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Old 28-01-2007, 05:40   #1 (permalink)
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Default NBA Sun 28th

Indi +7

League: 23-12 (Av. loss 5.0) away 5+ dog, no rest off a 10+ ats win as home 5+ fav, if total is 180+ [Indi]
11-2 (Av. loss 4.4) if opp is off an ats and SU loss.

Strange line really, given Detroit's recent struggles. They really looked lost offensively v. Washington, relying mostly on isolating 1-1 match-ups, which worked spasmotically, but a 16 point 3rd quarter pretty much sums up how they were going.
Indi are playing some good ball atm, and haven't missed a beat after the trade.
They are 2-0 v. Det this season, inc a 93-92 win @ Det in Dec (different line-up obviously, but still...), and Det are just 1-6 at home v. winning teams this season.
Looks an inflated line.

Washington -5 & under 206

League: 3-13-2 (1-16-1 this no...av. loss 15.1!) home 5+ dog, off a 10- ats win as a 5+ dog, if opp last won SU as a 5+ dog. [Bost]

and...League: 3-10 under (0-12-1 under this no...av. -9.7) if total is 180+...team scores just 83.8 ppg!

And it's hard to argue with the numbers...Boston have lost 17 of their last 19...14 of those have gone 'under', due to their lack of scoring punch.
They have hit 100 just once in their last 10, and averaged just 85 ppg in that time.
Washington played well defenively last game @ Det, and history suggests that they carry that form into this game.
Boston are a terrible 4-15-1 ats at home, and have gone 'over' just once at home in their last 19 games.
I really don't like having two bets on the same game, but this does seem like a strange line, asking Boston to score 100.
The last 3 meetings in Boston have been 199 (total 211), 176 (204) and 206 (206), with much more scoring power than is in this game.



Also, no total yet in the Cleveland/Phoenix game, but I'll take the over at 204 or less.
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Old 28-01-2007, 15:17   #2 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

29 Jan 00:30 - IND Pacers v DET Pistons H-1(+7) - Bet365 - 1.95----------10/10
29 Jan 00:00 - WAS Wizards v BOS Celtics H-1(-5) - 10Bet - 1.87---------10/10
28 Jan 19:00 - PHX Suns v CLE Cavaliers - H-1(-5) - GB - 1.91---------------8/10
28 Jan 21:30 - NY Knicks v MIL Bucks - H-1(+1) - 10Bet - 1.92------------10/10
28 Jan 21:30 - SA Spurs v LA Lakers - H-1(-3) - GB - 1.91--------------------7/10
29 Jan 00:00 - WAS Wizards v BOS Celtics - under 206 - Betfair - 1,9------10/10
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Old 28-01-2007, 15:59   #3 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

My bets for today are also +7 on Indiana and -5 on Was and Under...

I hate Knicks and Im just gonna watch Spurs vs Lakers and Suns vs Cleveland

thinking about a bet on seattle...clippers arent playing good away

GL everybody...
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Old 29-01-2007, 03:53   #4 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

29 Jan 00:30 - IND Pacers v DET Pistons H-1(+7) - 1.95----------87-95
29 Jan 00:00 - WAS Wizards v BOS Celtics H-1(-5) - 1.87------105-91
28 Jan 19:00 - PHX Suns v CLE Cavaliers - H-1(-5) - 1.91---------115-100

28 Jan 21:30 - NY Knicks v MIL Bucks - H-1(+1) - 1.92----------105-107
28 Jan 21:30 - SA Spurs v LA Lakers - H-1(-3) - 1.91--------------96-94

29 Jan 00:00 - WAS Wizards v BOS Celtics - under 206 - 1,9----105-91
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Old 29-01-2007, 03:55   #5 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

BALANCE: 31.77 -0.2 = 31.75
W/T: 20/37
winning prct.: 54.05%
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Old 29-01-2007, 04:55   #6 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

Tough 1 point ats loss to Indi, esp. being only 4 down under 20 seconds to play.

A Det offensive rebound, a TO and a missed 3 pointer at the end later, and here we are.

On a brighter note, I believe it's the first time in my betting career I've ever won two bets on the same game!
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Old 29-01-2007, 08:01   #7 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

hey man. don't worry. it could have been worse. u could have been me. I lost 3 games by one point. doesn't that make u feel better? Congrats on your first 2 winning tips on the same game!
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Old 29-01-2007, 08:19   #8 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

hey Shaq...well done in the NBA....but why the hell arent you posting on SP???

..bad luck on the 1 point losses...interested to buy points?
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Old 29-01-2007, 14:38   #9 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

I wanted to start participating on SP. The problem is that I have completed that registration form and they gave me no answer, so I gave up. I would register again but that would meen that I have to change my nickname which I wouldn't like to do. Better then nothing I guess. Maybe u could give me a hand. Is there anything else that I can do right now? Is there a mail adress where I can contact them to solve the problem or any other solution?

...........buy what points?
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Old 29-01-2007, 14:42   #10 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

1st contact Paul Ross by PM...he is the boss and has all the answers - SP is also his site.

2nd buying points - some bookies allows you to buy some points, so for example instead you bet on team A -3 @ 1.91...you can change that to team A -2.5 (or -2) for lower odds..
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Old 29-01-2007, 16:18   #11 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

Quote:
Originally Posted by expert View Post
1st contact Paul Ross by PM...he is the boss and has all the answers - SP is also his site.

2nd buying points - some bookies allows you to buy some points, so for example instead you bet on team A -3 @ 1.91...you can change that to team A -2.5 (or -2) for lower odds..
hey thx for the info on SP. I'll talk to the guy.
I know about that way of betting, I just didn't know they were called that way ("buying points"). I use it on Bet365, but I never use it by decreasing the odds, allways by increasing them. Yeah , that would have been smart yesterday.
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Old 29-01-2007, 16:20   #12 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

one problem though, I don't think I can PM him since I'm not a member. damn!

Last edited by ShaqSpear; 29-01-2007 at 16:21.
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Old 29-01-2007, 17:37   #13 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

he ment PM here on PL...but dont do that because you will not recieve any help from him personally...you need to send an email to team@sports-punter.com
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Old 29-01-2007, 19:03   #14 (permalink)
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Default Re: NBA Sun 28th

thx m8.
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