NBA Wed 31st

[TazaD]

Fresh off the success of winning not one, but two games involving two bets...here we go!!...

Clippers -3 & over 193

League: 5-11-1 (Av. loss 5.8) away 4- dog (total 190+), off a 10- ats loss as home 5+ fav, if opp is off a 10+ ats win. [Chic]
2-9 (Av. loss 9.8) if opp is off a 15+ ats win...
0-3 (Av. loss 11.0) if opp is off a 20+ ats win. (also 3-0 over)

The high total shows Chicago's lack of D (on the road, but more of that shortly!)...and clearly the better the opp (LAC) is playing...then the, er, better they are playing, and the more chance they have of winning this game.

League: 10-3 over (12-1 over this no...av. total 198.3...av. score 206.5) home 4- fav, total 190+ off a 20+ ats win as a 4- dog. [LAC]

Both Chicago and their defense are being over-rated here due to playing 6 of their last 9 at home, wheer their D is MUCH stronger. In fact, they allow a whopping 13.8 ppg more on the road than they do at home...
...also, 1 of their 3 road games in this period was @ an under-strength Milwaukee which they won 99-90.
But, the Bulls are just 5-13-1 ats on the road this season, due to them allowing 100.9 ppg away from home.
The Clippers have scored 100+ in 7 of their last 11 at home, and 4 of their last 6 overall...which is slightly misleading, as they scored 98 @ Seattle last game but scored just 9 in the last quarter as they bench ran around with a huge lead.
I think the Clippers can score enough here to cover the small h'cap and push it 'over'.

Houston -10.5

League: 0-15 SU (5-10 ats...3-12 this no...av. loss 16.2) as a 10+ dog, no rest off an ats loss as away 10+ dog, if opp is off a 10+ ats win.
2-8 ats (0-10 this no...av. loss 18.0) if opp won by 10+ ats as a fav.

Pretty logical this one. Houston playing superb defense again now and should be able to hold Seattle to a managable score.
Seattle allow 105.1 ppg on the road @ 48.3%, so I'm expecting a pretty one sided result here again, given that Houston have covered their last 3 games by a combined 35.5 points!

[kataseven]

shaq where are you my man

[ShaqSpear]

Sry bro. Studying like hell this days. I got 6 more exams to go. here are my tips for today. I just picked those that look more certain to end up the right way. That's why the big stakes. Hope I didn't lose over an hour over these for nothing.

01 Feb 02:00 - DAL Mavericks v MEM Grizzlies - H-1(-7.5) - 1.91 - 9/10
01 Feb 03:00 - SA Spurs v UTA Jazz - H-1(-5.0) - 1.91 - GB - 9/10
01 Feb 01:00 - NY Knicks v CHA Bobcats - 1 - 2.45 - Bet365 - 8/10
01 Feb 01:30 - LA Lakers v BOS Celtics - H-1(-6.5) - 1.9 - Bet365 - 9/10
01 Feb 04:30 - CHI Bulls v LA Clippers - over 193 - 1.91 - GB - 9/10
01 Feb 02:00 - DAL Mavericks v MEM Grizzlies = under 222,5 - 1,98 - Betfair - 7/10

[TazaD]

GS @ Atlanta under 206

League: 2-12 under (0-14 under this no...av. total 192.5...av. score 185.9) home 4- fav, off a 10+ ats win as a home 4- dog, if opp is off a 10+ ats loss. [Atl]
...also 0-4 under (Av. total 205.3...av. score 192.6) if total 200+, inc. Denv 96-101 Sac (214.5) this season.

I know GS are scoring machines, but this is a very high total for an Atlanta game. They have gone over this number just twice all season (in reg.), and just 1 time at home, v. Utah when the Jazz shot over 55%, and 53% 3's.
GS allow big points on the road, but I'm not sure the Hawks can take advantage of such a pourous D, as they are the second lowwest scoring team @ just 91.5 ppg.
New Orleans are the lowest (90.9 ppg) and when GS played there on the 2nd Jan, the score was 97-89, well under the 197.5 total.

(PS. If I had to take a guess, I'd say that the Lakers will win but not cover )

[Donald_Duck]

Houston missed 4/6 free throws last 32 secs and screwed the handicap
they won 112-102...lol

[TazaD]

Yeah...****ing hilarious!

[kataseven]

Originally Posted by ShaqSpear

Sry bro. Studying like hell this days. I got 6 more exams to go. here are my tips for today. I just picked those that look more certain to end up the right way. That's why the big stakes. Hope I didn't lose over an hour over these for nothing.

01 Feb 02:00 - DAL Mavericks v MEM Grizzlies - H-1(-7.5) - 1.91 - 9/10
01 Feb 03:00 - SA Spurs v UTA Jazz - H-1(-5.0) - 1.91 - GB - 9/10
01 Feb 01:00 - NY Knicks v CHA Bobcats - 1 - 2.45 - Bet365 - 8/10
01 Feb 01:30 - LA Lakers v BOS Celtics - H-1(-6.5) - 1.9 - Bet365 - 9/10
01 Feb 04:30 - CHI Bulls v LA Clippers - over 193 - 1.91 - GB - 9/10
01 Feb 02:00 - DAL Mavericks v MEM Grizzlies = under 222,5 - 1,98 - Betfair - 7/10

I'm the total man so you are again and always my lord.

And waiting for your predictions all nights...

[expert]

wow, our Romanian punter is hot as Mexican sauce!! ..well done Shaq...

and...little OT...kataseven - help me..i really cant figure that out....are you a boy or a girl??

I'm the total man so you are again and always my lord.

kata seems like a womens name, at least in our country...but the above sentence is against that theory...

[snyder9]

Originally Posted by ShaqSpear

Sry bro. Studying like hell this days. I got 6 more exams to go. here are my tips for today. I just picked those that look more certain to end up the right way. That's why the big stakes. Hope I didn't lose over an hour over these for nothing.

01 Feb 02:00 - DAL Mavericks v MEM Grizzlies - H-1(-7.5) - 1.91 - 9/10
01 Feb 03:00 - SA Spurs v UTA Jazz - H-1(-5.0) - 1.91 - GB - 9/10
01 Feb 01:00 - NY Knicks v CHA Bobcats - 1 - 2.45 - Bet365 - 8/10
01 Feb 01:30 - LA Lakers v BOS Celtics - H-1(-6.5) - 1.9 - Bet365 - 9/10
01 Feb 04:30 - CHI Bulls v LA Clippers - over 193 - 1.91 - GB - 9/10
01 Feb 02:00 - DAL Mavericks v MEM Grizzlies = under 222,5 - 1,98 - Betfair - 7/10

Sorry for sounding ignorant but how do I read this format?
Thanks

[ShaqSpear]

@ kataseven: hey man, glad I could help. I'll come back a bit later with my predictions. Too bad we don;t have to many games. But I'm really excited about the All Star. Who do you guys think will win it?

@expert: I think he's a guy. but please correct me if I;m wrong kata.

@ no prblem Snyder. it's no ignorance. So, let me explain:

H-1 means the away team will make the handicap and between () I writte the amount of points that consist in the handicap. For example:

01 Feb 01:30 - LA Lakers v BOS Celtics - H-1(-6.5) - 1.9 - Bet365 - 9/10

means Lakers will win by 6.5 or more, so 7 or more actually.

and

01 Feb 01:30 - LA Lakers v BOS Celtics - H-2(+6.5) - 1.9 - Bet365 - 9/10

means Boston will not lose by 6.5 or more. So they'll lose by a maximum of 6 points.

Hope I cleared that out. If u still have any questions please ask.

[kataseven]

my sirname is ataseven; k is the first alfa of my first name (:kadir)

So girls you can run becasue I'm coming baby

[ShaqSpear]

@kata: good thing u play totals man. cause in the last month handicaps haven't worked out very good for me. I am postin more games on a Romanian forum. I have an exactly 50 % average on handicaps and a pretty good 57,57% on under/overs last month with 57won and 42 lost. I think that's a consequence of lacking time because handicaps require more time to analyze and as I said so many times during the last 2 weeks I have 14 exams to pass. Luckily now I have 3 left so I'll come back with arguments on each game statring the 5th or the 9th.
P.S. : I just won a tipsters challenge for January with 197 units gained on the same forum and that has really made my day.

@expert: I resent the guys at Sports Punter the registration form and still no answer. Don't know what should I do next. Maybe they think I'm making fun of a "certain" writter with the nick although it has nothing to do with him, cause I don't know what else could be the problem.