NBA Tuesday 6th

[TazaD]

Sactown -4.5

League: 11-3-1 (15-0 this no!...av. win 13.0) any home fav, off a 10+ ats win as away 4- dog, if opp is off a 10+ ats loss as a dog. [Sac]

Indi are in a terrible run of form, losing 5 in a row SU and ats. Their average loss in those 5 games has been nearly 20 ppg, and they are scoring just 85.4 @ 38.9% shooting.
The Kings have won 4 out of 5, and I think they are being under-rated due to some poor results before that, but 8 of their last 10 games were on the road.
They won the last meeting, just over a week ago @ Indi 100-93 as 6 point 'dogs...I can't see any reason why they won't win at home and cover a smallish spread.

Toronto @ Washington under 209

League: 2-9 under (1-10 this no. Av. total 204.7...av. score 197.0) as a 4- fav, off a 10- ats loss as home 5+ fav, if total is 200+ and opp is off a 10+ loss. [Wash]

Both of these teams have high flying reputations, but in reality both have been playing in some low scoring games lately.
Toronto have scored 100+ in just 2 of their last 7, with only a point explosion @ Cleveland last game going over this total.
Washington have av'd just 94.6 ppg in their last 6 and their defense has picked up since the return of Jamison.
The last meeting was 119-106!! But Bosh had a moster game, going 15-19 for 34, again, without Jamison in the team...and Toronto shot 59.3%!
Washington shot over 49% themselves (inc. 50% 3's).
The 3rd quarter was a 77 point score-fest, so other than that it would have been quite a "normal" game.
Despite their rep, Toronto are just 7-15 under when the total is 200+, so I think this one might be a couple of points too high aswell.

[aek]

Tuesday at 7:05 PM
TORONTO (32-28) AT WASHINGTON (33-25)

Toronto seems to have lost the temporary hot form they had Why? They are shooting bad terribly, 36.8 and 38.7 % from their last two games. Why? Bosh out of form? Good defensive by Cleveland and Bucks? Probably a combination of all these. The question is would this bad form continue against Washington? I think so, defensively speaking, Wizards will not give a field goal % of 60 again to Toronto. With the absence of Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison there are missing guaranteed point getters and will try to compensate this by stealing points from the opposition; that is a sturdy defense. If you catch my drift you’ll be seeing I’m headed for the under but you’ll see that all 4 previous meetings were over easily and had all green lights for all the statistics. However, circumstances are much different from those and this really shouldn’t be the free flowing game we have come to expect these two teams. Expect this to go under the posted total.

RAPS / WIZ – UNDER 209 (5 UNITS)

[expert]

NBA Tue 6/3

[expert]

Sport	NBA
Event	San Antonio Spurs @ Portland Trailblazers
Selection	San Antonio Spurs -5.5
Strength	10/10
Date	06/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Not much value in those odds, but Parker-less Spurs should bring the money home. They are now in a 9 games winning streak - also 2 W/O Parker and 9/1 in last 10. SA also with same ratio of wins and losses vs. Blazers in last 10, including 4 out of 5 wins in Portland - SA also covered the spread in all of their wins in Portland. The only concern is their b2b playing as they should could be up against some stamina issues - Portland are rested with two day past their last game, but Spurs superior ratio beween offense/defense is too good not to give them a big edge as they are scoring 50% FG and allowing only 39% FGA.

[Aarun]

If my CL bet comes in may do small stakes on that under tonight.

[Donald_Duck]

TazaD....Artest is arrested again...this time for pimp slappin'....you still think that Sac is a good play?

[Donald_Duck]

Event	Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs
Selection	San Antonio Spurs -6.5 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	06/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.94 (Back)
Reasoning	San Antonio got 9 straight victories and they are also 8-1 ATS in those 9. San Antonio is 18-6 ATS in their last 24 meetings with Portland and they are are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 in Portland. Portland has lost 3 out of their last 4 games and they are also 1-3 ATS in those four games. San Antonio has won by 9 or more points in their last 4 meetings versus Portland

[Donald_Duck]

Selection	Indiana Pacers +4.5 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	06/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	canbet @ 1.94 (Back)
Reasoning	The Kings are 5-7 ATS this season when playing with two day's rest while the Pacers are 10-2 ATS. They are also 4-2 ATS their last six games here. Artest wont play tonight for Kings which gives Pacers perfect opportunity to bounce back and end losing streak.

[Donald_Duck]

Event	Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors
Selection	Washington Wizards -4.5 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	06/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Ladbrokes @ 2.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Perfect opportunity for Wash to get revenge here as Toronto haven't played best ball lately and with Parker out and Italian Stallion being a questionmark they could do the job.

Event	Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers
Selection	Minnesota Timberwolves -2 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	06/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.97 (Back)
Reasoning	The Timberwolves are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games like a home favorite of 0.5 - 4.5 points, while the Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games like a underdog of 0.5 - 4.5 points. The Minnesota defence have been a joke lately but they got perfect opportunity to end losing streak thanks to Lakers poor stats on the road and injury problems.

[expert]

Sport	NBA
Event	Seattle Supersonics @ New York Knicks
Selection	New York Knicks -2.5
Strength	10/10
Date	06/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.98 (Back)
Reasoning	Lie the Knicks today to cover vs the Sonics. They seem to find the good rhytm going on and Marbury is a great leader. Both Lee and Richardson are expected to play tonight, and especially the later one was hot in his two previous games with 30 and 24 points. Knicks won the only match this season with 93-111 with Allen in bad mood with 11 points, but without mentioned Richardson. Anyway like this line and Knicks could cover it especially with hot Marbury who havent scored less than 20 in past 6 games, and even went over 30 points in last two outings.

[Donald_Duck]

I was also thinking about Knicks and UNDER but have already too many games which means chances gets bigger for me to get screwed..


but it looks good...

[blackcrow]

Washington -6.5 @ 2.10 (Centrebet) Wizards on a nice roll while Toronto going the other way. Washington is trying for a sixth consecutive home victory over the Raptors. The Raptors have lost three of four games, including back-to-back games for the first time since dropping three straight from December 29-January 3. The favorite is 6-0-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Minnesota under 196.5 The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing LA Lakers The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the LA Lakers last 5 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the LA Lakers last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota Denver over 206.5 The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 17 of Denver's last 24 games when playing New Orleans The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans's last 13 games San Antonio win by margin of over 10.5 @ 2.55 (Centrebet) Should be too strong for Portland Spurs are 2-0 vs Portland this season, 98-84/107-98. Spurs won their last nine games (8-1 vs spread). Portland lost three of its last four games Spurs covered six of last eight if they played night before.

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

Toronto +4.5	Handicap
Was/Tor Under 210	Total
Seattle +2	Handicap
La Lakers +2	Handicap
NJ/Dallas under 192.5	Total
New Orleans +5	Handicap
Sacramento -4.5	Handicap
San Antonio -6.5	Handicap

crappy night last night, fingers crossed

[ShaqSpear]

I wont post any comments tonight. Just some picks: Raptors, Lakers and Sonics.They should cover in my opinion.

[Donald_Duck]

well...hopefully you're wrong.....

Minnesota and Wash covered but things look nasty for Indiana and SA...lol

[TazaD]

Not nasty enough for Indi...

...20 points down...still needed 2 offensive boards in the last 20 seconds...

...oh well!

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

omg i lost two by half a point wtf is goin on