Nba 8/1/2007 - The Punters Lounge

expert · 08-01-2007, 07:07

An early play for tonights NBA

Houston Rockets @ Chicago Bulls Over 185 10bet @ 1.99
I am taking an early shot at this line, as i believe it will go up during the day. Yeah Houston is one of the best defensive teams in the league, BUT they are allowing app. 7 points more when they are playin b2b games.

trend also show that:
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings and
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago
Over is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 overall
Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games as a favorite
Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record

Last game reached 201 points total and imo todays game will go 190+.

A big factor is b2b playing for the Rockets and their OT play yesterday against the Minny..so i suspect there will be no power for pressing the Bulls in defence.

Because i am not 100% confident i am playing this game with half the usual stakes.

expert · 08-01-2007, 07:19

LOL..please change the thread name. it should stand NBA 8/1/2007 and not 2004.

am i living in a past?

expert · 08-01-2007, 07:56

Lets just add an early lean which could very soon turn into a bet.
Denver +3 vs Bucks.
Redd (best Bucks scorer) and Vilauneva out for the Bucks...Denver owing the series...me like it a lot! Also Nene Hilario back from susepnsion for Huggets...like it more and more...maybe even an SU on this one...odds surely over evens as Bucks are favoured...
Also Iverson simply got to explode sooner or later...after a run of mediocre displays lately - looking at his high standards

Will follow the line movement and decide later on.....but a VERY strong lean for now.

archaeus · 08-01-2007, 10:50

Quote:

Originally Posted by expert

LOL..please change the thread name. it should stand NBA 8/1/2007 and not 2004.

am i living in a past?

done and made it sticky

tkt · 08-01-2007, 13:30

Quote:

Originally Posted by expert

An early play for tonights NBA

Houston Rockets @ Chicago Bulls Over 185 10bet @ 1.99
I am taking an early shot at this line, as i believe it will go up during the day. Yeah Houston is one of the best defensive teams in the league, BUT they are allowing app. 7 points more when they are playin b2b games.

trend also show that:
Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings and
Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago
Over is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 overall
Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games as a favorite
Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record

Last game reached 201 points total and imo todays game will go 190+.

A big factor is b2b playing for the Rockets and their OT play yesterday against the Minny..so i suspect there will be no power for pressing the Bulls in defence.

Because i am not 100% confident i am playing this game with half the usual stakes.

Houston is more defensive in B2B games, and yesterdays game would have gone under, if ended in regular time. I think under, but Houston has to keep up shooting with Chicago, might go over, but I have some doubts, if Bulls are the favorites, then over is possible...

Mr Flamboyant · 08-01-2007, 13:44

Forget the Houston v Chicago total .. it's line ball (my system has it as an UNDER but I'm not biting) .. Get a piece of Denver while they're still catching points at home .. Even the Nuggs ML +105 is great value if you can still get it ...

LA Clippers shouldn't be laying 7 points on the road either ..

cageynoboa · 08-01-2007, 13:47

Sport	NBA
Event	Milwaukee vs Denver
Selection	Denver -2.5
Strength	10/10
Date	08/01/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 2.00 (Back)
Reasoning	Milwaukee has lost two in a row and will be without leading scorer Michael Redd (27.7 ppg) and Forward Charlie Villanueva (12.7 ppg). Denver has been struggling of late, losers of 5 in a row but have a great shot to rebound here. Nene is back at center and Boykins and Iverson should be able to manhandle the shorthanded bucks.

cageynoboa · 08-01-2007, 13:53

Sport	NBA
Event	New Orleans vs LA Clippers
Selection	New Orleans +7
Strength	10/10
Date	08/01/2007
Bookmaker/Price	Pinnacle Sports @ 1.83 (Back)
Reasoning	Clippers are too poor on the road IMO to give any team these many points. Cassell and Maggette are both questionable and the Clippers have lost 3 of their last 4 including to the Atlanta Hawks. LAC are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 road games LAC are 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall New Orleans obviously has some injury issues of their own and have dropped 7 of their last 8, but I think they cover here as the Underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these two.

expert · 08-01-2007, 13:56

Quote:

Originally Posted by tkt

Houston is more defensive in B2B games, and yesterdays game would have gone under, if ended in regular time. I think under, but Houston has to keep up shooting with Chicago, might go over, but I have some doubts, if Bulls are the favorites, then over is possible...

nope, they conceede 7 points more avg on their b2b games.
Compare:
no rest
average

and to mention also Detroit who averages 95 got a portion of 106 in Chicago couple days ago.

cageynoboa · 08-01-2007, 15:11

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Flamboyant

Forget the Houston v Chicago total .. it's line ball (my system has it as an UNDER but I'm not biting) .. Get a piece of Denver while they're still catching points at home .. Even the Nuggs ML +105 is great value if you can still get it ...

LA Clippers shouldn't be laying 7 points on the road either ..

lol, didnt even read your post, yeah looks like we are both on the same track for tonight...

expert · 08-01-2007, 15:33

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Flamboyant

Forget the Houston v Chicago total .. it's line ball (my system has it as an UNDER but I'm not biting) .. Get a piece of Denver while they're still catching points at home .. Even the Nuggs ML +105 is great value if you can still get it ...

LA Clippers shouldn't be laying 7 points on the road either ..

what system - cmon man write down the predictions and hit rate...if youre half as succesful as ads is in NLB im buying you a new avatar - this one is so fukcing disturbing...

on Denver..two things can happen, the spread could go up so the Bucks will be for taking, or the public goes on Milwaukee, so the spread will go down.

I expect it to be around -1 Denver or at -5 Denver at game time...we will see...it looks like a trick game to me as bookies already knew n the morning that Redd and Vilabuena arent travelling with the team ...so here is the question...why such line movements and why so late?? More i see it less i like it.

kamei34 · 08-01-2007, 17:09

Bulls hosting Rockets.
Away team is without Yao for quite some time now, but surprisingly they are playing better without him, having won 5 straight games in that period, loosing just their last match in OT yesterday.
Bulls are 20-14, 15-3 at home, and 6-4 in their last 10.
Houston is 21-13, 9-10 on road, and also 6-4 in last 10.
So Chicago with exellent home record,and they will try to continue with wins at home in this match aswell.
Houston is having good time recently, and I bet Bulls won't have an easy task tonight against them.
I'll try Rockets +6.5AH, Pinnacle @1.96. GL~

gemmeg · 08-01-2007, 17:18

Had a push with Boston game last night so hoping to get winning today.

CLIPPERS V NEW ORLEANS - NO on a poor run at the moment losing 11 of their last 13, but will be hoping to turn that around tonight while playing a Clippers side who have been poor on the road. Clippers wll be without Cassel and Maggette and even though NO's injury crisis is worse i think they'l have enough to keep this within 6pts.

PICK - NEW ORLEANS(+6.5) 1 unit @ 5/6

BUCKS v NUGGETS - Bucks without Redd or Villanueva for this game and playing a home side looking to break a 5 game losing streak. I expect AI to have a good game tonight and the Nuggets should have enough to dispose of this weakened Bucks team, especially if Camby plays as they have lacked a rebounding presence.

PICK - NUGGETS ML 1 unit @ 4/6

Gl everyone

expert · 08-01-2007, 20:03

Quote:

Originally Posted by expert

I expect it to be around -1 Denver or at -5 Denver at game time...we will see...it looks like a trick game to me as bookies already knew n the morning that Redd and Vilabuena arent travelling with the team ...so here is the question...why such line movements and why so late?? More i see it less i like it.

the line is at -3,5...hoping to raise some more...public all over Denver...let the MF raise some more and then we hit the Bucks...yeah!!

expert · 08-01-2007, 20:22

ohoho line at -4,5...raise baby raise...lets go a little more

expert · 08-01-2007, 20:45

loool...now the line is falling again -4 at the moment...those bookies really dont want to loose money...i am more and more thinking Bucks.

tkt · 08-01-2007, 20:58

Expert,

about Houston/Chicago over tonight? Houston is playing B2B and L. Deng is out for Chicago, so you still say over? Deng averages 25 points per game... Houston will not score another 88 in regulation like last night, expect them to score about ~80 points and Chicago to score about 90-95. So UNDER??? Without Deng... What do you think?

expert · 08-01-2007, 21:20

Quote:

Originally Posted by tkt

Expert,

about Houston/Chicago over tonight? Houston is playing B2B and L. Deng is out for Chicago, so you still say over? Deng averages 25 points per game... Houston will not score another 88 in regulation like last night, expect them to score about ~80 points and Chicago to score about 90-95. So UNDER??? Without Deng... What do you think?

im on over...and Deng is playing tonight as far as i see. Damn they killed Detroit with over 100 pts (106 i think) . They are one of the most complete teams in the NBA and are dangerous from every position - sticking with over. Also Minny scored 88 against them in regualtion yesterday, and they arent the most attacking team out there...so the Chicago avg 6 pts more than Minny in attack...plus they dont depend only on one player as Minny do on Garnett...and there you have it. Cant play nothing else as over.

tkt · 08-01-2007, 21:23

Quote:

Originally Posted by expert

im on over...and Deng is playing tonight as far as i see. Damn they killed Detroit with over 100 pts (106 i think) . They are one of the most complete teams in the NBA and are dangerous from every position - sticking with over. Also Minny scored 88 against them in regualtion yesterday, and they arent the most attacking team out there...so the Chicago avg 6 pts more than Minny in attack...plus they dont depend only on one player as Minny do on Garnett...and there you have it. Cant play nothing else as over.

So you think fatique will not be a factor for Houston to score points today? Houston plays more in defense...

expert · 08-01-2007, 21:26

Quote:

Originally Posted by tkt

So you think fatique will not be a factor for Houston to score points today? Houston plays more in defense...

fatigue is the factoer for Houston to play worse D IMO - look up the stats on their h2h games, they conceede 7 pts more on that occasions...so do the math

88 against Minny
+6 better offence of Chicago than Minny avg
+7 added points on h2h
sum= 101

so imo they will conceede around 102-98 points tonight, eith them being the -6 ats dog they will score app. 92 in worst case and there you go.

08-01-2007, 07:07	#1 (permalink)
expert Legendary Punter Join Date: 21 Oct 2006 Posts: 1,965	Nba 8/1/2007 An early play for tonights NBA Houston Rockets @ Chicago Bulls Over 185 10bet @ 1.99 I am taking an early shot at this line, as i believe it will go up during the day. Yeah Houston is one of the best defensive teams in the league, BUT they are allowing app. 7 points more when they are playin b2b games. trend also show that: Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings and Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago Over is 4-0 in Rockets last 4 overall Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games as a favorite Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record Last game reached 201 points total and imo todays game will go 190+. A big factor is b2b playing for the Rockets and their OT play yesterday against the Minny..so i suspect there will be no power for pressing the Bulls in defence. Because i am not 100% confident i am playing this game with half the usual stakes.

08-01-2007, 07:19	#2 (permalink)
expert Legendary Punter Join Date: 21 Oct 2006 Posts: 1,965	Re: Nba 8/1/2004 LOL..please change the thread name. it should stand NBA 8/1/2007 and not 2004. am i living in a past?

08-01-2007, 07:56	#3 (permalink)
expert Legendary Punter Join Date: 21 Oct 2006 Posts: 1,965	Re: Nba 8/1/2004 Lets just add an early lean which could very soon turn into a bet. Denver +3 vs Bucks. Redd (best Bucks scorer) and Vilauneva out for the Bucks...Denver owing the series...me like it a lot! Also Nene Hilario back from susepnsion for Huggets...like it more and more...maybe even an SU on this one...odds surely over evens as Bucks are favoured... Also Iverson simply got to explode sooner or later...after a run of mediocre displays lately - looking at his high standards Will follow the line movement and decide later on.....but a VERY strong lean for now.

08-01-2007, 13:44	#6 (permalink)
Mr Flamboyant Dedicated Punter Join Date: 14 Sep 2006 Posts: 292	Re: Nba 8/1/2007 Forget the Houston v Chicago total .. it's line ball (my system has it as an UNDER but I'm not biting) .. Get a piece of Denver while they're still catching points at home .. Even the Nuggs ML +105 is great value if you can still get it ... LA Clippers shouldn't be laying 7 points on the road either ..

08-01-2007, 17:09	#12 (permalink)
kamei34 Banned Join Date: 22 Jan 2006 Location: Monastery Posts: 917	Re: Nba 8/1/2007 Bulls hosting Rockets. Away team is without Yao for quite some time now, but surprisingly they are playing better without him, having won 5 straight games in that period, loosing just their last match in OT yesterday. Bulls are 20-14, 15-3 at home, and 6-4 in their last 10. Houston is 21-13, 9-10 on road, and also 6-4 in last 10. So Chicago with exellent home record,and they will try to continue with wins at home in this match aswell. Houston is having good time recently, and I bet Bulls won't have an easy task tonight against them. I'll try Rockets +6.5AH, Pinnacle @1.96. GL~

08-01-2007, 17:18	#13 (permalink)
gemmeg Newbie Punter Join Date: 13 Aug 2006 Age: 24 Posts: 6	Re: Nba 8/1/2007 Had a push with Boston game last night so hoping to get winning today. CLIPPERS V NEW ORLEANS - NO on a poor run at the moment losing 11 of their last 13, but will be hoping to turn that around tonight while playing a Clippers side who have been poor on the road. Clippers wll be without Cassel and Maggette and even though NO's injury crisis is worse i think they'l have enough to keep this within 6pts. PICK - NEW ORLEANS(+6.5) 1 unit @ 5/6 BUCKS v NUGGETS - Bucks without Redd or Villanueva for this game and playing a home side looking to break a 5 game losing streak. I expect AI to have a good game tonight and the Nuggets should have enough to dispose of this weakened Bucks team, especially if Camby plays as they have lacked a rebounding presence. PICK - NUGGETS ML 1 unit @ 4/6 Gl everyone Last edited by gemmeg; 08-01-2007 at 17:27.

08-01-2007, 20:22	#15 (permalink)
expert Legendary Punter Join Date: 21 Oct 2006 Posts: 1,965	Re: Nba 8/1/2007 ohoho line at -4,5...raise baby raise...lets go a little more

08-01-2007, 20:45	#16 (permalink)
expert Legendary Punter Join Date: 21 Oct 2006 Posts: 1,965	Re: Nba 8/1/2007 loool...now the line is falling again -4 at the moment...those bookies really dont want to loose money...i am more and more thinking Bucks.

08-01-2007, 20:58	#17 (permalink)
tkt Banned Join Date: 02 Nov 2006 Location: Estonia Posts: 249	Re: Nba 8/1/2007 Expert, about Houston/Chicago over tonight? Houston is playing B2B and L. Deng is out for Chicago, so you still say over? Deng averages 25 points per game... Houston will not score another 88 in regulation like last night, expect them to score about ~80 points and Chicago to score about 90-95. So UNDER??? Without Deng... What do you think? Last edited by tkt; 08-01-2007 at 20:58.

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