Belgian Cup (11-12 April)

[davidmphill]

Tuesday 11 April 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Mouscron v Charleroi (19:30 BST)	2.25	3.30	3.00	109%	Related markets...Match ResultMatch ResultHalf-time/Full-time- - -Correct ScoreDouble ChanceDraw No BetHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultOver/Under
Wednesday 12 April 2006
	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
Zulte-Waregem v Standard Liège (19:30 BST)	3.00	3.40	2.20	109%	Related markets...Match ResultMatch ResultHalf-time/Full-time- - -Correct ScoreDouble ChanceDraw No BetHalf-time ResultHandicap ResultOver/Under

[Raiser]

Mouscron v Charleroi

Charleroi lost the first game but the good form & the better quality from Mouscron makes me think that away win is possible here.

I'll take A.H (0) 2.14 Betfair

Any thoughts from our Belgium experts will be helpfull

[domi belgia]

Mouscron has to defend a 1-0 advantage from the first leg.

Mouscron at home isnt an easy team to defeat, and since they are safe from relegation problems now; after their win last weekend, they will fully concentrate on the cup. Charleroi is a dangerously instable team, but have had their best moments. I dont think we'll see a lot of goals tonight, and i expect 1 goal max. The under @1.80 with bet365 looks very good, and quite solid.

Under@1.80 7/10

[Raiser]

Originally Posted by domi belgia

Mouscron has to defend a 1-0 advantage from the first leg.

Mouscron at home isnt an easy team to defeat, and since they are safe from relegation problems now; after their win last weekend, they will fully concentrate on the cup. Charleroi is a dangerously instable team, but have had their best moments. I dont think we'll see a lot of goals tonight, and i expect 1 goal max. The under @1.80 with bet365 looks very good, and quite solid.

Under@1.80 7/10

Domi!

I was on Mouscron under this weekend & made some profit, so i''l think about the under again in this one

[Raiser]

Mouscron under looks good so far Domi. Hope it will stand in second half. I dropped Charleroi & had a small punt on under

[Raiser]

Nicely done the under, just a small profit tonight. Thanks for the tip Domi

[domi belgia]

thanx man, was quite exciting in the end...
But they managed.

tomorrow is an other story. i'm thinking of over for that one.

Standard lost at home in a very discussed match afterwards. Their captain and best player Conceicao got a red card after spitting in a player's face, and to top that he pushed his shirt in the ref's face. He wont play any more games this season. At first it looked a huge handicap for them, but they've prooven they can win (and score) without him. Because the first leg was a 1-2 loss at home for standard, they've got to score at least 2goals. Personally i hope they're out after tomorrow, but its hard to say with Zulte-Waregem. They've had a lot of overs so far, and i see them scoring tomorrow. But so does Standard, what gives me a strange feeling about this game. Over is almost sure, except for this 1 score, 1-1. They might repeat Charleroi, of who many people thought they were gonna go through to the final, but are left empty handed after a 1-1 draw. Same thing could happen tomorrow. I've been thinking about a red card in this game. maybe i'll put some money on it, not sure yet, maybe live betting if i find. 90% sure Standard will get one if their chances to qualify will get smaller. I will take the over, but i happily spend one more credit to cover myself.

over@2.00 5/10 (bet365)
correct score 1-1@6.50 1/10 (bet365)

[davidmphill]

Domi B.
Nice write up and a nice pick to boot.
A winner in your first post, he pressure gets bigger and bigger!

[Belgophil]

Originally Posted by domi belgia

They might repeat Charleroi, of who many people thought they were gonna go through to the final, but are left empty handed after a 1-1 draw. Same thing could happen tomorrow.

Quite confusing game. Conceicao got today 4.5 months suspension, which was caused by what happened in the first leg of this cupmatch. Well - dunno how Standard want to approach this? Will they want revenge for what happened to their skipper? In that case i can't see how Zulte Waregem will keep them away, they will eat them alive. But don't forget Standard has the unique chance to take the Belgian title - 4 more games left and they are leading with 1 point before Anderlecht. How will this effect their game? In 8 days Standard will play the (probably) decisive clash in Anderlecht and somewhere this must be already playing in their minds. If they must choose between title and cup, the choice is quickly made. Will they go for it 100 percent tomorrow??

Well, i stay confused and will stay away from this game, hoping that Standard will win without the red cards (at least for them ) and with spending as little energy as possible.