coming to Varazdin without pressure since their main goal was to secure play-off spot. I'd say they are playing just for fun. Mujcin, probably their best player is out for this match.

4:0 is probably still ringing in heads of Varteks players and yet, they have another cup match to play against Rijeka. Draw, small stakes.

X 3/10

Osijek - Hajduk

Clash for the Intertoto spot. If Osijek wins, Hajduk will probably say farewell to Euro cups. If Hajduk draws or wins, they are still in the race for Euro cups. Osijek with full squad. Turkovic(ex-Hajduk player) will likely start from the 1st minute.

Hajduk in problems, they miss almost whole defence for this match(it's worth mentioning that 37(!!) players played in first team this season). Coach Bonacic had to improvise with the defence, so first eleven doesn't look that bad after all. Only one youngster, Toni Pezo, will start from the first minute on a defensive midfield position. Defence will look like this: Bartulovic - Gal - Miladin - Blatnjak. Bartilovic & Blatnjak are naturally wingers, but Bonacic rather decided to use exepirience in defence instead of young talents. NT goalkeeper Pletikosa is also out for this match, but accoridng to newspapers he will be replaced by Vladimir Balic who is in very good form.

Very important match for both sides. I doubt we'll see much goals here. 5th draw? Why not...

X 3/10

Rijeka - Dinamo

Rijeka on fire, Vugrinec probably in his life form. Yes, they demolished both Hajduk & Varteks with 4:0 result, but thing is, Varteks played whole game with 10 players, while Hajduk was with 10 players for almost whole second half-time. And it's easy for such an expirienced team like Rijeka to use uncovered gaps in Hajduk's defence and score three more goals(Rijeka led 1:0 after first HT, and they scored other three in 2nd half through Kralevski's side who was sent off for Hajduk). Dusan Kerkez(regular) is doubtful while Knezevic(regular) is out.

Dinamo is coming to Rijeka with a motivation to celebrate their championship title. Coach Kuze wants all three points. Dinamo has no important absences. I think Dinamo has much more quality than Varteks or Hajduk to allow themselves 'idiots' like Safaric or Kralevski and have player sent off in an important match like this one.

Rijeka is on fire, but Rijeka played important midweek cup match which probably leaved a trace on them. Dinamo with motivation of getting three points here and much more quality than Hajduk or Varteks. Draw, small stakes.

X 3/10

I played a small combo with all three matches, concernig all mentioned facts(Rijeka & Varteks tired because of midweek games, Hajduk chasing Intertoto, doesn't have that luxury to allow him self to lose this one), draws on all three matches could very easily happen. Good Luck!

[archaeus]

FC Farul Constanta v National Bucuresti

This is the 2nd game between these 2 sides in 4 days, they played in the 2nd leg of the Romanian Cup semifinals and National won 4-1. Several players from Farul were fined for the way they played in the game, and PAscovici, one of the team's important players was sent to 2nd squad for an unlimited amount of time. They will surely want to take revenge of what happened in the cup's semifinal but i i am doubtful if they can. The cup was the only thing that Farul was fighting for in this end of the championship and they are plaing for nothing in the remaining rounds. National is in a uptrend lately, they have no major squad problems and i have a feeling they will take at least one point today. The game in the cup ended 4-1 and today i also think that there will be at least 2 goals.

Bet National +0.25 odds 2.23 @ pointbet 6/10
Bet over 2 goals odds 1.94 @ 10bet 6/10

[archaeus]

FCM Bacau v Gloria Bistrita

Bacau sits "confortably" on the last place of the table with very little chances to avoid the drop, they play worse than bad but despite this they were near a huge surprise last round when they held Rapid to a 1-1 draw untill the 94th minute when Rada scored. Bistrita is not much better either, they have nothing to play for as they secured 1st division football for next year. As red deg stated above, this used to be a "3-3" game, i win at my place, you win at your place until couple years ago. The hopes are still alive in Bacau and i am not sure if Bistrita will "die" on the pitch today so i have a feeling Bacau will get 3 points today, maybe with a 1-0 scoreline.

Bet Bacau odds 2.15 @ sportingbet 10/10
Bet CS 1-0 odds 8 @ centrebet 1/10

[archaeus]

Dinamo Bucuresti v Sportul Studentesc

This is the real test for Sportul today. They meet Dinamo, a side that has been less than impressive lately, they were very lucky with some of the wins, they won at Constanta in the 93rd minute, at Bacau in 92nd, at TG Jiu they scored 2 goals from the only 2 shots at goal they had. They changed 4 coaches in 2 months, they lost heavily against Rapid and last round they lost at Cluj and they played really shit. They meet Sportul, a team that lies in a surprising 4th spot, 2 points below Rapid and Dinamo. They showed a good football in the last games, scoring for fun and winning against some teams that are hard to beat: Poli Timisoara, Arges, Farul. Dinamo has some squad problems for this game, Danciulescu, Florea, Barcauan are out for this game with injury problems, Sportul with full squad. I think that the chances are 40%-30%-30% so i cant see how Dinamo is big favourite here giving the way they play. I am fully aware that they have the better side, but the latest form makes me choose Sportul on the AH as IMO the line shoudve been set to +0.5 and the bookies set it to 0.75. Also i think that we will see some goals today so i'll take my chances on the overs.
Last 3 games between this sides at Dinamo's place:

Dinamo - Sportul 2-1
Dinamo - Sportul 3-1
Dinamo - Sportul 5-1


Bet Over 2.5 goals odds 1.95 @ pointbet 10/10
Bet Sportul + 0.75 odds 1.89 @ 10bet 8/10

[Cease]

Rubin - CSKA 1-0
Torpedo - Spartak Nl 2-0
Dinamo - Luch 2-1

[Cease]

Zenit - Spartak

It's the 2nd "main" game of the round , no doubt that in St.Petersbourg will be full stadium this day , and almost all fans , will be on Zenit side.
Coach of Spartak - Starkov , left the club in the middle of the week , so , now Spartak has "new-old" coach Fedotov , wich is in Spartak already several years , so , it must not be a problem for players , and for himself , to understand each other.
Zenit also had coach problems in mid-week , were rumors that Petergela will be fired , beacouse he was critic goverment of Zenit and so on , and it's hard situation as for coach , and for players too. Petergela telling that he will stay till the end of the season , but no one can't give 100% gurantee of it , for now.
So , it will be not only hard game for players , but for coaches also , and with some psychology atmosphere near the stadium. Both teams have problems in squards , it's one more problem for coaches.

Injury Zenit: Hagen,Denisov,Kriganaz,Trifonov
Injury Spartak: Mozart,Rodriges,Torbinskiy,Kalinichenko

Pick: Over,X2

Tom' - Rostov

What to tell about this game , Tom' wich was leader 3 rounds ago , played and easy lost to CSKA (0-2) , after it played 2 drwas , and now on 4th place. But i don't think that they will stand here too much time also. They scored only 4 goals in 6 games , and it's not a result for team , which is standing in UEFA-zone. But at home , of course , they will have some adv. , that's why bookies gave such odds , which is rither objective.
Rostov on the other way , lost only to Rubin , other 2 games won , and 2 draws , plus they have one more game in their pocket , as they played only 5 games. Team is playing well , have good skill in attack , and showing it alsmost in each game.

Injury Tom': Yanotovskiy
Injury Rostov: Rogochii

Pick: Under

Shinnik - Samara

I think that it will be quite interesting game , both teams not leaders , but both fighting for first 6. Shinnik just crashed their ambitions in first rounds , that's why they are only 15th in championship , despite of it , they are showing good soccer , and can count on more points. They have some qutie good forwards , but they till can't relize their moments , and it's main problem for Shinnik , for now , if they will work hard on it , and coach will find the answer , then the deals of this team , will go better and better.
Samara , almost without star players , already gone on 3d place , a little shock for somebody maybe , or surprise , but this team realy deserves it. Good team work , in deffense , as in attack giving me reasons to tell it. Maybe , in away games they are not that good , but at home , they are close to Zenit atmosphere games.

Injury Shinnik: Radosavlevic,Safonov
Injury Samara: Gusev,Valislev,Shpakov

Pick: Draw , Under

Saturn - Amkar

Too little odds here on home win , but they are truly. Saturn playing just great , yes , they lost to CSKA 0-1 , in last round , but could get a draw. Their new coach - Vaiss , made great work , and build a team for short time , while Dinamo still in crisis , Saturn progressing with each game. I don't see how , team as Amkar , which won at home only over Dinamo (3-2) , which was totaly out of form , can win in Ramenskoe (place of Saturn). I think that first minutes Amkar will stay in deffense , and then try to play their football , which is quite deffensive , while Saturn will attack much , but view of deffense also , one of the main their players - Geder , will be out of this game - disqual. , and coach must do good bet on deffense ,that's why , i aspect quite close game , with not many goals.

Injury Saturn: Geder,Esipov,Nahushev
Injury Amkar: No

Pick: 1 , Under

FC Moscow - Lokomotiv

What to tell here ... FC Moscow has good motivation , after last game with Spartak , where they were losing 0-3 at HT , and after it got 3-3 result at FT. But still , something wrong in team , i respect Sluzkiy , as their coach , and don't know why he can't stand a play of his team , like last season. Maybe some problems in attack , beacouse Barkamonte and Kirichenko , not that active last times , and can't score. But he has enough players , to prove that this team can fight for UEFA place.
Lokomotiv made a present for their fans last round , when they played 4-4 with Rubin on their home ground. Well , some can say that Lokomotiv began to take points , and it will be true , but Muslin didn't changed much in the team , in previous games , they played almost the same , just were not lucky in attack , when forwards of Lokomotiv , missed great chanses.
Here , i think will be next open game , almost without deffense from Lokomotiv side , at least.

Injury FC Moscow: Iop,Nababkin
Injury Lokomotiv: Bikei,Kingston,Maminov,Spahic,Starkov,Had

Pick: Over

[archaeus]

Steaua Bucharest v Rapid Bucuresti

Not much time to write a big preview but Steaua will have a tough task today after the game @ Boro, they must be very tired and dissapointed after that result. Rapid is in a clear uptrend and can upset Steaua today. Steaua has the same amount of points as Rapid but they have 2 more games to play vs weaker sides so if they lose or draw today is not the end of the world for them. Rapid had a bit more time to prepare for this game than Steaua did and i think they can get something out of this game.

Bet Rapid +0.25 odds 1.83 @ bet365 5/10
Bet under 2.5 goals odds 1.60 @ betandwin.com 8/10

[archaeus]

the other 2 games are no bet for me so gl with your picks today

[archaeus]

Romania - Divizia A
	April 28
FT	Pandurii	1 - 1	Jiul Petrosani
FT	Poli Timisoara	0 - 0	FC Arges Pitesti
	April 29
FT	Farul Constanta	4 - 0	FC National
FT	FCM Bacau	1 - 2	Gloria Bistrita
FT	Dinamo Bucuresti	4 - 5	Sportul Studentesc
23:03	April 30
FT	Otelul Galati	1 - 1	FC Vaslui
FT	Politehnica Iasi	1 - 0	CFR Cluj
FT	Steaua Bucuresti	0 - 2	Rapid Bucuresti

Only 4 points proffit for this round, i rarely give a 10/10 and i still believe i made the correct choice in Bacau - Bistrita but Bacau just doesnt want to avoid relegation. I am sorry about National pick as i knew i shouldnt have backed them. Sportul brings great amount of happiness as i hate Dinamo so much. I shouldve had the balls to back them on the straight win along with Rapid but as im not a greedy guy i am happy with the winnings.

[meatman]

well at leasty its profit eh Archaeus

@ Cease - well done on some of your good russian picks