NBA Monday 5th

[TazaD]

Charlotte @ Utah over 202

League: 13-2 over (Av. total 196.7...av. score 209.0) away 10+ dog, no rest off a 10- ats win as away 5+ dog, if opp is off a 10+ ats win. [CBC]

Charlotte have allowed 100, 135, 127 and 95 in their last 4...2 against teams that have been scoring very poorly (Seattle & LAC).
Utah have scored 100+ in 12 of their last 14, and they shoot an amazing 49% at home this season!...even better, over 50% in their last 5.
Charlotte have allowed 110.2 ppg @ 50.4% in their last 5, and realistically will only have to score 95 here to get this one over the total...Utah have allowed 95+ in 9 of their last 13 at home...91 to Minni, 93 @ SA...Atl and Boston...those 4 teams are in the 12 slowest paced teams (least shots per game)...Charlotte are 21st (10th quickest), so looking for a high paced game where Utah score a bundle, and Charlotte score enough.

Good luck everyone

[expert]

Thinking the exact same thing about Charlotte over, without Okafor Hornets are fukced...over and imo also ats win for the Utah.

Admit im killing myself with Cle - Hou game, cant see it going over, but at the second thought.....a no bet for now, but the big guy Yao should be back for Rockets...

[Donald_Duck]

Event	Cleveland Cavaliers vs Houston Rockets
Selection	UNDER 181 Points
Strength	10/10
Date	05/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.99 (Back)
Reasoning	10 of Houstons last 14 games played on Monday have gone under. Clevelands last 9 games as favorite, 7 have have under. The teams have played under the total in 5 of the last 6 meetings.

and TazaD's over looks really really great...

[expert]

Sport	NBA
Event	Houston Rockets @ Cleveland Cavaliers
Selection	Houston Rockets (OT inc.)
Strength	10/10
Date	05/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.42 (Back)
Reasoning	Taking the ML in this match. I see it really as a perfect opportunitty for Houston to bounce back to their winning ways. Yao is coming back, just in right time, as the team is in a slump, also Mcgrady has a lot to prove, as he was scoreless in the second half of the San Antonio game. Houston was limited to only 38.5 percent from the floor and committed 19 turnovers in that game. So a bounce back game in all views, as Mcgrady scored season low 7 points in last game vs Cavs (left the game injured in the 1st), add the last bad game vs. Spurs which was decided in first 12 minutes and the fact that Rockets also won in last 6 out of 7 vs Cavs and last three one the road. The Rockets effect has also been felt by the recently hot Le Bron as Rockets linited him to just 19.9 points per game, which is his lovest average aggainst any NBA team...while Mcgrady seems to prosper vs Cavs defence, as he averages 31.1 points in last 7 games vs Cleveland. So Yao Mings presence means a lot to Rockets - prior to injury he was playing his best season in NBA averaging 26 points and 9 rebounds per game and his presence is felt both in defence and attack. Thinking about o/u bets, past results are clearly on the side of the under play, but still i cant and i probably wont pull the trigger on that one, as one the one side these two have 5-1 unders, but cant get out of my head the expected big shooting performance from McGrady...will probably wait if the line goes up more, and decide then...

[Donald_Duck]

Yao Ming sure seems to play tonight since the line have gone up...

[expert]

Originally Posted by Donald_Duck

Yao Ming sure seems to play tonight since the line have gone up...

yeah but i like the under more if he is to play...waiting to get more points

[Donald_Duck]

Event	Los Angeles Clippers vs San Antonio Spurs
Selection	San Antonio Spurs -6 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	05/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	canbet @ 1.94 (Back)
Reasoning	San Antonio is 4-0 ATS their last 4 games off a straight up win. The San Antonio Spurs are 5-1 ATS after an ATS win and they are 7-2 ATS after allowing 75 points in their last game. The Clippers are 8-17-2 ATS when playing with one day of rest and they are also 3-13 ATS their last 16 games vs a team that has a winning percentage of 60% to 80%. The Clippers are 7-15 ATS off a double digit win in their last game and they are 0-4 ATS their last 4 home games vs a team with a winning road record.

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

this is what the regression gives for today, gl all

Milwaukee +5.5	Handicap	no +5.5
Mil/Orl Under 200	Total	no +6
Detroit -12	Handicap	no+2
GS/Det Under 197.5	Total	no +3.5
Miami -6	handicap	no +1
Atl/Mia over 185.5	total	no +1.5
Charlotte +14	handicap	no +3
Char/Utah under 204	Total	yes +9
LA Clippers +6.5	Handicap	no +1.5
SA/LAC under 174	Total	no +1
Hou/Cle over 181.5	Total	no +1.5

[QuantumParadox]

Miami to beat Atlanta by 7 or more points,thats my only selection

good luck,small stakes bye bye,as for U/O is same situation like soccer,you never know,and i never bet u/o either here nor in soccer

[whycantistayawayfromdogs]

Originally Posted by QuantumParadox

Miami to beat Atlanta by 7 or more points,thats my only selection

good luck,small stakes bye bye,as for U/O is same situation like soccer,you never know,and i never bet u/o either here nor in soccer

Im not sure whether its a good thing or a bad thing that im agreeing with you after reading some of your posts

[xanboo]

I will join this crowd and have my input in games.
system play: -3Cleveland vs Houston

OverAll Total 25-11 since Feb.07

[QuantumParadox]

[quote=whycantistayawayfromdogs;737050]Im not sure whether its a good thing or a bad thing that im agreeing with you after reading some of your posts [/quote


join the club : come in tennis forum,we are all there,actually madness is there for sure!!

[blackcrow]

Orlando over 199.5
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing Orlando


Detroit under 197.5
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last ten games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Detroit

Miami over 185.5
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Atlanta's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing Miami
ATLANTA is 45-32 OVER after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons and 24-12 OVER revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MIAMI is 19-5 OVER off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and 10-2 OVER after a win by 6 points or less this season.

LAC under 173.5
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the LA Clippers last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the LA Clippers last 13 games when playing at home against San Antonio

[ShaqSpear]

Sport	NBA
Event	ATL Hawks v MIA Heat
Selection	Heat -6 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	05/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 1.86 (Back)
Reasoning	The Heat are looking much better. Shaq is on a roll. He is playing really well and carrying the Heat all by himself against very tough opposition lately. Now he meets struggling Atlanta. This team has a pretty good squad with Johnson and Smith as superstars but it's very week at Center and PG. Shaq is playing center so lot's of trouble for this guys as well. Wade is out and that is probably the reason for which the Heat have been underestimated lately. They are the Champions after all, so it is natural they can cover the loss of one player.

[ShaqSpear]

Sport	NBA
Event	HOU Rockets v CLE Cavaliers
Selection	Cavs -3 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	05/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 1.95 (Back)
Reasoning	The Rockets are in a downtrend right now. McGrady is not very hot right now. The Cavs on the other hand are playing verygood basketball. LeBron was criticised before the All Star break for not being very motivated. He definitely came out motivated starting with the All Star Game. He is now playing very well and pushing this team to achieve good things. Yes, Yao is coming back. And that's one of the reasons for this close odds. But I am a nonbeliever in big early comebacks. Ming is capable of gerat things. But as any player weren off by a long injury he will not be player of the game today. He will probably get some minutes, and that's that. I'm with the Cavs on this one especially as I saw them trash the Raptors a few days ago, in a game they really sominated.

[ShaqSpear]

Sport	NBA
Event	MIL Bucks v ORL Magic
Selection	Bucks
Strength	10/10
Date	05/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Betfair @ 3.25 (Back)
Reasoning	The bucks are very hot right now . they are confident they can beat anybody, as they stated in the press. They have to fight a lot if they want to get back on track for a play off spot. They have good chemistry , teamwork is their main toughness, but also in shape superstar Redd who plays like he did before the injury, like the top NBA scorer he was at the start of the season. What can I say about the Magic. If Howard plays bad, then they play bad and loose by far. If he plays good , then they stay close but still lose. I see the Bucks favorites here and I don't see Orlando coming out of the slump.

[ShaqSpear]

And SHAQ is back on track I was away for the weekend once again. I think I have went a bit too far with this vacation thing. School started and I didn't even get to see my teachers yet one thing is for sure, it's not gonna be an easy semester. lots of catching up to do. Good luck to u guys, and hope you still remember who I am, lol.

[QuantumParadox]

[quote=ShaqSpear;737293]And SHAQ is back on track I was away for the weekend once again. I think I have went a bit too far with this vacation thing. School started and I didn't even get to see my teachers yet one thing is for sure, it's not gonna be an easy semester. lots of catching up to do. Good luck to u guys, and hope you still remember who I am, lol. [/quote

welcome back bucharest! ooowwwooooo nice previews and picks!

thnx mate

[aldric]

One bet for me:

San Antonio v La Clippers
OVER 173.5 @ 1.80........................

[Donald_Duck]

Event	Cleveland Cavaliers - Houston Rockets
Selection	Houston Rockets +3 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	05/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.98 (Back)
Reasoning	Houston always plays better on the road IMO and with Ming on the field they should continue to give Cleveland problems as always.

Selection	Charlotte Bobcats +14.5 (Asian Handicap)
Strength	10/10
Date	05/03/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.94 (Back)
Reasoning	Utah is only 5-7 ATS when playing without rest so far this season while The Bobcats are 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 games playing without rest. The Bobcats are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs a team with a winning % above 600 and they are also 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 11 points or bigger. Utah are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.